Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 9.40
FE-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $10.30 $10.30 6.30
FE-3   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $14.50  
FE-4   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
FE-5   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
FE-6   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $17.70  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:392   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDOUTE'S LIGHT 3 5 510 512½ 5 2nk 1 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 20% 3.90 5.70 W
A I INITIATIVE 2 4 4 4 4 31 2 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 2.40  
HALF LIT 1 2 3 3 3 1nk 33 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 5.00 41% 1.40 1.60 S
DIAMONDBACK 5 1 12 11 1 42 410 (crete pierre)WENC C 122 2.50 3.65  
FOUR KNIGHTS 4 3 22 21 2 54 519½ (blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.50 4.85  
 
FE-2   09/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:222 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORE 5 1 3 31   1nk 11 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 13% 6.40 4.15 W
SHAKOO MAKOO 2 5 21 1nk   2nk 21 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 124 1.80 57% 0.80 0.35 P
EXCEED 4 3 5 4   42 3 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 28.80  
ONE MORE RING 3 4 43 56   55 43 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 15.00  
JIBARO 1 2 11 2nk   3 56 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.00 4.45  
 
FE-3   09/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:222 :46       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIENNE OF TARTH 4 6 68 6   52 1nk (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 6.25  
SPARKLE SAMMY 5 1 34 3   31 2nk (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 8.75  
SNELL FLICKA 1 4 44 4   4 3.2 (blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 20% 4.00 9.70 S
MUSICAL RIDE 2 5 55 5   6 4¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00 31% 2.30 0.35  
MY FINAL TRICK 3 2 2 22   1nk 52 (lister steven)HOYTE JASON 122 8.00 14.70  
FOREST B 6 3 1 12   2nk 6 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 20% 3.90 11.95  
SCR  BODACIOUS MISS               (voyce je)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00    
 
FE-4   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:23 :46 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARA 2 5 3½ 1   11 1 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 37% 1.70 2.50 W
SHELLY THE ROCKET 3 3 2½ 2   21 2 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00 3.70  
SWEET FINALE 6 6 6 5   5 3 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 15% 5.70 9.45 S
PACENZA 5 4 4 45   4 47 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 15.00 12.15  
LOUEMMA 4 1 53 68   6 5 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 16% 5.40 5.85  
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 1 2 1½ 34   3 6 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 1.50  
 
FE-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMBALA 1 2 22 22   2nk 1 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.60 W
STORMING LADY 4 1 3 33   3½ 2 (adamo an)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 46% 1.20 0.55 P
GREEN GABLES 2 4 12 12   1nk 32 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 124 4.00 12.60  
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 5 5 5 4   43 43 (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 124 2.50 4.25  
SNEAKY REBEL 3 3 4 5   5 514¾ (powell dal)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 28.10  
 
FE-6   09/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:23 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUMLIN BIRD 3 6 53 6   4 1hd (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 7.85  
FRERET 7 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 2hd (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 P
BABY MO 5 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 8.00 14% 6.40 14.35 S
HASN'T HIT ME YET 6 2 42 4   32 4 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
MS. P'S BELLA 4 1 64 5   6 5 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 28.10  
SILVER TUNES 1 5 31 32   5 610½ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00 4.95  
BETTABE SWIFT 2 7 7 7   7 710¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 15.00 6.80  
SCR  FRESH DREAMS               (cohen michael)MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.