The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -0.10
    Exacta (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-5 2 0 $3.80 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 3-5-1 3 0 $0.94 0.00
FE-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $20.10 -4.00
    Exacta (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 2-1 2 0 $26.20 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 2-1-4 3 0 $12.54 0.00
    Daily Double (3/1)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 3-2 2 0 $17.00 -4.00
FE-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.90 -4.00
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-2 2 0 $6.40 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 4-2-3 3 0 $3.66 0.00
    Daily Double (1/4)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 2-4 2 0 $57.45 -4.00
FE-4   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 0 $4.55 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 2-1-3 3 0 $3.44 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/2)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-2 2 0 $6.75 -6.00
FE-5   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $14.20 -4.00
    Exacta (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-6 2 0 $16.30 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 4-6-5 3 0 $4.77 0.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-2 2 0 $1.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $13.15 -6.00
FE-6   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $51.90 -4.00
    Exacta (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-2 2 0 $72.65 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 4-2-6 3 0 $40.14 0.00
    Daily Double (5/3)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 4-4 2 0 $118.50 -4.00
FE-7   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
    Exacta (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-4 2 1 $15.70 $15.70 9.70
    Trifecta (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 7-4-3 3 1 $14.63 $14.63 13.43
    Daily Double (5/2)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-2 2 0 $19.85 -6.00
    Daily Double (5/2)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-7 2 0 $128.25 -6.00
FE-8   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.90 -6.00
    Exacta (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-7 2 0 $11.10 -6.00
    Trifecta (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 4-7-5 3 0 $11.68 -1.20
    Daily Double (4/7/3)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-4 2 0 $14.50 -9.00

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:221 :451 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUP SPOON 3 2 1 1   12 13 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 48% 1.10 0.95 W
HALF TO RELOAD 5 5 43 2   22 23 (hall philip)CAMPOS LUIS 120 1.60 2.05  
NO MORE 1 4 3 4   33(humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 15% 5.60 2.65 S
C BY THE SEA 4 1 5 5   547 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 26.45  
MISS D'S PRIDE 2 3 2 3   45(albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 15.10  
 
FE-2   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:232 :47 1:123 1:404   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN THE DRAW 2 2 2½ 21 21 2½ 1¼ (davis ri)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00 9.05  
BREACH OF TRUST 1 3 1½ 11 11 1½ 2¼ (goldenberg m)SINGH S 122 1.80 46% 1.20 1.45 P
LETS SAY THIS 4 4 33 3 35 33(humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.45 S
AMEN TO THAT 3 1 43 4 46 4413 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 4.00 27.05  
MIGHTY PELE 5 5 55 59 512 57 514 (banach darwi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.50 2.90  
 
FE-3   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
:223 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELOAD BULLET 4 1 1 12   11(agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 1.95  
BEYOND TALENTED 2 3 33 22   22(robillard josh)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 27% 2.80 1.75 P
OPEECHEE 3 2 2 32   33(ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 4.15  
TONKA WAKAN 1 5 5 5   54(steer tom)BUCHANAN Z 122 5.00 36% 1.80 8.65  
BUSTA GROOVE 5 4 4 4   45(agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.50 3.75  
 
FE-4   09/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
:252 :51 1:161     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZ GEMMA 2 3 4 4 3 1nk 1(agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 4.50 30% 2.30 0.80 W
LADY OF THE FORT 1 1 1½ 11 1 2nk 2(cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00 3.45  
PRINCESS DIDI 3 4 3 32 64 43(wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 11.95  
LEA'S SUNSHINE 5 5 7 79 7 74(albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00 37.90  
REJOICING FOR KATZ 6 7 6 6 53 35(johnston t)ELLIS S 122 2.50 10.70  
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 7 6 53 53 4 6611 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 11% 7.80 14.35  
ALWAY'S ROSIE 4 2 2½ 21 2 5711¼ (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 30% 2.40 4.40  
 
FE-5   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
:23 :46 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILAS MELODY 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 1nk (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 6.10  
KIMONO KATE 5 2 21 2nk   1nk 2nk (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 1.80 1.25  
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 4 4 4 3   33(simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.55 S
SLOANS SKY 1 3 5 57   44(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5.20  
SPEEDY NEPHRITE 2 5 32 45   5527 (loescher paula)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 18% 4.70 11.25  
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
FE-6   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
:231 :462 1:112 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTIAGO SALSA 3 3 54 5 5 21 1hd (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 24.95  
ERNIE'S MARTINI 1 2 32 2 2 11 2hd (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 23% 3.30 0.60 P
RENEGADE SERENADE 5 5 4 4 44 43 3(capi m)SINGH S 120 4.00 5.60  
BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 1 11 1 1 34(mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 18.10  
GRAND GIZMO 4 4 21 3 32 5514 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 32% 2.10 1.80  
SCR  VIDEO VIDA               (mcclachr)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00    
 
FE-7   09/11/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:233 :47 1:132     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNILATERAL 6 6 68 66   41nk (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 5.00 10% 9.30 2.45 W
SENSIBLE PORTIONS 5 5 3 3   3½ 2nk (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 2.25 DQ↓4
NAVAL OFFICER 3 1 1 1½   1½ 3(mitchell j)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 59% 0.70 4.15 P
SAME AGAIN DOC 2 2 2 2½   2½ 4(cohen mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 5.45 S
TIMMINS 4 3 5 5   55(davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 3.40  
RICKI TORNADO 1 4 4 44   6620¾ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 24.65  
SCR  BIG BROWN BREWSKII               (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 6.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT               (capi m)SINGH S 122 2.50    
 
FE-8   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
:223 :454 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO FREDDY 4 6 1nk 13   12 1(goldenberg m)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 1.95  
FAJARDO 7 5 4 44   22 2(banach darwi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 2.00 51% 1.00 3.60 P
J M R TUREK 6 2 31 23   33(chircop )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 17% 4.80 6.50 DQ↓5
NGABE 5 7 710½ 712½   66 4(husbands anthon)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 5% 18.60 12.40 S
CATRIN 1 3 52 5   55 5(humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00 36.20  
EL BANDOLERO 2 4 6 611½   76(humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 8.00 19.25  
MY SONG BABY 3 1 2nk 33   4718¼ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 1.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.