The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 1.10
FE-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $11.20 -4.00
FE-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 -0.90
FE-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
FE-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.10 -6.00
FE-6   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
FE-7   Win (8/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
FE-8   Win (8/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.30 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:23 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODACIOUS MISS 5 3 11 13   11(voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.80 21% 3.70 1.55 W
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 1 5 21 23   22(chircop steven)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 1.30  
BORN TO BE GOOD 2 1 32 3   35 3(cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 5.00 7.60  
PLUIE D'AVRIL 4 2 4 4   46 410¼ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90 4.45  
ANITA GRIGIO 3 4 53 58   5511½ (siddo ba)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 10.50  
 
FE-2   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
:224 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO BREANNA 4 5 4 4   2nk 1(tharrenos wi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 4.60  
MISS LINDYSUE 1 3 1½ 1nk   3.2 2(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 27% 2.70 0.75 P
ONLY BELIEVE 2 1 54 55   53(corb)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 12.55  
VERI UNIFIED 3 4 3 31   1nk 4(wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 43% 1.30 2.15  
FOREST CHOICE 5 2 2½ 2nk   45(agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 13.05  
SCR  FEEL LIKE GUESSING               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
:233 :461 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTING LOOSE 3 4 2nk 1½   11¾ (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00 33% 2.00 1.55 W
LOQUACIOUS 2 5 5 3   22¾ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 23% 3.30 5.65 P
RADCLIFFE 5 1 1nk 2½   33(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 10.00 3.75  
BOCELLI 1 6 63 6   646 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 15.00 10.00  
BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 2 4 5   43 5(blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 5.85  
BE THE CHANGE 4 3 31 4   56(robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 17% 5.00 3.50  
 
FE-4   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
:242 :473 1:133     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY ILLUSION 2 5 53 5   11 1(pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 4.00 22% 3.60 3.35 W
MIZZ GEMMA 1 3 78 6   32(agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 2.50 18% 4.60 1.95 P
HEAR ME KNOCKING 3 4 11 1nk   21 35 (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00 11.70  
ORIGINAL ME 7 6 4 4   44(keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 49.60  
TOTAL BETTY 4 1 21 31   558 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 1.60 23% 3.30 1.25  
LUNATICA 6 7 67 7   769 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 11.05  
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 5 2 3 2nk   6718 (thompson vale)WENC C 120 20.00 47.70  
 
FE-5   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
:223 :45 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK BEANSTALK 2 4 11 12   12 1(simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 1.05  
MONEY MATTERS 5 3 21 22   32 2(bird alan)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 63% 0.60 1.20 P
BEN LOMOND 3 5 33 33   22 3(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 13% 6.60 6.95 S
WENJACK 1 6 44 49   45 413½ (husbands)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 16.90  
DE ONLY SOLUTION 4 1 55 510   6516¼ (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 39.40  
BEYOND MY DREAMS 6 2 65 610½   5616½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00 14.75  
 
FE-6   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:243 :481 1:133     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNCHROMESH 5 4 45 21   11 1¾ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.00 13% 6.50 1.80 W
KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) 1 2 3 33   32¾ (baumgart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 2.15  
TWO YEAR CONTRACT 2 1 12 11   21 3(capi m)SINGH S 122 4.00 3.85  
FIFTH SEASON 3 3 22 4   44(cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 8.95  
BOX N SCORE 4 5 59 55   55(robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.00 61% 0.60 3.40  
SCR  DR CHAPPELL               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
SCR  RICKI TORNADO               (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00    
 
FE-7   10/03/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
:24 :481 1:121 1:37   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIDDIE HOLIDAY 6 1 6 21 12 13 1(desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 26% 2.80 1.50 W
ANTIGONE 2 5 21 6 3 23 2(krczmar zelko)VIVES SOFIA 114 12.00 7% 13.60 6.65 P
REDOUTE'S LIGHT 3 9 912¼ 913¼ 915½ 5310 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 24.40  
10  A I INITIATIVE 9 4 7 7 5 45 410¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 35.65  
TRISH THE DISH 1 6 11 11 22 35 514 (capi m)SINGH S 121 3.00 16.00  
PAPERBACK HERO 7 2 42 3 45 67 623¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 29% 2.40 2.60  
DOODLE DANDY 5 8 8 8 811½ 7724¾ (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 20.00 93.05  
SANTIAGO SALSA 4 7 32 5 6 88 829½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 12.00 51.10  
SAILOR'S PASSION 8 3 5 4 7 9932½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00 17% 4.70 3.05  
SCR  PRIVATE LAKE               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00    
 
FE-8   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
:24 :471 1:132     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 1 3 11 1½   11 1hd (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 5.15  
11  TANGERINE TWIST 9 1 21 2½   21 2hd (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 12% 7.10 4.85 P
ASHWICKEN 6 7 77 56   331 (chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 27% 2.70 1.25 S
LADY OF THE FORT 5 2 34 35   44(cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 25.85  
RUMOURS FLY 3 5 8 8   55(buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 12.50  
PRINCESS DIDI 2 4 6 7   664 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 35.45  
KIMONO KATE 7 6 45 46   77(buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50 40% 1.50 2.70  
WICKEN CENTS 4 9 911¼ 910¼   8811½ (bennett michae)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 60.55  
10  SPEEDY NEPHRITE 8 8 55 68   917¼ 9100 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00 69.40  
SCR  KALOMA               (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00    
SCR  REJOICING FOR KATZ               (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 10.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE               (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.