Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(1/4/3)-(6/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/4)-(5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/6/7)-(8/6/2/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVE SHARP Sep27 Sep06 Aug29 Aug07 Jun18 (alamo miguel)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
2  MORE TO FOLLOW Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TEST YOUR FAITH Sep12 Sep06 Aug29 Aug14 Jul19 (wade justin)VEGA L 123 12.00    
4  NIKITA Sep17 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul16 (blackhu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
5  LIPARI Sep27 Sep15 Aug18 Jun27 Jun10 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50 16% 5.40    
6  MACI'S GEMSTONE Sep21 Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jul14 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00    
SCR  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT Aug15 Aug09 Jul17 Mar05 Feb20 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 118 5.00    
 
MNR-2   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENZOEXPRESS Sep13 Aug14 Aug06 Jul12 Jun18 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
2  HIDDEN RULER Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 6% 16.10    
3  THE FILTER Sep27 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jun27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
4  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Sep19 Aug15 Jul31 Jul09 Jun13 (welsh )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  OVERBEARING Sep14 Sep01 Aug24 Aug04 Jul01 (musarro jos)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00    
6  GOTTAGETITBACK Oct01 Sep05 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 (logston chris)NELSON TYRONE 120 5.00 21% 3.90    
7  HAPPY CHAMP Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00    
 
MNR-3   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Sep05 Aug23 Aug13 Jul24 Jun25 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.20 48% 1.10    
2  KNOWN Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Jul17 Jun19 (wolfe greg)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50    
3  BALTIC FLEET Sep27 Sep05 Aug29 Aug22 Jun11 (gomez alejand)NELSON TYRONE 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
4  PARADE GRAND Oct02 Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
5  UNION STATION Sep25 Sep10 Jun23 May27 Apr13 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
6  RY'S REVENGE Sep13 Aug21 Jul31 Jul09 May30 (depasquale )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
 
MNR-4   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTFELT KARTER Sep28 Sep05 Aug18 Jul12   (short thomas)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
2  MANSION PARTY Sep28 Sep11 Aug26 Jul12 Jun23 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MOON RIDGE Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul04 Jun22 (montano)BRAVO MISAEL 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MOONSHOT by GRAND SLAM)
4  CRUZIN FOR CHAOS         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 10.00 30% 2.40    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SHE'S TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  I'LL SMOKEM Sep03 Jul30 Jul08     (si)DA FAUSTO 118 3.50 ★    
  (by SMOKEM out of ELUSIVE BEAUTY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Oct05 Sep17 Sep01     (gotera c)TOLEDO S 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of STAND BY FOR NEWS by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  TWO MORE SHOTS Oct05 Sep16 Jul29 Jul03   (silva jose )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  SPIDER PIG Sep16 Aug06 Jul21     (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TRAVELERS' WAY by AFLEET ALEX)
 
MNR-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DE'S CASTLE Oct05 Aug31 Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 (carlis)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 11% 8.40    
2  CHASE LIL ME Sep07 Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50    
3  EXECUTIVE PRIZE Oct01 Sep06 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
4  DEVIL'S CANYON Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 Apr20 Mar10 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 120 6.00    
5  BURR HILL BULLET Sep25 Aug13 Nov17 Oct19 Sep30 (carlisl)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
SCR  FAST RIDE Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul12 Jun25 (rawlings amanda)LEON A 120 30.00    
7  SWORD OF DAMOCLES Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 6% 14.60    
 
MNR-6   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKX TURBO Sep17 Sep04 May28 May14 Dec14 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
2  HINK'S PALADIN Sep30 Sep18 May27 May06 Apr27 (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
3  SPEIGHTY WAR Sep17 Sep03 Aug16 Jul19 May28 (wolfe greg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  SHELTOWEE'S BALI Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  SUTTON BREEZE Sep20 Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 Apr30 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.20 44% 1.30    
6  TYPE SETTER Sep18 Nov14       (bell brenda)LEON A 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK CANDY Sep17 Sep04 Aug05 Jul20 Jun21 (blackhurst )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
2  FEDERALE Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 Jun13 Sep13 (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00    
3  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Sep12 Sep03 Jun21 Jun11 Apr30 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
4  DAVID'S GEM Sep04 Aug08 Jun27 May29 May02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 1.60 39% 1.60    
5  PERFETTO Jul10 Jun25 May08 Apr15 Mar14 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
6  RAD PAISLEY Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 Apr29 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  TWO GUNS Sep26 Sep05 Aug13 Aug04 Apr02 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
MNR-8   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD IDEA Sep26 Sep04 Jul17 Jun24 Jun13 (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00    
2  BACK ALLEY CAT Sep26 Sep19 Aug09 Jul30 Jul18 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  KANTPAYTHETOLL Oct01 Sep05 Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 (boyd l)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
4  MR HOOVER Sep21 Aug11 Jul14 Mar09 Feb17 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00    
5  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 Jul10 (langley s)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRETTY STORMY Sep26 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug13 (murillo r)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
7  BATTLE CREEK Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 (potts r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00    
8  CHOPPED Sep24 Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jul23 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.