Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $20.00 $14.00 233%
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-7 $64.20 $52.20 435%
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-7-3 $86.30 $80.30 1338%
MNR-4   DD (7/3/5)-(2/3/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-2 $29.80 $11.80 66%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO CLASICO 9 6 5 42   21 12 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 118 6.00 7.20  
MINDSHIP Q 1 3 1nk 1nk   11 22 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 5% 19.00 6.30 P
ANGUSONIC 5 2 6 6   31 33 (mcentee paul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00 47% 1.10 5.90 S
A. P. AVATAR 6 7 7 7   43 4 (pinzon ma)CORREA L 118 15.00 11.90  
PERJURY 8 4 43 5   5 5 (cross kenny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50 5% 19.00 3.50  
SCREAMING JEREMY 3 8 8 8   8 6 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 5.00 23% 3.30 4.80  
LOCKDOWN LOVER 4 5 32 31   6 710¾ (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 123 6.00 17.50  
GRAND SIR 2 9 9 9   9 811½ (montano wilfr)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00 40.90  
KRUSIN ROCKET 7 1 2nk 2nk   7 914 (martin n)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 2.80  
 
MNR-2   10/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:15     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILLY CHROME 4 2 2nk 1nk 3.2 1nk 1¾ (wolfe )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 1.00  
CROSSTOWN GIRL 6 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 3.2 2¾ (fiesman l)VIGIL NOEL 120 15.00 15.00  
FLAXEN 7 4 4 3½ 2nk 2nk 3 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 4.20  
MISS FORT 5 7 7 6 4¾ 4 4 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 10% 8.80 4.50  
CHORIST 3 3 31 4 5 5 513¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 20% 3.90 6.10  
MAY BEAU 2 5 5 5 6 6 616½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 120 2.50 38% 1.60 7.40  
BEE WINGS 1 6 6 7 7 710¼ 721¼ (noland ro)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00 22.40  
 
MNR-3   10/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORSESE 4 5 12 12 15 15 1 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 8.00 15% 5.90 9.00 W
BRODYTHEOXMAN 6 3 46 67 46 25 2 (alamo miguel )BRACHO A 120 2.00 34% 2.00 1.90 P
TEXTPECTATION 2 4 57 5 6 5 3 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 22% 3.50 4.00 S
GENERAL DIRECTION 5 1 35 36 36 35 4 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 8.40  
HE'S THE SOUPERWON 1 2 22 22 25 46 511½ (van met)BRAVO MISAEL 113 3.00 2.10  
PICKFORD 3 6 67 4 57 6 611½ (conto )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 5.90  
SCR  NOBLE BEHAVIOR               (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.50    
 
MNR-4   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATER DAYS 2 1 1 12   15 17 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 1.20 64% 0.60 0.50 W
HIDDEN IDENTITY 4 7 56 33   25 27 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 12.00 6.20  
SHARP JUSTICE 1 5 33 5   36 310¼ (murillo rodrigue)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00 47.40  
BELLE BREZING 3 6 7 78   710 411¾ (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 8% 11.40 7.40  
10  COWGIRL KIMMIE 7 3 6 4   58 512 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00 13.10  
MY ANGELICA 5 4 46 65   69 614½ (pinzon ma)CORREA L 120 10.00 6.00  
ICE FLOE 6 2 2 22   48 715½ (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 7% 13.60 16.30  
SCR  FIONA POWER               (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SCR  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF               (simpson shann)CEDILLO MAURO 120 30.00    
SCR  MYRRH               (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 120 2.50    
 
MNR-5   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUR ME A DOUBLE 5 5 3½ 21   2½ 1 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 2.20  
ON HIS TOES 6 7 5 33   32 2 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 4.80  
THE FIVE B'S 7 1 1½ 11   1½ 33 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 5.00 43% 1.30 3.40 S
BEND IN THE RIVER 1 3 2½ 43   53 4 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.50  
HARD FROST 3 2 4 5   4 5 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 14% 5.90 4.70  
CUPID'S NUMBER 2 6 6 6   66 612 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 121 30.00 40.50  
BON DEUX 4 4 7 7   79 715¼ (mcgaffic )HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00 32.50  
SCR  FIFTY PESOS               (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 121 8.00    
 
MNR-6   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY ROYALE 3 6 6 42   21 1 (delong ben)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00 25.90  
VACATION SECRET 4 3 11 11   11 2 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 8% 10.80 10.10 P
CHURCH KEY 2 5 32 31   32 3 (harris)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 13.00  
ULTRA DIVA 6 2 54 53   5 4 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 24% 3.20 3.90  
MUSIC LASS 5 4 42 21   42 5 (tuomist)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.60 45% 1.20 0.50  
WHISKEY TALKING 1 1 21 6   6 611¼ (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 5.70  
SCR  COACH MACHEN               (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLT ROCK 8 1 1nk 11   12 1 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00 3.40  
HAZEDNCONFUSED 1 4 32 3   32 2 (lane j)CULLUM W 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
MAC DADDY 6 7 4 21   22 3 (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 39% 1.60 0.80 S
PINNACLE REEF 7 8 5 5   44 4 (runco j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 16.00  
REATA'S CASTLE 4 3 6 6   56 512 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 113 8.00 23.80  
SEXY CHOCOLATTE 5 6 7 7   6 612¼ (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50 22% 3.60 13.00  
TWILIGHT YEARS 2 5 8 8   8 715¾ (shuler john)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00 19% 4.30 8.20  
BEAR'S ESTATE 3 2 2nk 4   7 816 (lane j)PAUCAR E 120 20.00 34.70  
 
MNR-8   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GEMO 9 2 21 2nk   21 1¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 11.90  
WIZARD WILLIE 2 1 11 1nk   11 2¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 22% 3.60 1.30 P
DOCTOR LEE 7 5 5 32   33 3 (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 7.90  
SOURNOIS 1 4 4 6   54 4 (kirk sherry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00 37.10  
SMOOTH PAPA 3 3 31 4   44 5 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 123 15.00 12.30  
10  COLAVITO 8 7 6 5   66 611¾ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 9% 10.20 3.00  
MACHO SMOKE 5 9 8 8   7 713¼ (montano wilfr)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 18% 4.40 11.70  
FLASH ME BACK 6 8 97 9   8 814¾ (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 50.00 73.30  
K'S LITTLE BILL 4 6 7 7   9 916½ (martin n)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 19% 4.30 5.20  
SCR  MASKED               (spiess s)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 12.00    
SCR  PIONEER DANCER               (logston christo)VEGA L 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.