Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 1.10
FE-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $11.20  
FE-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
FE-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
FE-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.10  
FE-6   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
FE-7   Win (8/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
FE-8   Win (8/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.30  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BODACIOUS MISS 5 3 11 13   12½ 11¾ (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.80 21% 3.70 1.55 W
1  SIMPLE SOUVENIR 1 5 21 23   22½ 21¾ (chircop steven)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 1.30  
2  BORN TO BE GOOD 2 1 32 33½   35 38½ (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 7.60  
4  PLUIE D'AVRIL 4 2 42½ 44½   46 410¼ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90 4.45  
3  ANITA GRIGIO 3 4 53 58   57½ 511½ (siddo ba)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 10.50  
 
FE-2   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SO BREANNA 4 5 43½ 42½   2nk 15¼ (tharrenos wi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 4.60  
1  MISS LINDYSUE 1 3 1½ 1nk   3.2 25¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 27% 2.70 0.75 P
2  ONLY BELIEVE 2 1 54 55   52¼ 35¾ (corb)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 12.55  
3  VERI UNIFIED 3 4 32½ 31   1nk 45¾ (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 43% 1.30 2.15  
5  FOREST CHOICE 5 2 2½ 2nk   41¼ 57½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 13.05  
SCR  FEEL LIKE GUESSING               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LETTING LOOSE 3 4 2nk 1½   11½ 1¾ (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00 33% 2.00 1.55 W
2  LOQUACIOUS 2 5 52½ 33½   21½ 2¾ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 23% 3.30 5.65 P
5  RADCLIFFE 5 1 1nk 2½   31½ 35¼ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 10.00 3.75  
1  BOCELLI (IRE) 1 6 63 68½   64½ 46 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 15.00 10.00  
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 2 41½ 56½   43 56½ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 5.85  
4  BE THE CHANGE 4 3 31 44½   53½ 68¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 17% 5.00 3.50  
 
FE-4   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:133     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SMARTY ILLUSION 2 5 53 54¾   11 12¾ (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 4.00 22% 3.60 3.35 W
1  MIZZ GEMMA 1 3 78 68¾   32½ 22¾ (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 2.50 18% 4.60 1.95 P
3  HEAR ME KNOCKING 3 4 11 1nk   21 35 (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00 11.70  
7  ORIGINAL ME 7 6 42½ 44½   43½ 45½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 49.60  
4  TOTAL BETTY 4 1 21 31   54½ 58 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 1.60 23% 3.30 1.25  
6  LUNATICA 6 7 67 79¾   76½ 69 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 11.05  
5  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 5 2 31½ 2nk   65½ 718 (thompson vale)WENC C 120 20.00 47.70  
 
FE-5   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JACK BEANSTALK 2 4 11 12   12 16½ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 1.05  
5  MONEY MATTERS 5 3 21 22   32 26½ (bird alan)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 63% 0.60 1.20 P
3  BEN LOMOND 3 5 33 33   22 36½ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 13% 6.60 6.95 S
1  WENJACK 1 6 44 49   45 413½ (husbands)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 16.90  
4  DE ONLY SOLUTION 4 1 55 510   66¾ 516¼ (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 39.40  
6  BEYOND MY DREAMS 6 2 65 610½   56½ 616½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00 14.75  
 
FE-6   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:133     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SYNCHROMESH 5 4 45 21   11 1¾ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.00 13% 6.50 1.80 W
2  KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) 1 2 34½ 33   31½ 2¾ (baumgart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 2.15  
3  TWO YEAR CONTRACT 2 1 12 11   21 32¾ (capi m)SINGH S 122 4.00 3.85  
4  FIFTH SEASON 3 3 22 43½   41½ 43¼ (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 8.95  
5  BOX N SCORE 4 5 59 55   52½ 53½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.00 61% 0.60 3.40  
SCR  DR CHAPPELL               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
SCR  RICKI TORNADO               (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   10/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:37   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KIDDIE HOLIDAY 6 1 63¼ 21 12 13 18¾ (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 26% 2.80 1.50 W
2  ANTIGONE 2 5 21 61¾ 34½ 23 28¾ (krczmar zelko)VIVES SOFIA 114 12.00 7% 13.60 6.65 P
3  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 3 9 912¼ 913¼ 915½ 55½ 310 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 24.40  
10  A I INITIATIVE 9 4 73¼ 73¼ 57½ 45 410¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 35.65  
1  TRISH THE DISH 1 6 11 11 22 35 514 (capi m)SINGH S 121 3.00 16.00  
8  PAPERBACK HERO 7 2 42 31½ 45 67 623¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 29% 2.40 2.60  
5  DOODLE DANDY 5 8 84¼ 86¼ 811½ 77½ 724¾ (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 20.00 93.05  
4  SANTIAGO SALSA 4 7 32 51¾ 68½ 88 829½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 12.00 51.10  
9  SAILOR'S PASSION 8 3 52¼ 41½ 79½ 98¼ 932½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00 17% 4.70 3.05  
SCR  PRIVATE LAKE               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00    
 
FE-8   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:132     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 1 3 11 1½   11 1hd (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 5.15  
11  TANGERINE TWIST 9 1 21 2½   21 2hd (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 12% 7.10 4.85 P
7  ASHWICKEN 6 7 77 56   32½ 31 (chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 27% 2.70 1.25 S
6  LADY OF THE FORT 5 2 34 35   42½ 42¼ (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 25.85  
3  RUMOURS FLY 3 5 87¼ 88¾   54½ 53¼ (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 12.50  
2  PRINCESS DIDI 2 4 65½ 78¼   64¾ 64 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 35.45  
8  KIMONO KATE 7 6 45 46   75¼ 79¼ (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50 40% 1.50 2.70  
5  WICKEN CENTS 4 9 911¼ 910¼   86¼ 811½ (bennett michae)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 60.55  
10  SPEEDY NEPHRITE 8 8 55 68   917¼ 9100 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 69.40  
SCR  KALOMA               (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00    
SCR  REJOICING FOR KATZ               (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 10.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.