Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-7   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-8   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MORE Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
2  MISS D'S PRIDE Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 Jun13 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
3  SOUP SPOON Sep05 Aug13 Jul31 Jun16 Jun01 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  C BY THE SEA Aug13 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 Oct24 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00    
5  HALF TO RELOAD Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 120 1.60    
 
FE-2   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREACH OF TRUST Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 May30 (goldenberg m)SINGH S 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
2  WIN THE DRAW Aug22 Jul25 Jul07 Jun16 May28 (davis )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00    
3  AMEN TO THAT Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 May23   (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 4.00    
4  LETS SAY THIS Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 Oct10 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  MIGHTY PELE Aug04 Jul07 Nov19 Oct28 Oct17 (banach dar)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.50    
 
FE-3   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONKA WAKAN         (steer to)BUCHANAN Z 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
2  BEYOND TALENTED Aug29 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 May20 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
3  OPEECHEE Aug22 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May28 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
  (by COLD HARBOR out of MS. FORUM by OPEN FORUM)
4  RELOAD BULLET Sep04 Aug25 Aug07 Jul18 Jun18 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
5  BUSTA GROOVE Aug07 Jul25 Jun18 Jun03 May07 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.50    
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
 
FE-4   09/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OF THE FORT Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul25 Jul16 (cathca)ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00    
2  MIZZ GEMMA Aug28 Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
3  PRINCESS DIDI Aug28 Jul31 May25 Dec10   (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
4  ALWAY'S ROSIE Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jun29 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  LEA'S SUNSHINE Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 6.00    
6  REJOICING FOR KATZ Sep01         (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 2.50    
7  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Aug08 Jul12 Jun09 May25 May02 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
FE-5   09/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLOANS SKY Aug28 Aug04       (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE         (bailey barbar)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
3  SPEEDY NEPHRITE         (loescher paula)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
4  TEQUILAS MELODY Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jul04   (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 6.00    
5  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Aug28 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun26 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  KIMONO KATE Aug24 Aug03 Jun16 May12 Apr22 (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 1.80    
 
FE-6   09/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIDEO VIDA Aug29 Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun18 (mcclac)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00    
2  ERNIE'S MARTINI Aug08 Jul25 Jun22 Jun10 May20 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  BROADWAY RUCKUS Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 May30 (mandalfino pau)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
4  SANTIAGO SALSA Aug28 Aug08 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00    
5  GRAND GIZMO Aug22 Aug01 Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  RENEGADE SERENADE Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 May26 (capi m)SINGH S 120 4.00    
 
FE-7   09/11/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICKI TORNADO Aug28 Jul10 Jun04 Dec12 Nov28 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 May14 (capi m)SINGH S 122 2.50    
3  SAME AGAIN DOC Aug28 Jul24 Nov11 Nov04 Oct08 (cohen )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAVAL OFFICER Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (mitchell)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 59% 0.70    
5  TIMMINS Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 May30 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00    
6  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Oct24 Sep19 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
7  UNILATERAL Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun02 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Aug28 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jul10 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 6.00    
 
FE-8   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATRIN Aug15 Jul24 Jul11 Jun18 Sep20 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00    
2  EL BANDOLERO Aug08 May23 Oct11     (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 113 8.00    
3  MY SONG BABY Aug15 Aug08 Jul21     (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00    
4  CHICAGO FREDDY Aug08 Jul18 Jun18 May26 May13 (goldenberg james )MAILHOT P 120 4.00    
5  NGABE Aug22 Aug04 Jul08 Jun16 May28 (husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
6  J M R TUREK Jul21 Jul14       (chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  FAJARDO Aug25 Aug11 Oct02     (banach dar)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.