The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.60 -4.00
MVR-2   Win (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
MVR-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80
MVR-4   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 10.20
MVR-5   Win (10/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.60 -8.00
MVR-6   Win (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
MVR-7   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
MVR-8   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 7.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:224 :473       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND TO NO ONE 2 4 1 1   11¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50 1.80  
SWELTER 4 1 4 4   33 2¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00 14% 6.00 1.70 P
DOMI 3 5 5 55   44 3(mahan jos)PILARES P 122 10.00 9.90  
MINDSHIP Q 1 3 2 32   24(londono )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 55% 0.80 3.10  
OUTSLEWTHEM 5 2 3 2   55(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 4.50  
SCR  BABY QUINN               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT               (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:223 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD ON YA 7 2 43 41   112 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 4.00 6% 15.50 1.40 W
DISCLOSURE 1 7 7 66   522 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 32.00  
SO DIALED IN 5 3 31 2nk   23(skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 12.20  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 3 4 1nk 3½   34(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 122 8.00 28.60  
BIG TRUCK 6 6 66 54   65(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 14% 6.10 6.00  
IRISH UNITY 4 1 2nk 1nk   44 6(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 1.00  
THRU THE VINE 2 5 55 7   7710 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 47% 1.10 21.00  
SCR  HERO'S MAN               (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:224 :461 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODLAND WALK 4 2 24 24   11(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 1.40 47% 1.10 0.60 W
MAKING ME CRAZY 1 3 57 510   32(mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 19.50  
TEMPLE TITAN 5 1 14 14   23(wolo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 2.80  
TWO GUNS 3 5 3 3   54(poole c)BRACHO A 124 8.00 30% 2.30 6.10  
LAUDA SPEED 2 4 46 4   47 5(trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5.40  
SCR  MONTAUK COVE               (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  ROGER MCQUEEN               (villa francis)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50    
 
MVR-4   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
:234 :49 1:02     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A WILD BRAT 4 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 1½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 5.00 20% 4.00 7.10 W
DANCIN' ROSIE 3 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 2½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80 1.80  
CHLOES ANGEL 2 5 3 4¾   33(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.30  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 6 6 6   547 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 20.50  
KISSTHECROSS 5 4 5 5   65(cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 8% 11.00 8.50  
CAT'S RHYTHM 6 2 42 3.2   4611¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.60 45% 1.20 1.20  
 
MVR-5   11/01/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:251 :49 1:142 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT YET CHARLIE 1 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 1¾ (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 1.80  
SAY HEY KID 3 4 57 6 6 42 2¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 8% 11.50 7.80 P
RUBINSTEIN 6 5 4 44 32 32 3(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 24.40  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 7 2 2 2½ 21 2½ 4(londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 27.70  
LEXATOGA 2 9 67 5 7 54 5(calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 13.90  
HIGH POWERED 8 1 78 7 54 86(anderson susan )LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50 10% 9.00 7.40  
10  YOUVESAIDITALL 9 6 910 8 8 65 7(castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 36% 1.80 8.40  
DEBDURITE 5 7 3 3 42 78(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 21% 3.90 2.30  
ROSAS WAY 4 8 8 9 911¼ 99(calderon ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00 9.80  
SCR  EXALTED JOY               (vecchio c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
:231 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETTIN PEGASUS 1 8 8 31   3½ 1¼ (suarez javier)HALDAR J 126 2.50 20% 4.00 3.50 W
THE LAST APPLE 3 4 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 15% 5.80 7.20 P
SHEZA POP STAR 5 2 2½ 2½   2½ 3(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 19% 4.20 4.40 S
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 6 5 63 8   66 4(wilson da)PILARES P 124 4.00 2.60  
CHECK OUT LINE 4 7 5 6   459 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 15% 5.70 26.20  
CITY SIGNS 2 6 42 5   54 610 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50 2.50  
HIGH CUPPER 8 1 7 7   78 713½ (schuster ro)HERNANDEZ H 124 8.00 14.50  
PSYCHOANALYST 7 3 32 41   8816½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 27.50  
 
MVR-7   11/01/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:252 :49 1:144 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING IN STYLE 5 3 11 12 1 13 1(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 41% 1.40 1.20 W
TIMESATAPPIN 3 7 7 78 65 52(loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 6.00 16% 5.30 10.40 P
BLUNDER 6 2 21 3 33 23 3(urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 15.00 7% 14.10 18.90 S
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 1 4 3 66 54 33 43 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 122 4.50 11.10  
LAST COOKIE 2 1 4 22 2 45(urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 2.50 1.90  
DON'T CROSS JACK 7 5 5 44 4 66(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 12.00  
FUNNY MAN 4 6 6 54 76 7713 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 5.00 5.60  
 
MVR-8   11/01/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
:24 :472 1:132 1:273   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALSANAH 2 6 611½ 610 6 31(rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 14% 6.30 5.80 W
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 5 2 2 2 21 12(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 38.50  
WILDCAT DREAM 3 1 3 32 44 42 3(salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 91.50  
BLACK FOREST 7 4 1 1 11 24(gutierrez faustio)PAUCAR E 122 1.80 15% 5.70 0.50  
ROWDY DAISY 6 3 4 42 3 55(feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 8.00 27.10  
PENUMBRAS MAKER 4 5 5 57 5 66(gutierrez fau)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 2.50 49% 1.10 2.20  
ELIKA 1 7 713½ 716 720½ 7100 7100 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 12.00 15.20  
SCR  LIAM'S LASS               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.