Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (5/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/8)-(2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(2/3/8) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(2/3/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(6/5/2/1)-(2/5/6/10) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(2/5/6/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (2/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/10)-(2/5/6/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/10)-(2/5/6/10)-(2/5/6/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINDSHIP Q Oct09 Sep21 Sep07 Aug21 Aug09 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRAND SIR Oct02 Sep13 Jun10 Jan13 Dec14 (montano wilfr)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
3  SCREAMING JEREMY Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 Aug13 Aug02 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  LOCKDOWN LOVER Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Jul25 Jul12 (morales m)CCAMAQUE M 123 6.00    
5  ANGUSONIC Oct04 Aug16 Jul12 Jun27 Jun17 (mcentee paul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00 47% 1.10    
6  A. P. AVATAR Sep29 Sep13 Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 (pinzon ma)CORREA L 118 15.00    
7  KRUSIN ROCKET Sep25 Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (martin n)PAUCAR E 120 3.00    
8  PERJURY Sep28 Sep17 Aug09 Jun24 Feb17 (cross kenny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  ESTILO CLASICO Oct09 Sep25 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 118 6.00    
 
MNR-2   10/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEE WINGS Sep24 Sep11 Sep04 Aug09 Aug01 (noland ro)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00    
2  MAY BEAU Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  CHORIST Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug08 Jul18 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
4  LILLY CHROME Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jun13 (wolfe )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
5  MISS FORT Sep18 Aug13 Jul30 Jun20 May18 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 10% 8.80    
6  CROSSTOWN GIRL Sep24 Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (fiesman l)VIGIL NOEL 120 15.00    
7  FLAXEN Sep14 Mar23 Mar07 Feb06 Jan03 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 4.00    
 
MNR-3   10/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Oct09 Sep27 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.50    
2  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Sep26 Aug29 Aug07 Dec28 Dec12 (van met)BRAVO MISAEL 113 3.00    
3  TEXTPECTATION Oct02 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  PICKFORD Oct02 Sep10 Aug23 Jul31 Jun25 (conto )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
5  SCORSESE Sep20 Sep10 Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
6  GENERAL DIRECTION Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun26 Nov08 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00    
7  BRODYTHEOXMAN Oct02 Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 Aug10 (alamo miguel )BRACHO A 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
MNR-4   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP JUSTICE Oct01 Sep13 Aug23 Aug13 Jul31 (murillo rodrigue)VIGIL NOEL 120 30.00    
2  LATER DAYS Oct04 Sep12 Sep05 Aug22 Jun15 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 1.20 64% 0.60    
3  BELLE BREZING Aug30 Aug20 Jul19 Jul12 Jul02 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 8% 11.40    
4  HIDDEN IDENTITY Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 12.00    
5  MY ANGELICA Oct05 Sep22 Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 (pinzon ma)CORREA L 120 10.00    
SCR  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Oct08 Jul22 Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 (simpson shann)CEDILLO MAURO 120 30.00    
SCR  MYRRH Oct04 Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 120 2.50    
8  ICE FLOE Sep19 Aug27 Aug08 Jul19 Jul02 (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  FIONA POWER Jun27 Jun01 May18 Mar26 Mar12 (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
10  COWGIRL KIMMIE Sep25 Sep05 Aug23 Jul12 Jul02 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-5   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEND IN THE RIVER Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FIFTY PESOS Sep27 Sep17 Aug20 Jun25 May29 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 121 8.00    
3  CUPID'S NUMBER Oct08 Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 Jul23 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 121 30.00    
4  HARD FROST Oct08 Aug27 Aug08 Jul03 Oct31 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
5  BON DEUX Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Jul30 (mcgaffic )HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00    
6  POUR ME A DOUBLE Sep28 Sep09 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 4.00    
7  ON HIS TOES Oct05 Aug31 Aug15 Jul24 Jun05 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50    
8  THE FIVE B'S Sep18 Sep04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 5.00 43% 1.30    
 
MNR-6   10/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY TALKING Oct02 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
2  CHURCH KEY Sep14 Aug19 Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 (harris)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50    
3  VICTORY ROYALE Oct02 Mar18 Feb16 Feb04 Jan21 (delong ben)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00    
4  VACATION SECRET Oct02 Aug30 Aug08 Jul21 Jun26 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
5  MUSIC LASS Oct02 Sep14 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 (tuomist)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  COACH MACHEN Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 May28 Apr30 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00    
7  ULTRA DIVA Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
MNR-7   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAZEDNCONFUSED Sep15 Aug19 Jun16 May25 Apr27 (lane j)CULLUM W 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TWILIGHT YEARS Sep25 Aug13 Jul03 Feb09 Dec14 (shuler john)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  BEAR'S ESTATE Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May20 Mar10 (lane j)PAUCAR E 120 20.00    
4  REATA'S CASTLE Sep28 Sep08 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 113 8.00    
5  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Sep17 Aug16 May07 Apr08 Mar19 (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
6  MAC DADDY Sep25 Aug07       (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  PINNACLE REEF Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 May26 May19 (runco j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
8  COLT ROCK Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 May13 Apr27 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00    
 
MNR-8   10/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOURNOIS Oct03 Sep10 Aug22 Jul31 Jun26 (kirk sherry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
2  WIZARD WILLIE Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 May29 Aug22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
3  SMOOTH PAPA Oct08 Sep26 May07 May02 Dec06 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 123 15.00    
SCR  MASKED Sep05 Aug14 Jul26 Oct24 Oct09 (spiess s)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 12.00    
5  K'S LITTLE BILL Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 Oct26 Oct12 (martin n)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
6  MACHO SMOKE Jul19 Jun03 May13 Apr21 Apr01 (montano wilfr)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PIONEER DANCER Sep05 Aug02 Jul23 Jun25 Feb21 (logston christo)VEGA L 123 30.00    
8  FLASH ME BACK Sep10 Aug15 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 50.00    
9  DOCTOR LEE Sep20 Aug02 Jul23 Jun26 Nov22 (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
10  COLAVITO Sep26 Sep05 Aug29 Jul10 Jun11 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 9% 10.20    
11  GEMO Sep20 Aug22 Jun26 Jun13 May28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.