Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $38.00 $14.00 58%
MVR-4   DD (8/3/5/4)-(4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $24.60 $0.60 3%
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $24.40 $14.40 144%
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-4 $56.60 $26.60 89%
    PK3 (8/3/5/4)-(4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-4-4 $108.25 $78.25 261%
MVR-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    DD (1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-3 $113.80 $83.80 279%
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50  4-4-3 $101.80 $79.30 352%
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $24.60 $12.60 105%
    PK6 (8/3/5/4)-(4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2)-(7/2/8)-(4/1/2) 1620 $0.20 $324  5-1/4-4-3-5-1 $648.96 $324.96 100%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:273   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S MISSION 2 5 1 11 12 1 1 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 19% 4.40 2.20 W
ALTAIR 6 1 3 3 33 2 2 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 3.00  
MR LAOBAN 5 6 2 21 22 3 3 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 121 6.00 5% 18.50 4.70 S
KILLER BEE 4 2 6 610½ 610½ 4 4 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 51% 1.00 1.70  
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 1 4 4 56 48 510 514½ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 10.00 9.50  
PASION AZTECA 3 3 5 44 58 614 632½ (morelos mateo)DIAZ I 124 20.00 28.70  
SCR  BELL CURVE               (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
SCR  JOHN'S KID               (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 121 2.50    
 
MVR-2   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LITTLE BEAST 3 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 1 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 6.90  
LOCK ON 6 2 3½ 1nk   1½ 2 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 23% 3.40 12.40 P
APACHE 4 4 6 5   42 32 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.50 1.20 S
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 1 6 1nk 3½   3½ 4 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 27% 2.80 3.90  
GAMBLER 2 5 4 6   6 5 (bush s)BUSH V 126 3.00 9.00  
BEASTFROMTHEEAST 5 3 5 4¾   53 6 (cascallares n)LUGO D 126 4.00 2.50  
 
MVR-3   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:22 :461       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBIT MARS 5 1 2½ 3   2½ 1 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 13.30 4.40 W
SHELLEY'S GEM 3 3 43 45   44 2 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.50 22% 3.60 1.90 P
JOAN'S WAY 2 7 7 7   5 3 (silva carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 124 6.00 6.90  
BACKSPLASH 8 5 87 8   6 4 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 6.00  
SIERRA DIAMOND 4 4 31 2nk   1½ 5 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
DON'T LOSE HOPE 1 8 5 67   78 6 (cascallares n)LUGO D 124 10.00 6.90  
STORM CHARGING 7 6 6 5   810 712¼ (hester haley)BUSH V 124 10.00 10.70  
SOFIA STRONG 6 2 1½ 1nk   32 824¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 6.00  
SCR  AMAAZA               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY INCLUSIVE 3 1 43 32   2nk 1hd (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 41% 1.40 0.80 W
DANCE DRAMA 2 6 2½ 2nk   1nk 2hd (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 19% 4.10 1.70 P
SWEET AS MERRIE 1 5 1½ 1nk   3.2 3 (reed r)HALDAR J 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.90 S
TITEBLUEJEANS 4 4 56 48   4 413¾ (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 11.30  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY 6 3 3 5   5 518¾ (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 32.50  
HAUGHTY PRAISE 5 2 6 6   611¼ 621¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 27.10  
SCR  DEE'S KY WILDCAT               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:223 1:001       1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIER ONE 4 6 58 5   3½ 1 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 4.50 5% 17.20 11.20 W
FAST CLIP 9 1 2 2½   1nk 2 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 7.00  
MAN'S CHOICE 3 9 812 89   6 3 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 32.30  
WILDCAT PRIDE 1 3 3 32   2nk 4 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 41% 1.40 2.20  
I STRONG 8 8 710 6   5 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 19% 4.40 2.00  
BUCKEYE CHARLIE 7 5 6 78   7 6 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 10.00 31.30  
ORFANO 6 10 913½ 913½   8 710¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 121 6.00 12% 7.30 2.80  
10  BUCKEYE RED 10 2 4 46   9 815¾ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 5% 19.00 48.70  
YOU'RE OUT 5 7 1013¾ 1016½   1011¾ 918½ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 46.00  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 2 4 1 1½   4 1019 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 121 15.00 61.70  
 
MVR-6   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:134 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCLOSURE 3 6 42 32 1nk 1nk 1hd (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 23% 3.40 4.30 W
AULD LANGE SYNE 5 2 2 2½ 3.2 2nk 2hd (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 10.10  
BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 4 5 6 5 5 42 3 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.20 S
CUMBER 2 4 3 43 4 53 4 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 5.00 21% 3.80 5.90  
WAR NOVEL 1 3 1 1½ 2nk 3 5 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 126 3.00 1.60  
SURF AND TURF 6 1 5 67 6 6 6 (londono j)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 7.70  
SCR  SKIDSTREAM               (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:133 1:27   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 5 1 11 12 14 15 1 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 3.90  
CHANEL SPIRIT 2 3 21 22 24 25 2 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 21% 3.70 2.40 P
LADY JASPER 7 5 5 57 59 510¼ 310½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 S
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 8 4 8 710¾ 711 410 411 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
GOODNESS SAKES 3 8 42 46 3 310 516¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 5.20  
I'M JAC'D 1 2 32 32 48 614¼ 626½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 48.40  
STATE OF GRACE 6 6 7 812¾ 819 824¼ 731 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 66.40  
WHYNAUGHTY 4 7 64 6 6 718¼ 831¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00 21.10  
 
MVR-8   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWTIME BOY 1 4 11 1nk   1 13 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 19% 4.30 2.50 W
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
EL SORDO 2 5 3 4   2 23 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 11% 8.40 4.10 P
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
MAILS HERE 3 7 7 6   6 3 (brafford mich)BRACHO A 123 6.00 6.50  
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
STORMED OUT 6 3 53 5   3 4 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00 14.70  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
MILAGRO DE JOVANNI 5 1 4 3½   4 5 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 4.50 7.30  
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
SAMURAI WAY 4 2 21 2nk   5 614¼ (barton e)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 46% 1.20 2.10  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
ROUGE TU RICHES 7 6 64 7   710¾ 716¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 8.00  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.