Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $26.00 $20.00 333%
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-5 $92.00 $74.00 411%
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-5-6 $154.40 $136.40 758%
MNR-7   EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $14.40 $2.40 20%
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6-7 $23.80 $17.80 297%
MNR-8   WIN (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $18.40 $10.40 130%
    EXA (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-8 $84.20 $60.20 251%
    TRI (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-8-2 $259.90 $235.90 983%
    SFT (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-8-2-6 $2629 $2605 10858%
    DD (4/6/7)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $56.00 $32.00 133%
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/6/7)-(8/6/2/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00  5-4-5 $103.00 $31.00 43%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIPARI   (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50 16% 5.40 1.80 W
MACI'S GEMSTONE   (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 3.20  
TEST YOUR FAITH   (wade justin)VEGA L 123 12.00 17.00  
MORE TO FOLLOW   (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
TWELVE SHARP   (alamo miguel)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 58% 0.70 1.00  
NIKITA   (blackhu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 17.30  
SCR  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT   (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 118 5.00    
 
MNR-2   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CHAMP   (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 2.40  
OVERBEARING   (musarro jos)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00 3.50  
ENZOEXPRESS   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 11.50  
THE FILTER   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 3.70  
GOTTAGETITBACK   (logston chris)NELSON TYRONE 120 5.00 21% 3.90 7.30  
HIDDEN RULER   (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 6% 16.10 23.90  
MAGIC MOUNTAIN   (welsh )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 43% 1.30 2.90  
 
MNR-3   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION STATION   (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 4.00  
PARADE GRAND   (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 15% 5.60 8.00 P
HOBE SOUND (IRE)   (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.20 48% 1.10 0.80 S
RY'S REVENGE   (depasquale )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00 17.20  
KNOWN   (wolfe greg)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 6.40  
BALTIC FLEET   (gomez alejand)NELSON TYRONE 120 3.50 9% 10.40 4.50  
 
MNR-4   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZIN FOR CHAOS   (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 10.00 30% 2.40 12.00 W
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SHE'S TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
I'LL SMOKEM   (si)DA FAUSTO 118 3.50 2.30 P
  (by SMOKEM out of ELUSIVE BEAUTY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
STANDINGINTHEFIRE   (gotera c)TOLEDO S 118 3.00 43% 1.30 8.30 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of STAND BY FOR NEWS by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
TWO MORE SHOTS   (silva jose )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 4.50 10.20  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MANSION PARTY   (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00 1.20  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
HEARTFELT KARTER   (short thomas)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 16.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
SPIDER PIG   (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 6.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of TRAVELERS' WAY by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  MOON RIDGE   (montano)BRAVO MISAEL 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MOONSHOT by GRAND SLAM)
 
MNR-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL'S CANYON   (meyers shane)DIAZ I 120 6.00 2.90  
CHASE LIL ME   (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 2.60  
EXECUTIVE PRIZE   (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 6.50  
SWORD OF DAMOCLES   (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 6% 14.60 5.80  
BURR HILL BULLET   (carlisl)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.80 58% 0.70 1.40  
SCR  DE'S CASTLE   (carlis)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  FAST RIDE   (rawlings amanda)LEON A 120 30.00    
 
MNR-6   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE   (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.20 44% 1.30 1.20 W
BANKX TURBO   (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 11.20  
SHELTOWEE'S BALI   (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 16% 5.40 2.40 S
SPEIGHTY WAR   (wolfe greg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50 20% 4.00 2.80  
TYPE SETTER   (bell brenda)LEON A 120 6.00 16.30  
HINK'S PALADIN   (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 13.30  
 
MNR-7   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S GEM   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 1.60 39% 1.60 1.40 W
RAD PAISLEY   (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 19% 4.20 3.40 P
TWO GUNS   (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 13% 6.60 5.10 S
EMPEROROFTHEDARK   (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 4.00 3.00  
BLACK CANDY   (blackhurst )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00 35.10  
PERFETTO   (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 18.00  
FEDERALE   (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 10.50  
 
MNR-8   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ALIBI   (langley s)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20 W
CHOPPED   (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00 42% 1.40 6.00 P
BACK ALLEY CAT   (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
PRETTY STORMY   (murillo r)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 24% 3.20 34.50  
BATTLE CREEK   (potts r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 3.30  
KANTPAYTHETOLL   (boyd l)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 5.70  
GOOD IDEA   (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 2.10  
MR HOOVER   (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 5.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.