Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(2/3/5)-(2/8/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/8/5/7)-(1/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/7)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/7)-(1/5/2)-(1/10/5/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/10/5/11/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/10/5/11/2)-(4/7/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (1/10/5/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/5/11/2)-(1/10/5/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/5/11/2)-(1/10/5/11/2)-(1/10/5/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/5/11/2)-(4/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/10/5/11/2)-(4/7/3)-(2/8/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(2/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(2/8/7/1)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/1)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADE GRAND Oct11 Oct02 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  MORE THAN GOOD Oct18 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 Jun27 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 12.00 17% 4.80    
3  LOOK AWAY Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 (jones s)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
4  SUPPLY CHAIN Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Jul18 Jun27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  EXALTED JOY Oct13 Sep26 Sep18 Sep02 Jul12 (vecchio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
6  GILES Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  CANDY CRUSHEM Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Jul27 Jul11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00    
SCR  TEXTPECTATION Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 (morzan j)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
9  ARTEMUS EAGLE Oct18 Oct09 Sep20 Sep08 Aug19 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
 
MVR-2   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00    
2  LEAVENWORTH Feb26 Dec21 Nov20     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
3  WHEN IN ROME Jun20 Jun06 Mar20 Feb07 Jan30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  LIGHTNING CASHES Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Aug15 Aug04 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
5  HEART OF AN ANGEL Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00    
 
MVR-3   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL LASS Oct09 Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
2  LADY FORTUNE Sep18 Jun26 Mar15 Feb13 Jan24 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  DANZA MAGIC Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug03 Jul13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Oct12 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
5  OUT FOR FUN Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 15% 5.50    
6  FABULOUS CLOWN Oct09 Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 Jun12 (faulkner rodn)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00    
7  BODE'S ROSE Sep28 Mar02 Jan03 Nov28 Oct26 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 15.00 11% 7.90    
8  PRICELESS PICTURE Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 Aug26 Jul27 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
MVR-4   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEHRIG Oct21 Sep27 Aug17 Jun10 May08 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  BOURBON OVER ICE Oct10 Sep27 Sep12 Aug16 Jul26 (schuster rob)HALDAR J 126 3.00 8% 12.10    
3  OVERBEARING Oct11 Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 Aug04 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 4.50    
4  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Sep23 Jul26 May19 Apr27 Feb23 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
5  GILLIGAN Oct24 Oct01 Sep20 Sep13 Aug29 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  DIAMONDS ENJOY Oct06 Sep12 Aug17 Jul20 Jun24 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO'S MISSION Oct25 Oct17 Oct09 Sep21 Sep06 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
2  UPTOWN GUY Oct24 Oct05 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLEET RUN Oct05 Jun13 Mar15 Feb18 Jan25 (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
4  SILVER MATT Jul11 Jun11 May24 May08 Mar06 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
5  QUANTUM THEORY Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul16 Jul10 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 11% 7.80    
6  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 (meredith ch)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
7  UNCAPTURED LYON Oct09 Sep21 Aug21 Jul11 Jun21 (erdel john)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00    
8  GOTIGER SPECIAL Oct05 Jun13 Dec13 Nov21 Oct27 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
9  CONSIDER ME Oct22 Sep21 May29 May09 Apr04 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
10  LAND REMEMBERED Sep26 Sep07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (schuster rob)HALDAR J 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
11  ON HIS TOES Oct16 Oct05 Aug31 Aug15 Jul24 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
 
MVR-6   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HENRY MAC Oct04 Sep12 Aug16 Jul22 Jul05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 6.00    
2  HUNTER SCOTT Sep26 Aug06 Jul16 Apr11 Feb08 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
3  STATESBORO Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 Jul14 Jun27 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Oct02 Sep18 Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 (shanyfelt val)BRACHO A 126 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  CARILLO Oct03 Sep08 Jul05 Jun06 May17 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00    
6  OUTLIER Oct26 Oct01 Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 126 1.80    
7  AYE AYE SIR Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 May30 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7% 13.90    
 
MVR-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING SENORITA Oct28 Oct06 Sep26 Sep18 Sep06 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  POWER BANKER Jul17 May26 May11 Apr11 Mar15 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
3  CROSSED UP Oct10 Aug14 Jul17 Jun12 May10 (zielins)PILARES P 124 6.00    
4  SOLE FACTOR Sep18 Aug07 Jul17 Dec30 Nov17 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
5  RAINBOW SHIP Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 Jul17 (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00    
6  TWERK Oct02 Sep18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
7  HIGH FIRE Oct06 Sep13 Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.50 15% 5.60    
8  PENNY SHOTS Sep13 Aug17 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
MVR-8   11/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZ SHACKED UP Jul19 Jun22 Jun01     (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 Jul22 Jun21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  O SHAUGHESEY Sep30 Sep02 Jul22 Jul14 Jun25 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr10 Mar20 Feb23 Feb06 Jan19 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
5  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Sep13 Aug22 May22 May02 Apr12 (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
6  LADY LOTTIE Oct05 Sep19 Aug14 Oct29 Sep15 (dacosta jason)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.80 54% 0.80    
7  MUSICMANSANDY Oct05 Aug22 Jul13 Jun23 May02 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.