Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $15.70 $9.70 162%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123 1:393   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIATUS 2 3 1½ 32½ 31½ 1nk 12¼ (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60 56% 0.80 0.40 W
1  PARTY OF NO 1 2 31½ 11 2½ 2nk 22¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 2.85  
5  DIAMONDBACK 4 1 2½ 21 1½ 3.2 32¼ (crete pierr)WENC C 120 3.50 4.15  
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 4 46 47 46½ 43¼ 45¼ (chud)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 21.90  
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE               (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
FE-2   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PICK A PENNY 4 1 33 33   31 1½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 1.80 29% 2.50 1.10 W
2  WHISPER ME A SONG 2 6 2nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 P
1  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 31 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00 7.70  
3  ALWAY'S ROSIE 3 3 43¼ 43½   42½ 43 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 11.75  
6  SMART IRENE 6 5 68¼ 68   55 53¾ (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 122 4.50 16.55  
5  SOVEREIGN TALE 5 4 56¾ 57   66½ 615½ (bailey barbar)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 13% 6.40 20.45  
 
FE-3   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOUND LUCKY 3 6 42 11   12 14 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 3.10  
5  EXECUTIVE GIANT 5 4 53½ 42½   22 24 (burke nige)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 6.00 2.30  
1  BEND IN THE RIVER 1 5 64½ 64½   43 34¾ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.55 S
2  LIL GREEN MACHINE 2 3 31½ 32   32 46¼ (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 12% 7.60 3.30  
6  NAVAL OFFICER 6 1 2½ 53   54½ 521 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 15% 5.90 13.25  
4  GUNZIG STINGER 4 2 1½ 21   6100 6100 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 11.70  
 
FE-4   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:382   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FLAWLESS RULER 5 2 11 11 13½ 13½ 18 (flint steve)STEIN JUSTIN 122 1.80 0.50  
  (by HONOR CODE out of FLAWLESS DIAMOND by SAINT BALLADO)
2  BEYOND TALENTED 2 7 75½ 67½ 45½ 23½ 28 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 120 4.00 13% 6.40 4.50 P
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
3  LE GRAND GARCON 3 6 21 31½ 34½ 35 312 (steer )ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00 32.85  
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
4  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 4 1 52½ 43½ 58 57 416¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 64% 0.60 3.65  
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
6  TONKA WAKAN 6 3 31 21 23½ 46 519 (steer )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00 5% 19.00 34.05  
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
1  BLASITO 1 4 64 79 714½ 710½ 624¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 13.50  
  (by SLIGO BAY out of ERICAS PIC by PRIVATE TERMS)
7  NGABE 7 5 41½ 54½ 69 68½ 726½ (husbands anthon)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 29.55  
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LOGITO by CITY ZIP)
 
FE-5   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:231 :462 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HALF TO RELOAD 4 1 11 11½   12 14¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 25% 3.00 2.30 W
1  GRAND GIZMO 1 5 32½ 32½   32 24¼ (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 6.00 16% 5.50 6.70 P
2  ARTIE'S ALL IN 2 6 65½ 67¼   43½ 34½ (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 12.65  
3  DON'T STOP DREAMIN 3 4 21 21½   22 45¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 38% 1.60 0.70  
5  LOADED SECRET 5 3 54 47   56 514½ (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 119 3.50 15.60  
6  J M R TUREK 6 2 44 57   68 617¾ (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 17.25  
 
FE-6   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOUEMMA 5 1 35½ 34½   1½ 12½ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 4.80  
4  ORBITING THE SKY 4 6 47½ 66½   52½ 22½ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 24% 3.20 3.75 P
3  FRESH DREAMS 3 3 57½ 45½   42 33¼ (cohen michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 2.50 15% 5.70 1.75 S
6  LITTLE FIRE 6 5 67¾ 56½   62¾ 43¼ (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 8.00 11.10  
2  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 2 23 23   32 57¾ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.30  
1  EASY ACCESS 1 4 13 13   2½ 68¾ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 11.35  
 
FE-7   10/09/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DOT'S VISION 8 2 21 2nk   13½ 14¾ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50 38% 1.70 0.80 W
7  SYNCHROMESH 6 8 713 65¼   44 24¾ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00 17.90  
4  BEYOND BORDERS 3 6 59 43½   23½ 36¾ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 5.00 16% 5.20 4.95 S
6  DE ONLY SOLUTION 5 3 37 53¾   54½ 47¼ (humber joseph)JADOO STEVE 120 20.00 42.15  
2  UNION COLONEL 1 4 47 33   33½ 58½ (warner)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 4.00  
5  DOCTOR UPTOWN 4 5 610 76¾   88¼ 69¾ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 8.35  
3  LOQUACIOUS 2 7 816 810¼   78 711¼ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 17% 4.80 22.30  
8  W W SPRINGTIME 7 1 11 1nk   65½ 812½ (mcmaho)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 7% 13.80 16.10  
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL               (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
SCR  STORMY SOUL               (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00    
SCR  TAKE A CHANCE               (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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