Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $38.00 $14.00 58%
MVR-4   DD (8/3/5/4)-(4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $24.60 $0.60 3%
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $24.40 $14.40 144%
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-4 $56.60 $26.60 89%
    PK3 (8/3/5/4)-(4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-4-4 $108.25 $78.25 261%
MVR-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    DD (1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-3 $113.80 $83.80 279%
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50  4-4-3 $101.80 $79.30 352%
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $24.60 $12.60 105%
    PK6 (8/3/5/4)-(4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2)-(7/2/8)-(4/1/2) 1620 $0.20 $324  5-1/4-4-3-5-1 $648.96 $324.96 100%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S MISSION   (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 19% 4.40 2.20 W
ALTAIR   (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 3.00  
MR LAOBAN   (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 121 6.00 5% 18.50 4.70 S
KILLER BEE   (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 51% 1.00 1.70  
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE   (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 10.00 9.50  
PASION AZTECA   (morelos mateo)DIAZ I 124 20.00 28.70  
SCR  BELL CURVE   (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
SCR  JOHN'S KID   (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 121 2.50    
 
MVR-2   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LITTLE BEAST   (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 6.90  
LOCK ON   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 23% 3.40 12.40 P
APACHE   (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.50 1.20 S
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE   (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 27% 2.80 3.90  
GAMBLER   (bush s)BUSH V 126 3.00 9.00  
BEASTFROMTHEEAST   (cascallares n)LUGO D 126 4.00 2.50  
 
MVR-3   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBIT MARS   (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 13.30 4.40 W
SHELLEY'S GEM   (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.50 22% 3.60 1.90 P
JOAN'S WAY   (silva carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 124 6.00 6.90  
BACKSPLASH   (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 6.00  
SIERRA DIAMOND   (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
DON'T LOSE HOPE   (cascallares n)LUGO D 124 10.00 6.90  
STORM CHARGING   (hester haley)BUSH V 124 10.00 10.70  
SOFIA STRONG   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 6.00  
SCR  AMAAZA   (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY INCLUSIVE   (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 41% 1.40 0.80 W
DANCE DRAMA   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 19% 4.10 1.70 P
SWEET AS MERRIE   (reed r)HALDAR J 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.90 S
TITEBLUEJEANS   (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 11.30  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY   (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 32.50  
HAUGHTY PRAISE   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00 27.10  
SCR  DEE'S KY WILDCAT   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIER ONE   (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 4.50 5% 17.20 11.20 W
FAST CLIP   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 7.00  
MAN'S CHOICE   (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 32.30  
WILDCAT PRIDE   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 41% 1.40 2.20  
I STRONG   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 19% 4.40 2.00  
BUCKEYE CHARLIE   (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 10.00 31.30  
ORFANO   (waltz brian)BRACHO A 121 6.00 12% 7.30 2.80  
10  BUCKEYE RED   (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 5% 19.00 48.70  
YOU'RE OUT   (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 46.00  
BAD BOY BOOGIE   (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 121 15.00 61.70  
 
MVR-6   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCLOSURE   (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 23% 3.40 4.30 W
AULD LANGE SYNE   (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 10.10  
BLUEGRASS PARKWAY   (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.20 S
CUMBER   (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 5.00 21% 3.80 5.90  
WAR NOVEL   (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 126 3.00 1.60  
SURF AND TURF   (londono j)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 7.70  
SCR  SKIDSTREAM   (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS   (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 3.90  
CHANEL SPIRIT   (cline c)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 21% 3.70 2.40 P
LADY JASPER   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 S
SEEYOUINMOTOWN   (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
GOODNESS SAKES   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 5.20  
I'M JAC'D   (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 48.40  
STATE OF GRACE   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 66.40  
WHYNAUGHTY   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00 21.10  
 
MVR-8   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWTIME BOY   (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 19% 4.30 2.50 W
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
EL SORDO   (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 11% 8.40 4.10 P
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
MAILS HERE   (brafford mich)BRACHO A 123 6.00 6.50  
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
STORMED OUT   (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00 14.70  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
MILAGRO DE JOVANNI   (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 4.50 7.30  
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
SAMURAI WAY   (barton e)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 46% 1.20 2.10  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
ROUGE TU RICHES   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 8.00  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.