Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $8.10 $4.10 103%
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-1 $10.50 $8.50 425%
FE-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $13.90 $9.90 248%
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-5 $19.45 $17.45 873%
    DD (3/1)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-3 $28.20 $24.20 605%
FE-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    DD (5/3)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $31.00 $25.00 417%
FE-4   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $16.30 $10.30 172%
    DD (4/1/2)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-6 $20.95 $11.95 133%
FE-5   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.10 $7.10 89%
    DD (7/6/1)-(5/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $65.65 $53.65 447%
FE-6   TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20  1-5-3 $8.80 $7.60 633%
    DD (5/4/2/7)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $25.70 $13.70 114%
FE-7   EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $25.95 $19.95 333%
FE-8   WIN (9/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    DD (4/6/3)-(9/10/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $19.70 $7.70 64%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIOUS TAPIT 3 2 21 2 1½ 11 1 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 55% 0.80 3.05 W
  (by TAPIT out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
PERFECTION SAVER 1 4 43 34 3 21 2 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 16% 5.30 1.95 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 2 3 11 1 2½ 32 3 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 3.80  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
BEAUTIFUL AS YOU 5 1 32 4 4 45 411½ (carroll josie)BYNOE DESEAN 115 1.60 3.05  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MAKAYLA 4 5 5 5 5 5 515½ (siddo )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 4.85  
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of MAY PEN by WILKO)
 
FE-2   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY PELE 2 2 11 1   12 1 (powell)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 22% 3.50 5.95 W
OPEECHEE 3 1 31 3   22 2 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 36% 1.80 0.60 P
NGABE 1 4 42 4   4 3 (husbands anth)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 7.90  
KINZHAL 4 3 21 2   33 4 (mchugh sau)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 2.00 1.90  
SCR  AMAZON FORESTER               (krczmar zel)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
SCR  MR. DE               (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.80    
 
FE-3   10/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL IN HER HEART 1 2 1½ 1nk   1 14 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.00 22% 3.60 2.40 W
MS SUEDOO 3 5 66 6   54 24 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 122 12.00 26.15  
PENNIESFROMABOVE 2 1 2½ 2nk   2 3 (steer )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 14% 6.20 11.75 S
HONEY GIRL 4 3 3 4   43 45 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 31% 2.20 0.95  
TICKLE HER TOE 6 6 5 32   33 5 (capi m)SINGH S 122 5.00 3.45  
J M R BOLD VISION 5 4 42 5   66 613½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 12.70  
 
FE-4   10/02/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:242 1:14       1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE ME MY MONEY 6 5 6 53   3½ 1nk (wills daniel)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.00 24% 3.10 7.15 W
MISS D'S PRIDE 5 1 1nk 2½   1nk 2nk (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 12.85  
CHICAGO FREDDY 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 3¼ (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 9.25  
GOOD SOLDIER 7 7 4 3   41 4¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 29% 2.50 0.35  
UNBRIDLED INFERNO 1 4 5 64   6 54 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 24% 3.20 6.00  
WAR DOCTOR 2 3 3 4   52 6 (ch)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 41.05  
AWESOME BREAK 3 6 7 7   717½ 7100 (cathca)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 49.70  
 
FE-5   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 2 3 2½ 1nk   1 1 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.50 11% 8.30 6.55 W
JUNGLE GODDESS 8 1 1½ 2nk   2 2 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 7.95  
BETTABE SWIFT 1 8 8 5   45 3 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00 31.75  
MS. P'S BELLA 3 4 43 4   34 4 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 26.45  
FANCYSOUL 4 5 7 6   6 511½ (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 16% 5.40 4.15  
SHELLY THE ROCKET 5 6 33 33   55 613¾ (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20 0.95  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 6 7 6 7   710 723 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 6.80  
PACENZA 7 2 54 810   810½ 826¾ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 7% 14.00 13.30  
 
FE-6   10/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:122     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT'S VISION 1 1 21 21 1½ 1 1½ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 37% 1.70 2.20 W
JACK THE CAT 5 5 5 5 3 2 2½ (warner k)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 31% 2.30 1.10 P
HALF LIT 3 2 11 11 2½ 3 3 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 9% 10.40 15.45 S
DOCTOR UPTOWN 2 4 32 4 55 4 4 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 3.85  
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 4 7 7 7 6 5 511¾ (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 53.45  
MAYITO 6 6 6 6 79 7 613¾ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 16.90  
SOCIETY JOE 7 3 42 3 4 6 713¾ (holder)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 10.45  
 
FE-7   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 3 2 1½ 13   1 1 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 35% 1.90 0.70 W
FRESH DREAMS 2 3 42 6   56 2 (cohen mi)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 8% 11.60 24.65 P
SOMEONE ELSE 6 1 3½ 23   2 36 (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 12.50  
KHOZZY VALINTINE 5 5 6 5   6 4 (mcpherson alex)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50 33% 2.00 3.40  
MORE SAVVY 4 4 5 45   4 5 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.00 3.05  
SNEAKY REBEL 1 6 2½ 34   3 6 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 26.45  
SCR  JARA               (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50    
 
FE-8   10/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:221 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRERET 5 4 6 54   5 1¼ (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 12% 7.60 6.40 W
CRUMLIN BIRD 4 8 8 9   7 2¼ (fournier mark)VIVES SOFIA 120 10.00 1.10  
SPARKLE SAMMY 6 7 7 7   6 3¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 11.70  
GREEN GABLES 1 6 22 21   1nk 4½ (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 124 20.00 8.10  
HASN'T HIT ME YET 2 5 4 43   31 5 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 16.45  
FOREST B 3 3 12 11   2nk 6 (powell)ALDERSON IAN 122 12.00 9.35  
10  MUSICAL RIDE 9 1 3 3   42 75 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 20% 4.10 6.40  
SNELL FLICKA 7 2 5 6   8 8 (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 11% 7.90 24.80  
BRIENNE OF TARTH 8 9 9 88   9 9 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 124 5.00 24% 3.20 11.60  
SCR  JILL               (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.