The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $31.80 $31.80 23.80
MVR-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.40 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (2/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.80 -8.00
MVR-4   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
MVR-5   Win (1/10/5/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 1.60
MVR-6   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (2/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $19.20 -8.00
MVR-8   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $39.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:252 :492 1:144 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPPLY CHAIN 4 4 3 3½ 1nk 11¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 13% 6.60 14.90 W
GILES 6 1 7 78 7 42¾ (cline c)HALDAR J 124 5.00 22% 3.60 5.30 P
PARADE GRAND 1 5 1½ 1nk 2nk 23(clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 6.00 18% 4.60 8.60 DQ↓5
EXALTED JOY 5 3 4 53 4 55 4(vecchio c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 8.10  
MORE THAN GOOD 2 2 2½ 2nk 3.2 357 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 12.00 17% 4.80 2.20  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 8 7 6 64 6 68 611 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 3.00 9.40  
LOOK AWAY 3 8 813¾ 815 815¼ 812 713¾ (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 23.80  
CANDY CRUSHEM 7 6 5 4 5 79 814¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 1.80  
SCR  TEXTPECTATION               (morzan jav)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:23 :48 1:02     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 1 4 11 1nk   1nk 11 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 4.20  
WHEN IN ROME 3 3 4 5   2nk 21 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.00 28% 2.60 2.90 P
LEAVENWORTH 2 6 6 6   32 3(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.20 52% 0.90 0.50 S
HEART OF AN ANGEL 5 1 21 4¼   45 414 (rettele richar)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 6 2 3 2nk   6519½ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00 34.90  
LIGHTNING CASHES 4 5 5 3.2   57 619¾ (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 50.70  
 
MVR-3   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
:231 :471 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZA MAGIC 3 4 2 2   2½ 1¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 3.40  
OUT FOR FUN 5 6 4 53   31 2¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 15% 5.50 2.40 P
LADY FORTUNE 2 7 1 1   1½ 3(zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 23% 3.40 4.80 S
FABULOUS CLOWN 6 5 8 8   53 4(faulkner rodney)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 5.70  
PRICELESS PICTURE 8 3 7 6   65(anderson susan )LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 19% 4.20 5.70  
BODE'S ROSE 7 1 64 42   43 65 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 15.00 11% 7.90 9.30  
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 4 2 33 3   776 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 17.90  
BEAUTIFUL LASS 1 8 5 7   8810¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 10.00  
 
MVR-4   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
:23 :464 :60     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILLIGAN 5 5 4 4¼   12 1(clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 26% 2.80 1.60 W
OVERBEARING 3 2 5 5   42(pappada julie )ROSARIO L 124 4.50 8.60  
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 4 4 2nk 3.2   32 3(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 8.80  
BOURBON OVER ICE 2 6 6 6   64(schuster robin)HALDAR J 126 3.00 8% 12.10 7.20  
GEHRIG 1 3 1nk 2nk   22 5(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.00  
DIAMONDS ENJOY 6 1 3.2 1nk   54 6(galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 29.70  
 
MVR-5   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:222 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOWN GUY 2 4 21 1nk   11 1(casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.80 W
QUANTUM THEORY 5 6 54 5   42(bernardin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 11% 7.80 4.60 P
SILVER MATT 4 9 7 7   33 3(romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 6.00 33.50  
CONSIDER ME 9 2 4 2nk   21 44 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 2.90  
11  ON HIS TOES 11 3 6 6   65 55 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 18.80 5.50  
UNCAPTURED LYON 7 5 3 3½   54 6(erdel john)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00 15.80  
GOTIGER SPECIAL 8 1 9 8   87 77 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 ######  
10  LAND REMEMBERED 10 11 11 10   77 88 (schuster robin)HALDAR J 124 4.00 29% 2.50 7.60  
DAY IN THE COUNTRY 6 10 10 9   9910¾ (meredith char)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 23.50  
FLEET RUN 3 8 8 11   111010¾ (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00 97.00  
GIZMO'S MISSION 1 7 11 4¾   101112¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 32% 2.10 3.80  
 
MVR-6   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
:242 :473 1:124 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARILLO 4 4 612 68 5 31 1(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 4.20  
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 3 5 58 56 4¾ 21 2(shanyfelt valer)BRACHO A 126 2.50 56% 0.80 3.20 P
HUNTER SCOTT 1 2 11 1nk 3½ 11 3(acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 20.80  
OUTLIER 5 1 44 42 2½ 448 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 126 1.80 0.80  
STATESBORO 2 3 31 2nk 1½ 52 516¼ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
AYE AYE SIR 6 6 21 3 620¾ 6100 6100 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7% 13.90 9.30  
SCR  HENRY MAC               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:23 :464 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW SHIP 5 1 12 1   13 13 (mahan joseph )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 8.60  
CROSSED UP 3 5 33 3   34 23 (zielinski)PILARES P 124 6.00 5.70  
HIGH FIRE 7 3 7 7   435 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.50 15% 5.60 2.70 S
APPEALING SENORITA 1 6 22 2   23 4(gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
TWERK 6 2 6 6   57 510½ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 1.90  
POWER BANKER 2 7 43 4   69 614¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 4.50 33% 2.10 5.00  
SOLE FACTOR 4 4 5 5   710 716¾ (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 51.10  
PENNY SHOTS 8 8 812¾ 814¾   820 830 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 28% 2.50 10.10  
 
MVR-8   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
:221 :463       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O SHAUGHESEY 3 2 2 2½   1½ 1(patterson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 18.70  
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 1 4 44   32(rone mike)RIVERA R 124 5.00 11% 8.40 7.40 P
LADY LOTTIE 6 5 5 56   43(dacosta jason)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.80 54% 0.80 0.10 S
MUSICMANSANDY 7 4 3 32   2½ 4(estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 122 2.50 6.00  
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 5 6 6 68   55(huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 86.90  
SHEZ SHACKED UP 1 3 1 1½   6618 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 10.00 8% 11.00 20.30  
CAUSE OF LOVE 4 7 7 710½   713½ 722½ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 59.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.