Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
FE-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY OF NO Sep04 Aug07 Jul31 Jul16 Oct03 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00    
HIATUS Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 Jul31 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
IRIE ISLAND MAN Sep25 Sep05 Aug28 Aug08 Aug01 (chudob)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
DIAMONDBACK Sep19 Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jun27 (crete pierre)WENC C 120 3.50    
 
FE-2   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Sep26 Sep11 Aug08 Jul12 Jun09 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00    
WHISPER ME A SONG Sep26 Aug28 Jul29 Jun11   (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
ALWAY'S ROSIE Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00    
PICK A PENNY Sep26 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 May05 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
SOVEREIGN TALE         (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 13% 6.40    
SMART IRENE Sep28 Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 (samulak jul)SEECHARAN A 122 4.50    
 
FE-3   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEND IN THE RIVER Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jun17 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
LIL GREEN MACHINE Sep26 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 12% 7.60    
BOUND LUCKY Sep26 Aug29 Jul24 Jul18 Jul11 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
GUNZIG STINGER Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 122 4.50    
EXECUTIVE GIANT Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul06 Dec09 (burke nigel )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 6.00    
NAVAL OFFICER Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 15% 5.90    
 
FE-4   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLASITO Sep26 Sep08 Aug04 Jul14 Jun04 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
BEYOND TALENTED Sep11 Aug29 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 120 4.00 13% 6.40    
LE GRAND GARCON Sep25 Sep02 Aug22 Aug07   (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00    
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT Sep25 Sep04 Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 64% 0.60    
FLAWLESS RULER Sep02 Aug13 Jun22 May28 Aug21 (flint steve)STEIN JUSTIN 122 1.80    
TONKA WAKAN Sep25 Sep11       (steer to)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
NGABE Oct02 Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Aug04 (husbands anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00    
 
FE-5   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND GIZMO Sep18 Sep11 Aug22 Aug01 Jul14 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 6.00 16% 5.50    
ARTIE'S ALL IN Sep25 Sep18 Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
DON'T STOP DREAMIN Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 Jul24 Jul07 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
HALF TO RELOAD Sep25 Sep11 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
LOADED SECRET Sep26 Sep18 Aug25 Jul31 Jul11 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 119 3.50    
J M R TUREK Sep26 Sep11 Jul21 Jul14   (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00    
 
FE-6   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY ACCESS Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jul25 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
FRESH DREAMS Oct02 Sep07 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (cohen michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
ORBITING THE SKY Sep25 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
LOUEMMA Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
LITTLE FIRE Sep25 Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 8.00    
 
FE-7   10/09/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Sep29 Jul16 Jul03 May30 Jan07 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
UNION COLONEL Sep23 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun06 (warner r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00    
LOQUACIOUS Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 Aug21 Jul31 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
BEYOND BORDERS Sep18 Aug29 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
DOCTOR UPTOWN Oct02 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug11 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
DE ONLY SOLUTION Oct03 Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 (humber joseph)JADOO STEVE 120 20.00    
SYNCHROMESH Oct03 Sep04 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00    
W W SPRINGTIME Sep12 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul01 (mcmahon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 7% 13.80    
DOT'S VISION Oct02 Sep23 Jun26 May23 May14 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  TAKE A CHANCE Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug04 Jul18 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00    
SCR  STORMY SOUL Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 Jul21 Jun22 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.