Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ATTITUDE Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Oct11 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
2  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Aug28 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jul10 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.00 8% 11.10    
3  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 May14 (capi m)SINGH S 122 1.80    
4  SUPREMEACTION Aug28 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 May20 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  FIFTH SEASON Sep07 Aug11 Jun23 Jun02 Dec02 (marrocco )SEECHARAN A 122 8.00    
6  BEND IN THE RIVER Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jun17 Jun02 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
FE-2   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE A CHANCE Sep04 Aug21 Aug04 Jul18 Jun16 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 18% 4.60    
2  JAMAICAN JIMMY Sep05 Aug28 Aug13 Jul11 Jun06 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 124 4.50    
3  BRADY O'BRADY Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 May30 Oct24 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
4  BIG TIME LOUIE Sep04 Aug01 Jul10 Jun13 May23 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 124 3.00    
5  MONEY MATTERS Aug28 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Jul03 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
FE-3   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGING BEAR Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 Jul14 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
2  GRAND GIZMO Sep11 Aug22 Aug01 Jul14 Jun24 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
3  GIVE ME MY MONEY Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 May21 Apr30 (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  WAR DOCTOR Aug28 Jun13 May21 Dec06 Nov22 (ch)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00    
5  ARTIE'S ALL IN Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Apr23 (crete )ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50    
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Sep04 Aug29 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 8.00    
 
FE-4   09/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELOAD BULLET Sep11 Sep04 Aug25 Aug07 Jul18 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
2  I LIVE BY FAITH Sep12 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 (powell d)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50    
3  LOADED SECRET Aug25 Jul31 Jul11 Nov24 Nov10 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 119 10.00    
4  M C JACKHAMMER Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun27 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 13% 6.90    
5  HARDWARE GAP Sep04 Aug06 Jul06 Jun02 May14 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  VOYANT Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jun27 Jun12 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00    
7  MENDELJOHN (IRE) Aug06 Jul14 Jun23 Jun11 May13 (desruisseaux)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
FE-5   09/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICKLE HER TOE Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 May19 Apr30 (capi m)SINGH S 122 6.00    
2  HONEY GIRL Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
3  PASSION TO PLEASE Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 (maynar)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
4  BLACK TAFFY Aug28 Aug01 Jul10 Jun22 May30 (wieczorek kend)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  PENNIESFROMABOVE Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jul04 May30 (steer to)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
6  ONE LAST FLING Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jun13 May30 (mileni nick)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00    
7  DEVIL IN HER HEART Sep12 Aug24 Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00    
 
FE-6   09/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELONIOUS Sep05 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 (conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
2  ACE DESTROYER Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Nov12 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
3  HIATUS Sep05 Aug29 Jul31 Jul24 Jun26 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
4  BOCELLI (IRE) Sep12 Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 Jun18 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00    
5  BEN LOMOND Sep05 Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  LETTING LOOSE Sep05 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 May30 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
7  LOQUACIOUS Sep05 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 Jul03 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 4.00    
 
FE-7   09/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIETY JOE Sep10 Aug29 Aug03 Dec02 Nov25 (holder tedsto)KERR CHEYENNE 110 5.00    
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED Sep12 Jul24 Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
3  STORMY SOUL Sep04 Aug05 Jul21 Jun22 May27 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  UNION COLONEL Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun06 May30 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.00    
SCR  DOT'S VISION Jun26 May23 May14 Dec02 Nov18 (adamo anth)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00 49% 1.00    
6  WENJACK Sep12 Sep02 Aug22 Aug11 Aug03 (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug11 Jun13 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00    
8  BEYOND BORDERS Aug29 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00    
9  DE ONLY SOLUTION Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jun23 Jun09 (raghunath rav)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.