The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
PID-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $5.80 -4.00
PID-3   Win (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
PID-4   Win (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
PID-5   Win (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PID-6   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.20 -6.00
PID-7   Win (7/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
PID-8   Win (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:223 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAST BUNNY 1 5 11 11   111 (markgraf david)WALKER M 119 3.50 9% 10.70 1.10 W
WARRIOR'S MISS 2 6 21 21   221 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 21% 3.70 3.60 P
MO NIGHEAN DONN 5 1 3 32   43 3(tasso mark)STANLEY O 122 2.50 2.00  
LITTLE MISS MOFFAT 3 4 4 42   33 4(wismer s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 47% 1.10 12.40  
ORPHAN EXCHANGE 6 2 67 6   6516¼ (russell randal)AYALA J 121 4.00 12.70  
DON DIVA 4 3 5 54   59 616¼ (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 25.00  
 
PID-2   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
:223 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPTY MY POUCH 2 5 5 31   2nk 13 (cheeks p)ALLEN D 120 3.50 1.90  
BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL 3 4 3 2½   3½ 23 (mcentee paul)MORALES PABLO 117 2.00 42% 1.40 2.50 P
THREE POINT STRUT 1 2 1nk 1½   1nk 33 (camejo jos)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 15% 5.60 2.40 S
SWEET TRAVELS 5 1 4 52   4412¾ (trombetta mich)AYALA J 120 4.50 5.80  
LOVE IS FOREVER 4 3 2nk 42   5522½ (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5.90  
SCR  BAYTOWN CONNECTED               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 15.00    
SCR  GIANNO               (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
 
PID-3   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
:221 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAMEITONMYMOMMA 5 4 1nk 1nk   11 1¾ (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 32% 2.10 1.00 W
HOLD MY BEER BRO 7 1 31 2nk   21 2¾ (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 7.40  
THAT'S JUST GREAT 3 8 77 5   434 (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 4.50 20% 4.00 7.90 S
BAD BAD MR. BROWN 4 6 44 42   33 4(trombetta )GALLARDO A 120 3.00 19% 4.30 2.70  
MR. IMPATIENT 2 5 6 6   6514½ (morrell r)SPIETH S 120 12.00 9% 10.60 22.10  
TALE OF THE DRAGON 1 7 8 8   8616¼ (ruberto louis )AYALA J 120 5.00 10.70  
BENGAL CAT 6 3 2nk 31   56 717½ (hendriks richar)CHAVEZ ANDRES 110 5.00 11.10  
WELL TIMED (GER) 8 2 55 7   7817½ (zook w)STANLEY O 120 8.00 60.80  
 
PID-4   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
:241 :482 1:13 1:383   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ TACT TOE 7 4 76 7 6 31½ (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 47% 1.10 0.70 W
DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND 3 2 32 32 2½ 2nk 2½ (ruberto louis )AYALA J 121 5.00 9% 9.80 10.60 P
GRAVE DANGER 4 5 11 11 1½ 1nk 3(kintz matthe)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 19.50  
EIGHT WEEKS LONG 2 7 66 6 7 545 (ferraro m )GALLARDO A 122 5.00 3.50  
GLORIOUS TRIBUTE 5 1 4 5 43 42 56 (amaya joan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 11.70  
DAD'S LIL SPARK 6 6 21 21 32 668 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.50 15% 5.80 5.60  
NIP OF BOURBON 1 3 5 43 5 778 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 16.80  
SCR  HURRICANE ANDREW               (richards mar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 10.00    
 
PID-5   10/24/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:244 :484 1:131 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISASTER RECOVERY 1 2 11 11 11 11(ruberto lo)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 47% 1.20 1.00 W
INBOUND 3 10 53 32 31 22(hendriks richar)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 3.00 30% 2.40 4.40 P
BRADY 5 1 3 53 53 44 3(antus lawrence)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00 11.70  
SEA URCHIN 9 5 21 21 21 34(potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5.90  
DIAMONDHARD STONE 2 3 65 6 64 65 510¼ (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 121 4.50 5.30  
TRADITION JAMES 4 9 9 88 75 76 610¼ (bond brent)ALLEN M 124 20.00 80.90  
DRUID 6 7 7 77 8 87 711¼ (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 10.00 23.80  
BALI RIDDIM 8 4 43 42 4 55 811¾ (richards marvin)STANLEY O 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 7 6 8 10 10 1011½ 918¾ (sarson b)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 18.40  
10  BRIT'S UNION 10 8 10 99 9 911 1021¼ (clarke dylan)AYALA J 121 12.00 74.30  
 
PID-6   10/24/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:253 :502 1:142 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 3 2 11 1 1 12 1(carr-rozantz cat)ALLEN D 122 3.50 4.10  
TOOLCAT 2 1 21 2 2 22 2(potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 38% 1.60 1.00 P
AZTEC PRINCESS 1 3 32 34 4 33(hamm timot)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 4.50  
ANOINT 6 6 6 55 3 449 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 5.00 27% 2.80 3.60  
CASCADE PARK 4 4 53 66 6 56 512 (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 13.00  
ISTHATYOURHARLEY 5 5 42 4 5 6612½ (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 7% 12.50 14.00  
 
PID-7   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALVARY KAT 6 6 4 5   31 1½ (girten tim)STANLEY O 119 3.00 37% 1.70 3.70 W
LIGHTNING FIRE 2 5 1 1½   11 2½ (martin willi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 70.00  
HOW SWEET SHE IS 7 4 7 8   92 3¾ (trombetta micha)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 5.30  
QUARTERFLASH 4 8 9 9   72 41 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
CARLOTUK 1 9 84 7   55(lake a)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50 3.80  
FREYDIS 3 7 3 6   21 6(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 21.40  
10  SHORTY MAC 9 1 5 4   67(rogers w)WALKER M 122 5.00 9.30  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 8 3 6 3   82 88 (stites w)ALLEN D 122 6.00 17% 4.90 4.00  
IMMORTALLOVE 5 2 2 2½   4910¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 8.00 19% 4.20 5.10  
SCR  MOUNT MARY (IRE)               (fernandez edwa)AYALA J 119 15.00    
 
PID-8   10/24/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:25 :50 1:14 1:39   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDUNA 7 3 2nk 2nk 1½ 11 11 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 3.50 64% 0.60 3.90 W
GIANT PAYDAY 3 1 5 53 5 32 21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 7.00  
EL SOLITARIO 8 11 10 96 8 64 31 (amaya joan)LUGO D 122 8.00 9.50  
SIDE TRACKED 1 2 31 31 3½ 21 4(potts g)SPIETH S 122 5.00 9% 10.00 5.90  
LONG RAP SHEET 2 5 8 8 9 75 5(urieta johanna)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00 5.20  
10  KICKS ON SIXTY SIX 10 7 1nk 1nk 2½ 464 (russell randall)ALLEN D 124 10.00 17.60  
HEIRLOOM KITTEN 6 6 63 64 6 53 7(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
12  REGAL SPEAKER 12 9 4 4 4 886 (rogers michae)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 15.00  
MOUNTAIN TREE 4 4 11 11 10 99(clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00 46.40  
GOODTIME ARTIE 9 8 74 7 7 107 10(kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 67.80  
PONT DU GARD 5 12 12 12 11 1110 1112¾ (schaber debbie)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
11  INNUENDO (IRE) 11 10 9 10 1213¼ 1225 1237 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 30.00 82.20  
SCR  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT               (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
SCR  J P CORNETTA               (antus lawrence)WALES GARY 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.