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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie

Monday - September 11, 2023

Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

FE-7

WIN

(4/7/3)

$2.00

$6.00

$6.90

$0.90

15%

EXA

(4/7/3)-(4/7/3)

$1.00

$6.00

7-4

$15.70

$9.70

162%

TRI

(4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3)

$0.20

$1.20

7-4-3

$14.63

$13.43

1119%

Simulator Race results

FE-1

09/11/2023

3630ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($15.75K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 3:00

See original race card.

:22¹

:45¹

:57⁴

1:04¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SOUP SPOON

1^2½

1^3½

1²

1³

(ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120

2.50

48%

1.10

0.95

HALF TO RELOAD

4³

2^3½

2²

2³

(hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 120

1.60

2.05

NO MORE

3^2½

4^3¾

3^2½

3^4¾

(humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120

3.50

15%

5.60

2.65

C BY THE SEA

5^3½

5^6¾

5^5½

4⁷

(agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120

4.00

26.45

MISS D'S PRIDE

2^2½

3^3½

4^2½

5^7½

(albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120

6.00

15.10

FE-2

09/11/2023

5490ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Maiden Claimer ($4K)

Purse ($15K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 3:28

See original race card.

:23²

:47

1:12³

1:40⁴

1:45³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

WIN THE DRAW

2^½

2¹

2^½

1^¼

(davis )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117

5.00

9.05

BREACH OF TRUST

1^½

1¹

1^½

2^¼

(goldenberg m)SINGH S 122

1.80

46%

1.20

1.45

LETS SAY THIS

3³

3^1½

3⁵

3^3½

3^7¾

(humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120

2.50

28%

2.50

1.45

AMEN TO THAT

4³

4^4½

4⁶

4^5½

4¹³

(humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120

4.00

27.05

MIGHTY PELE

5⁵

5⁹

5¹²

5⁷

5¹⁴

(banach dar)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115

3.50

2.90

FE-3

09/11/2023

3630ft

DIRT

RC5

FAST

Maiden Sp Wt

Purse ($21.6K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 3:56

See original race card.

:22³

:45³

:57⁴

1:04²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

RELOAD BULLET

1^1½

1²

1^1½

(agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122

2.00

1.95

(by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)

BEYOND TALENTED

3³

2²

2^1½

(robillard jo)CHEYNE A 120

3.00

27%

2.80

1.75

(by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)

OPEECHEE

2^1½

3²

3^3½

3^6¾

(ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122

4.50

4.15

(by COLD HARBOR out of MS. FORUM by OPEN FORUM)

TONKA WAKAN

5^5½

5^6¾

5^4½

4^7½

(steer to)BUCHANAN Z 122

5.00

36%

1.80

8.65

(by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)

BUSTA GROOVE

4^3½

4^2¼

4^3½

5^8½

(agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115

2.50

3.75

(by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)

FE-4

09/11/2023

5280ft

TURF

RC4

FIRM

Maiden Claimer ($4K)

Purse ($15K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 4:24

See original race card.

:25²

:51

1:16¹

1:42²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

MIZZ GEMMA

4^2½

3^1½

1^nk

1^2¾

(agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122

4.50

30%

2.30

0.80

LADY OF THE FORT

1^½

1¹

1^1½

2^nk

2^2¾

(cathca)ALDERSON IAN 122

5.00

3.45

PRINCESS DIDI

3^2½

3²

6⁴

4^2¾

3^4¼

(wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120

8.00

11.95

LEA'S SUNSHINE

7^6½

7⁹

7^7½

7^4¼

4^4¾

(albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115

6.00

37.90

REJOICING FOR KATZ

6^3½

5³

3^2½

5^7¾

(johnston t)ELLIS S 122

2.50

10.70

LEMONSANDDIAMONDS

5³

4^2½

6^4¼

6¹¹

(davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122

6.00

11%

7.80

14.35

ALWAY'S ROSIE

2^½

2¹

2^1½

5^3¾

7^11¼

(albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115

3.50

30%

2.40

4.40

FE-5

09/11/2023

4290ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Maiden Claimer ($8K)

Purse ($21.3K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 4:52

See original race card.

:23

:46

1:11³

1:18³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

TEQUILAS MELODY

1¹

1^nk

2^nk

1^nk

(rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120

6.00

6.10

KIMONO KATE

2¹

2^nk

1^nk

2^nk

(buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115

1.80

1.25

JIMMY IS A BREEZE

4^3½

3^3½

3^1½

3^1¼

(simms )ALDERSON IAN 122

2.50

34%

2.00

1.55

SLOANS SKY

5^4½

5⁷

4^3½

4^5½

(robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120

10.00

5.20

SPEEDY NEPHRITE

3²

4⁵

5^7½

5²⁷

(loescher paula)JADOO STEVE 120

3.00

18%

4.70

11.25

SCR

SOVEREIGN TALE

(bailey barbar)DAVID MICHAEL 120

8.00

14%

6.10

FE-6

09/11/2023

5490ft

DIRT

RC10

FAST

Allowance

Purse ($24.6K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 5:20

See original race card.

:23¹

:46²

1:11²

1:38²

1:42³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SANTIAGO SALSA

5⁴

5^4½

2¹

1^hd

(keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117

8.00

24.95

ERNIE'S MARTINI

3²

2^1½

1¹

2^hd

(buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120

3.00

23%

3.30

0.60

RENEGADE SERENADE

4^3½

4⁴

4³

3^6¼

(capi m)SINGH S 120

4.00

5.60

BROADWAY RUCKUS

1¹

1^1½

3^1½

4^7½

(mandalfino pau)JOHNSON KIRK 122

8.00

18.10

GRAND GIZMO

2¹

3^1½

3²

5^3½

5¹⁴

(davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122

3.50

32%

2.10

1.80

SCR

VIDEO VIDA

(mcclac)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117

2.00

FE-7

09/11/2023

4620ft

TURF

RC7

FIRM

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($15.75K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 5:48

See original race card.

:23³

:47

1:13²

1:27²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

UNILATERAL

6⁸

6⁶

4^1½

1^nk

(maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120

5.00

10%

9.30

2.45

SENSIBLE PORTIONS

3^3½

3^2½

3^½

2^nk

(robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122

4.00

2.25

DQ↓4

NAVAL OFFICER

1^1½

1^½

3^3¾

(mitchell)BUCHANAN Z 122

4.50

59%

0.70

4.15

SAME AGAIN DOC

2^1½

2^½

4^4¼

(cohen )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117

10.00

19.00

5.45

TIMMINS

5^6½

5^5½

5^1¾

5^4½

(davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122

3.00

3.40

RICKI TORNADO

4^3½

4⁴

6^6¼

6^20¾

(cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120

15.00

24.65

SCR

BIG BROWN BREWSKII

(blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124

6.00

SCR

TWO YEAR CONTRACT

(capi m)SINGH S 122

2.50

FE-8

09/11/2023

3630ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Maiden Claimer ($4K)

Purse ($15K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 6:16

See original race card.

:22³

:45⁴

:58³

1:05³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

CHICAGO FREDDY

1^nk

1³

1²

1^1¼

(goldenberg james )MAILHOT P 120

4.00

1.95

FAJARDO

4^1½

4⁴

2²

2^1¼

(banach dar)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113

2.00

51%

1.00

3.60

J M R TUREK

3¹

2³

3^2½

3^5½

(chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115

6.00

17%

4.80

6.50

DQ↓5

NGABE

7^10½

7^12½

6⁶

4^5¾

(husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 122

8.00

18.60

12.40

CATRIN

5²

5^7½

5⁵

5^7¾

(humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118

10.00

36.20

EL BANDOLERO

6^5½

6^11½

7^6½

6^8½

(humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113

8.00

19.25

MY SONG BABY

2^nk

3³

4^4½

7^18¼

(robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120

3.00

1.70

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.