Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $27.75 $21.75 363%
FE-2   EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-5 $3.00 $1.00 50%
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $12.85 $6.85 114%
FE-3   EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-3 $3.90 $1.90 95%
FE-6   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.30 $3.30 55%
FE-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.90 $4.90 82%
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $18.80 $12.80 213%
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-6 $30.00 $21.00 233%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 2 5 34½ 34½   31 1nk (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.00 8% 11.10 4.90 W
6  BEND IN THE RIVER 6 1 57 56½   2nk 2nk (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 3.50 50% 1.00 5.40 P
1  STRONG ATTITUDE 1 4 13½ 12   1nk 3¾ (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 20.35  
4  SUPREMEACTION 4 2 69½ 613   64 45¼ (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 17% 4.80 1.80  
5  FIFTH SEASON 5 3 45 45½   53 55½ (marrocco )SEECHARAN A 122 8.00 23.45  
3  TWO YEAR CONTRACT 3 6 23½ 22   41½ 66¼ (capi m)SINGH S 122 1.80 1.25  
 
FE-2   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:221 :443 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE A CHANCE 1 1 11½ 12½   11½ 13½ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 18% 4.60 0.25 W
5  MONEY MATTERS 5 3 21½ 22½   21½ 23½ (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 57% 0.80 3.35 P
3  BRADY O'BRADY 3 5 48 410   34 34½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 17.05  
4  BIG TIME LOUIE 4 4 59 511½   56½ 413¾ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 124 3.00 9.25  
2  JAMAICAN JIMMY 2 2 36½ 36   44 515 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 124 4.50 19.85  
 
FE-3   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGING BEAR 1 3 11½ 14   15½ 18½ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.60 66% 0.50 0.20 W
3  GIVE ME MY MONEY 3 2 21½ 24   25½ 28½ (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.00 5% 19.00 6.35 P
5  ARTIE'S ALL IN 5 5 55¼ 56   36½ 312 (crete )ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 12.95  
4  WAR DOCTOR 4 1 41¾ 34   47 417 (ch)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 36.35  
2  GRAND GIZMO 2 4 31½ 45   59 519¼ (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 5.55  
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY               (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 8.00    
 
FE-4   09/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELOAD BULLET 1 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 4.60  
2  I LIVE BY FAITH 2 6 63¼ 62¼   3½ 2¾ (powell d)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 6.75  
4  M C JACKHAMMER 4 7 73¾ 73¼   72 32 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 13% 6.90 14.30 S
7  MENDELJOHN (IRE) 7 5 51¼ 51¼   51¾ 42½ (desruisseaux)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.20  
6  VOYANT 6 4 4¾ 3.2   2½ 53¾ (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 4.80  
5  HARDWARE GAP 5 3 3½ 2nk   4¾ 63¾ (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.00 29% 2.50 4.65  
3  LOADED SECRET 3 2 2½ 4¾   61¾ 76¼ (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 119 10.00 25.80  
 
FE-5   09/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:222 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ONE LAST FLING 6 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 12 (mileni nick)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00 3.75  
7  DEVIL IN HER HEART 7 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 22 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00 7.85  
2  HONEY GIRL 2 5 31 43¼   32 32 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 27% 2.80 1.75 S
1  TICKLE HER TOE 1 7 77 76¾   54 46¼ (capi m)SINGH S 122 6.00 2.70  
5  PENNIESFROMABOVE 5 3 63 54¾   64¼ 510¼ (steer to)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00 19.70  
3  PASSION TO PLEASE 3 6 41½ 33   43½ 612¾ (maynar)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 10% 9.10 7.80  
4  BLACK TAFFY 4 1 52½ 65¼   75¼ 718¼ (wieczorek kend)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 30% 2.30 10.40  
 
FE-6   09/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEN LOMOND 5 3 45½ 34½   21½ 1½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 18% 4.50 3.65 W
2  ACE DESTROYER 2 1 11 13½   11½ 2½ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 1.30  
7  LOQUACIOUS 7 6 714 713½   64½ 3½ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 4.00 9.65  
4  BOCELLI (IRE) 4 7 613 611½   54 41 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 26.95  
3  HIATUS 3 2 21 23½   33 53¼ (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 21% 3.70 4.40  
6  LETTING LOOSE 6 5 56½ 45½   44 65½ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 20% 3.90 4.55  
1  THELONIOUS 1 4 34½ 58   75 78¼ (conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 13.75  
 
FE-7   09/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WENJACK 3 2 53 45   2½ 11 (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.45 W
3  STORMY SOUL 2 3 1½ 11   1½ 21 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 20% 3.90 2.40 P
1  SOCIETY JOE 1 5 42 56   51¼ 32 (holder tedsto)KERR CHEYENNE 110 5.00 3.85  
9  DE ONLY SOLUTION 5 1 3½ 31   41 42½ (raghunath rav)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 3.55  
8  BEYOND BORDERS 4 4 2½ 21   3½ 54 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 2.25  
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED               (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN               (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00    
SCR  DOT'S VISION               (adamo anth)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.