The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 4.10
FE-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $13.90 $13.90 9.90
FE-3   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
FE-4   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $16.30 $16.30 10.30
FE-5   Win (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $15.10 $15.10 7.10
FE-6   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
FE-7   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
FE-8   Win (9/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 6.80

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/02/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:233 :464 1:114 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIOUS TAPIT 3 2 21 2 1½ 11 1(simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 55% 0.80 3.05 W
PERFECTION SAVER 1 4 43 34 3 21 2(neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 16% 5.30 1.95 P
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 2 3 11 1 2½ 32 3(simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 3.80  
BEAUTIFUL AS YOU 5 1 32 4 4 45 411½ (carroll josie)BYNOE DESEAN 115 1.60 3.05  
MAKAYLA 4 5 5 5 5 5515½ (siddo ba)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 4.85  
 
FE-2   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
:23 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY PELE 2 2 11 1   12 1(powell d)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 22% 3.50 5.95 W
OPEECHEE 3 1 31 3   22 2(ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 36% 1.80 0.60 P
NGABE 1 4 42 4   43(husbands anthon)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 7.90  
KINZHAL 4 3 21 2   33 4(mchugh saul)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 2.00 1.90  
SCR  AMAZON FORESTER               (krczmar zelko)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
SCR  MR. DE               (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.80    
 
FE-3   10/02/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL IN HER HEART 1 2 1½ 1nk   114 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.00 22% 3.60 2.40 W
MS SUEDOO 3 5 66 6   54 24 (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 122 12.00 26.15  
PENNIESFROMABOVE 2 1 2½ 2nk   23(steer to)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 14% 6.20 11.75 S
HONEY GIRL 4 3 3 4   43 45 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 31% 2.20 0.95  
TICKLE HER TOE 6 6 5 32   33 5(capi m)SINGH S 122 5.00 3.45  
J M R BOLD VISION 5 4 42 5   66 613½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 12.70  
 
FE-4   10/02/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:242 1:14       1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE ME MY MONEY 6 5 6 53   3½ 1nk (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 24% 3.10 7.15 W
MISS D'S PRIDE 5 1 1nk 2½   1nk 2nk (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 12.85  
CHICAGO FREDDY 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 3¼ (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 9.25  
GOOD SOLDIER 7 7 4 3   41 4¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 29% 2.50 0.35  
UNBRIDLED INFERNO 1 4 5 64   654 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 24% 3.20 6.00  
WAR DOCTOR 2 3 3 4   52 6(chud)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 41.05  
AWESOME BREAK 3 6 7 7   717½ 7100 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 49.70  
 
FE-5   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
:222 :454 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 2 3 2½ 1nk   11(ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.50 11% 8.30 6.55 W
JUNGLE GODDESS 8 1 1½ 2nk   22(ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 7.95  
BETTABE SWIFT 1 8 8 5   45 3(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00 31.75  
MS. P'S BELLA 3 4 43 4   34 4(robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 26.45  
FANCYSOUL 4 5 7 6   6511½ (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 16% 5.40 4.15  
SHELLY THE ROCKET 5 6 33 33   55 613¾ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20 0.95  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 6 7 6 7   710 723 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 6.80  
PACENZA 7 2 54 810   810½ 826¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 7% 14.00 13.30  
 
FE-6   10/02/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:24 :481 1:122     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT'S VISION 1 1 21 21 1½ 11½ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 W
JACK THE CAT 5 5 5 5 3 22½ (warner k)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 31% 2.30 1.10 P
HALF LIT 3 2 11 11 2½ 33(keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 9% 10.40 15.45 S
DOCTOR UPTOWN 2 4 32 4 55 44(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 3.85  
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 4 7 7 7 6 5511¾ (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 53.45  
MAYITO 6 6 6 6 79 7613¾ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 16.90  
SOCIETY JOE 7 3 42 3 4 6713¾ (holder t)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 10.45  
 
FE-7   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
:221 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 3 2 1½ 13   11(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 35% 1.90 0.70 W
FRESH DREAMS 2 3 42 6   56 2(cohen mich)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 8% 11.60 24.65 P
SOMEONE ELSE 6 1 3½ 23   236 (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 12.50  
KHOZZY VALINTINE 5 5 6 5   64(mcpherson alex)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50 33% 2.00 3.40  
MORE SAVVY 4 4 5 45   45(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.00 3.05  
SNEAKY REBEL 1 6 2½ 34   36(powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 26.45  
SCR  JARA               (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50    
 
FE-8   10/02/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
:221 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRERET 5 4 6 54   51¼ (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 12% 7.60 6.40 W
CRUMLIN BIRD 4 8 8 9   72¼ (fournier mark)VIVES SOFIA 120 10.00 1.10  
SPARKLE SAMMY 6 7 7 7   63¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 11.70  
GREEN GABLES 1 6 22 21   1nk 4½ (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 124 20.00 8.10  
HASN'T HIT ME YET 2 5 4 43   31 5(maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 16.45  
FOREST B 3 3 12 11   2nk 6(powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 12.00 9.35  
10  MUSICAL RIDE 9 1 3 3   42 75 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 20% 4.10 6.40  
SNELL FLICKA 7 2 5 6   88(blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 11% 7.90 24.80  
BRIENNE OF TARTH 8 9 9 88   99(robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 124 5.00 24% 3.20 11.60  
SCR  JILL               (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.