Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(1/6/4)-(3/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/5/4)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4/10)-(1/8/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4/10)-(1/8/6/4/10)-(1/8/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/4/10)-(4/3/2)-(7/2/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/2/8)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/5/8)-(7/2/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOHN'S KID Oct10 Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug14 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 121 2.50    
2  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Sep21 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 10.00    
3  GIZMO'S MISSION Oct17 Oct09 Sep21 Sep06 Aug11 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 19% 4.40    
4  PASION AZTECA Oct07 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul27 (morelos mateo)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
5  KILLER BEE Sep21 Jun23 May27 May11 Apr13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  BELL CURVE Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 Jul07 Jun23 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
7  MR LAOBAN Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 Jul11 Jun23 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 121 6.00 5% 18.50    
8  ALTAIR Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00    
 
MVR-2   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Oct03 Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 Oct19 (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
2  GAMBLER Oct07 Sep16 Aug15 Aug02 May19 (bush s)BUSH V 126 3.00    
3  BAD LITTLE BEAST Oct05 Sep04 Aug17 Jul19 Jul03 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00    
4  APACHE Oct11 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
5  BEASTFROMTHEEAST Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Apr19 (cascallares n)LUGO D 126 4.00    
6  LOCK ON Oct03 Sep07 Aug09 Jul29 Jul13 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-3   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LOSE HOPE Sep27 Feb12 Sep28 Sep06   (cascallares n)LUGO D 124 10.00    
2  JOAN'S WAY Oct05 Sep15 Aug22 Jul26 Jul06 (silva carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 124 6.00    
3  SHELLEY'S GEM Aug23 Jul04 May06 Apr24 Feb02 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  SIERRA DIAMOND Oct02 Aug29 Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ORBIT MARS Oct04 Sep12 Sep05 Aug08 Jul16 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
6  SOFIA STRONG Sep14 Aug21 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
7  STORM CHARGING Oct26 Oct11 Sep23 Sep15 Aug19 (hester haley)BUSH V 124 10.00    
SCR  AMAAZA Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 Aug22 Jun15 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  BACKSPLASH Sep25 Sep05 Aug21 Jul27 Jul10 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Oct03 Sep11 Aug22 Jul19 Jul03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
2  SWEET AS MERRIE Oct04 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 Jun09 (reed r)HALDAR J 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  DANCE DRAMA Oct04 Sep11 Aug09 Jul25 Jun01 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
4  TRULY INCLUSIVE May06 Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 Jun13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  TITEBLUEJEANS Oct06 Aug31 Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
6  HAUGHTY PRAISE Oct06 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 124 12.00    
7  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Aug03 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00    
 
MVR-5   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT PRIDE Oct03 Sep19 Mar02 Dec30 Nov30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
2  BAD BOY BOOGIE Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 121 15.00    
3  MAN'S CHOICE Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 Jul06 Jun05 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
4  TIER ONE Oct10 Sep27 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 4.50 5% 17.20    
5  YOU'RE OUT Sep28 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  ORFANO Sep29 Aug31 Jul24 Dec19 Nov16 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
7  BUCKEYE CHARLIE Mar30 Mar01 Feb09     (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 10.00    
8  I STRONG Oct12 Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
9  FAST CLIP Oct03 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 Jul10 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
10  BUCKEYE RED Oct04 Jun06 May08 Mar30 Mar06 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR NOVEL Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug03 Jul11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 126 3.00    
2  CUMBER Oct04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  DISCLOSURE Oct02 Aug31 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Oct07 Sep13 Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  AULD LANGE SYNE Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 Aug03 Jul10 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
6  SURF AND TURF Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 (londono j)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
SCR  SKIDSTREAM Oct13 Sep27 Sep11 Aug31 Aug16 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   10/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M JAC'D Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
2  CHANEL SPIRIT Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Mar23 Mar02 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  GOODNESS SAKES Sep22 Aug18 Aug06 May11 Apr27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
4  WHYNAUGHTY Oct06 Aug10 Jun24 May24 May04 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00    
5  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Oct10 Sep28 May25 May10 Apr27 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 ★    
6  STATE OF GRACE Sep22 Sep07 Jul27 Jul07 Mar15 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
7  LADY JASPER Aug26 Jul17 Jun05 May24 Apr24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
8  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Sep11 Jul24 Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWTIME BOY Oct11 Sep21 Aug18 Aug09 Jul24 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
2  EL SORDO Oct11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 11% 8.40    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  MAILS HERE Oct06         (brafford mich)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
4  SAMURAI WAY Oct06 Sep09 Aug09 Jul22 May25 (barton e)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
5  MILAGRO DE JOVANNI Oct11 Aug28       (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 4.50    
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
6  STORMED OUT Oct06 Sep09 Jul22     (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
7  ROUGE TU RICHES Oct11 Sep21 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.