Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
FE-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
FE-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.20  
FE-4   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $3.00  
FE-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
FE-6   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.60  
FE-7   Win (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:123 1:393   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIATUS 2 3 1½ 3 3 1nk 1 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60 56% 0.80 0.40 W
PARTY OF NO 1 2 3 11 2½ 2nk 2 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 2.85  
DIAMONDBACK 4 1 2½ 21 1½ 3.2 3 (crete pierre)WENC C 120 3.50 4.15  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 4 46 47 4 4 4 (chudob)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 21.90  
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE               (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
FE-2   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:003     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK A PENNY 4 1 33 33   31 1½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 1.80 29% 2.50 1.10 W
WHISPER ME A SONG 2 6 2nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 P
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 31 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00 7.70  
ALWAY'S ROSIE 3 3 4 4   4 43 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 11.75  
SMART IRENE 6 5 6 68   55 5 (samulak jul)SEECHARAN A 122 4.50 16.55  
SOVEREIGN TALE 5 4 5 57   6 615½ (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 13% 6.40 20.45  
 
FE-3   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUND LUCKY 3 6 42 11   12 14 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 3.10  
EXECUTIVE GIANT 5 4 5 4   22 24 (burke nigel )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 6.00 2.30  
BEND IN THE RIVER 1 5 6 6   43 3 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.55 S
LIL GREEN MACHINE 2 3 3 32   32 4 (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 12% 7.60 3.30  
NAVAL OFFICER 6 1 2½ 53   5 521 (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 15% 5.90 13.25  
GUNZIG STINGER 4 2 1½ 21   6100 6100 (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 11.70  
 
FE-4   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:382   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS RULER 5 2 11 11 1 1 18 (flint steve)STEIN JUSTIN 122 1.80 0.50  
BEYOND TALENTED 2 7 7 6 4 2 28 (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 120 4.00 13% 6.40 4.50 P
LE GRAND GARCON 3 6 21 3 3 35 312 (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00 32.85  
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 4 1 5 4 58 57 416¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 64% 0.60 3.65  
TONKA WAKAN 6 3 31 21 2 46 519 (steer to)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00 5% 19.00 34.05  
BLASITO 1 4 64 79 714½ 710½ 624¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 13.50  
NGABE 7 5 4 5 69 6 726½ (husbands anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 29.55  
 
FE-5   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:231 :462 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF TO RELOAD 4 1 11 1   12 1 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 25% 3.00 2.30 W
GRAND GIZMO 1 5 3 3   32 2 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 6.00 16% 5.50 6.70 P
ARTIE'S ALL IN 2 6 6 6   4 3 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 12.65  
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 3 4 21 2   22 4 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 38% 1.60 0.70  
LOADED SECRET 5 3 54 47   56 514½ (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 119 3.50 15.60  
J M R TUREK 6 2 44 57   68 617¾ (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 17.25  
 
FE-6   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUEMMA 5 1 3 3   1½ 1 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 4.80  
ORBITING THE SKY 4 6 4 6   5 2 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 24% 3.20 3.75 P
FRESH DREAMS 3 3 5 4   42 3 (cohen michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 2.50 15% 5.70 1.75 S
LITTLE FIRE 6 5 6 5   6 4 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 8.00 11.10  
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 2 23 23   32 5 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.30  
EASY ACCESS 1 4 13 13   2½ 6 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 11.35  
 
FE-7   10/09/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT'S VISION 8 2 21 2nk   1 1 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50 38% 1.70 0.80 W
SYNCHROMESH 6 8 713 6   44 2 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00 17.90  
BEYOND BORDERS 3 6 59 4   2 3 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 5.00 16% 5.20 4.95 S
DE ONLY SOLUTION 5 3 37 5   5 4 (humber joseph)JADOO STEVE 120 20.00 42.15  
UNION COLONEL 1 4 47 33   3 5 (warner r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 4.00  
DOCTOR UPTOWN 4 5 610 7   8 6 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 8.35  
LOQUACIOUS 2 7 816 810¼   78 711¼ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 17% 4.80 22.30  
W W SPRINGTIME 7 1 11 1nk   6 812½ (mcmahon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 7% 13.80 16.10  
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
SCR  STORMY SOUL               (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00    
SCR  TAKE A CHANCE               (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.