Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-7   Win (8/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-8   Win (8/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SOUVENIR Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Jun29 Jun16 (chircop steven)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00    
BORN TO BE GOOD Sep04 Aug13 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
ANITA GRIGIO Jul20 Jun15 May25 May13 Nov24 (siddo ba)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00    
PLUIE D'AVRIL Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
BODACIOUS MISS Sep07 Aug24 Jul15 Jun15 May19 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
FE-2   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LINDYSUE Sep26 Aug21 Jul13 Jun03   (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
ONLY BELIEVE Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (corb)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00    
VERI UNIFIED Sep12 Aug01 Jul18 Jun26 Jun18 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SO BREANNA Sep22 Aug18 Aug06 Jul20 Jun23 (tharrenos wi)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00    
FOREST CHOICE Sep26 Sep12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50    
SCR  FEEL LIKE GUESSING Sep12 Jul10 Jun18 May23 Mar29 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCELLI (IRE) Sep18 Sep12 Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 15.00    
LOQUACIOUS Sep18 Sep05 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
LETTING LOOSE Sep18 Sep05 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
BE THE CHANGE Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul10 Jun13 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
RADCLIFFE Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 May30 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 10.00    
BIG BROWN BREWSKII Sep18 Aug28 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00    
 
FE-4   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZ GEMMA Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul24 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SMARTY ILLUSION Sep26 Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 Nov12 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
HEAR ME KNOCKING Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Jul11 Jul03 (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00    
TOTAL BETTY Sep12 Sep03 Aug17 Jul31 Jul09 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU Sep26 Sep12 Jul25 Jul10 Oct11 (thompson vale)WENC C 120 20.00    
LUNATICA Sep12 Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50    
ORIGINAL ME Sep12 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 Dec08 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00    
 
FE-5   10/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WENJACK Sep18 Sep12 Sep02 Aug22 Aug11 (husbands)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
JACK BEANSTALK Sep25 Sep12 Aug21 Jul16 Jun26 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00    
BEN LOMOND Sep18 Sep05 Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
DE ONLY SOLUTION Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jun23 (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00    
MONEY MATTERS Sep18 Aug28 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 (bird alan)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
BEYOND MY DREAMS Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jun27 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RICKI TORNADO Sep11 Aug28 Jul10 Jun04 Dec12 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00    
KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) Sep26 Sep05 Aug18 Jun24 Jun09 (baumgart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00    
TWO YEAR CONTRACT Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 (capi m)SINGH S 122 4.00    
FIFTH SEASON Sep18 Sep07 Aug11 Jun23 Jun02 (cathcart steven)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
BOX N SCORE Aug25 Aug12 Jul06 Nov27 Nov04 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
SYNCHROMESH Sep04 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Oct03 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  DR CHAPPELL Sep04 Aug13 Jul21 Jul06 Nov11 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
 
FE-7   10/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRISH THE DISH Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 (capi m)SINGH S 121 3.00    
ANTIGONE Sep14 Aug03 Jun07 Dec31 Dec07 (krczmar zelko)VIVES SOFIA 114 12.00 7% 13.60    
REDOUTE'S LIGHT Sep19 Aug25 Aug11 Jul10 Jul03 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
SANTIAGO SALSA Sep11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul31 Jul10 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 12.00    
DOODLE DANDY Sep12 Aug29 Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 20.00    
SCR  PRIVATE LAKE Sep12 Jul03 Jun18 Feb18 Feb01 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00    
KIDDIE HOLIDAY Sep17 Aug11 Jul21 May20 Mar25 (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
PAPERBACK HERO Sep12 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
SAILOR'S PASSION Sep22 Sep02 Aug11 Jul13 Jun25 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00 17% 4.70    
10  A I INITIATIVE Sep19 Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 Aug07 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 8.00    
 
FE-8   10/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Sep26 Aug28 Aug21 Aug10 Jul20 (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00    
PRINCESS DIDI Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 May25 Dec10 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
RUMOURS FLY Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
SCR  KALOMA Sep21         (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00    
WICKEN CENTS Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 May30 Oct24 (bennett michae)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00    
LADY OF THE FORT Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 Jul31 (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ASHWICKEN Sep25 Sep04 Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 (chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
KIMONO KATE Sep11 Aug24 Aug03 Jun16 May12 (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  REJOICING FOR KATZ Sep11 Sep01       (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 10.00    
10  SPEEDY NEPHRITE Sep26 Sep11       (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00    
11  TANGERINE TWIST Sep26 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  SOVEREIGN TALE         (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.