The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (8/6/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -4.00
MVR-2   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
MVR-3   Win (6/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
MVR-4   Win (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 8.40
MVR-5   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
MVR-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -1.60
MVR-7   Win (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $73.40 -8.00
MVR-8   Win (8/12/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
MVR-9   Win (10/13/1/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 1.60
MVR-10   Win (7/12/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:00
:234 :49       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBETHEONE 8 1 11 13   15 1(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.50 34% 1.90 2.00 W
DANZANITEAWAY 7 3 52 5   42(barker scott )JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 7% 13.20 9.80 P
B SASSI 5 10 21 23   25 3(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 6% 16.50 4.90 S
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 2 7 9 710   54(tumblin an)FERNANDEZ R 122 20.00 25.40  
OH GLORIOUS DAY 6 6 64 6   69 5(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 3.50 24% 3.10 2.00  
MOBIL DREAM STAR 9 11 1115¼ 1119½   915 610¼ (wilson jr)BRACHO A 122 6.00 10.30  
11  PITY PURCHASE 11 5 4 33   3712 (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 122 15.00 48.70  
VICTORIA COMMAND 1 9 10 913½   813 816¼ (huffman m)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 11.40  
LUCKY STUFF 4 8 31 44   710½ 916¾ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 29.40  
10  RIVERS RUN RED 10 2 7 811½   1020 1029¼ (szczepanski em)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 20.00 46.50  
COWGIRLS HUMOR 3 4 8 1015½   1121½ 1133 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 7% 13.60 38.00  
 
MVR-2   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:32
:234 :482       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL HISTORY 6 2 1nk 1nk   13 1(danner doug)CORREA L 122 4.00 63% 0.60 0.40 W
C V DYNAMIC 3 6 5 44   35 2(donjuan )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.00 P
LIVING THE DREAM 7 3 31 3   43(shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 16.00  
VECCHI 5 1 2nk 2nk   23 49 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 3.00 9% 10.60 4.00  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 1 4 42 7   511½ 513¾ (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 15.00 60.40  
PLAYFULASITGETS 2 7 76 6   611½ 616¾ (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.50 18.80  
KELLEHER 4 5 6 5   711¾ 719¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 4.80  
SCR  HEZA PISTOL               (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
 
MVR-3   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
:231 :47 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS L J 8 1 5 4   21¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 9% 9.90 0.60 W
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 6 4 11 12   12¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 126 5.00 67% 0.50 2.80 P
HENRY THE CAT 2 8 7 5   43(meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 11.20 S
TIGER TRAIL 1 9 4 22   34 411 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00 25.00  
SERENDIPITOUS 4 7 9 8   68 511½ (morales m)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 51.30  
POWERFUL PHIL 3 6 6 65   5617¼ (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 11.20  
PRIVATE DRIVE 5 5 8 9   812½ 718¾ (guidry terrance)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 21.20  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 9 2 31 3   7819 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
WORTHY OPPONENT 7 3 21 7   916½ 958¼ (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 23.60  
 
MVR-4   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:34
:231 :482       1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S SILVER KID 5 4 2 1nk   11 1(rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 23% 3.40 7.20 W
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 7 6 43 3.2   21 2(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 12.00 9% 10.40 5.90 P
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 6 2 3 4¼   43(ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 117 3.00 2.40  
SEEKING FREEDOM 2 5 7 5   52 45 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 23% 3.40 4.00  
TAHLEQUAH JOE 1 3 1 2nk   357 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 7.30  
STRIKING LAD 9 1 64 6   67 6(flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 122 20.00 27.40  
REIGNING DREAM 8 7 54 7   711 719 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 8.80  
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 4 8 8 89   814 824 (figueroa )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 21.90  
ONE STEP ASIDE 3 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.50 23% 3.30 4.90  
 
MVR-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
:23 :472 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA POWER 7 3 3 13   12 1(vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 50% 1.00 1.50 W
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 1 8 42 33   22 2(urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.20 P
STATUS SYMBOL 6 5 7 6   46 3(fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00 27.20 S
10  LADY ABRIL 10 1 6 4   34 4(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 14.70  
TALE OF THE LYON 3 6 1½ 23   58 511 (pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 13.80  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 8 4 5 5   69 611 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 8.00 13.30  
SARAH JANE 9 2 8 7   79 711¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 27.20  
APPEALING SENORITA 4 10 9 86   8815 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 17.00  
BEEBLEGEE 5 9 10 108   910½ 915½ (silva fernando)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 32.60  
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 2 7 2½ 9   1014½ 1030 (hurley l)HALDAR J 124 10.00 36.50  
 
MVR-6   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:233 :481 1:132 1:411   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 1 4 22 23 21 11 1(jackson r)RIVERA R 122 1.40 50% 1.00 0.20 W
R THREE ANGELS 5 1 12 13 11 21 2(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 3.50 21% 3.80 6.40 P
MARKET SUCCESS 3 5 4 46 4 36 310¼ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 10.30  
SPARKLING JEWEL 2 3 33 33 31 49 421¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 6.80  
SONNET 4 2 5 514 516½ 519 535 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50 10.10  
 
MVR-7   10/28/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:18
:243 :50 1:154 1:424   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S THE SPIDER 6 8 7 7 5 3½ 1(fernandez edward)MCKEE J 119 8.00 35.70  
CITY SCENE 7 3 31 2nk 1nk 1nk 2(jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 19% 4.10 4.60 P
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 8 6 5 3.2 2nk 2nk 3(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 36% 1.70 1.10 S
WOMAN'S DREAM 5 7 4 6 32 54(mcpeek g)DIAZ I 119 2.00 23% 3.40 1.20  
FANCIFUL 2 5 6 4¾ 4 42 5(caramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 10.00 67.20  
BIG FACTS 1 4 8 8 710¼ 6614¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 22.00  
GOLD HONEY 4 1 21 5 6 710 716¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.20  
HISTORYINTHEMAKING 3 2 11 1nk 815¼ 825 849¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 30.00 71.80  
SCR  KISS ME QUICK               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
 
MVR-8   10/28/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:51
:24 :484 1:142 1:403   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO DEY 8 9 7 4 2nk 1nk 1¾ (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.40 W
SHADOWY 6 2 1nk 11 1nk 2nk 2¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.00 13% 6.60 5.50 P
DIAL DIRECT 4 3 2nk 31 3 36 3(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 18.60  
10  EKATI'S WAY 10 8 4 5 4 49 413 (cline c)ROSARIO L 122 8.00 12.70  
VILLIAN 1 1 6 6 59 512 520¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 20.00 49.40  
SCRIMPER 5 4 9 8 813¾ 715½ 622½ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 122 6.00 10.80  
IRONCLAD ALIBI 2 5 10 97 713½ 817 723½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 122 15.00 68.30  
GAPPER 7 11 1212 1212 1121¾ 919½ 826½ (evans micha)CORREA L 122 15.00 30.90  
11  RADIO SILENT 11 10 8 7 613 615 936¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00 ######  
LUCKY VICTOR 9 7 5 1112 1227¾ 1227 1048½ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 30.00 57.80  
12  TOUGH CAT 12 12 118 109 917¾ 1023½ 1151¾ (drury thomas )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 5.00 26% 2.80 14.30  
KINDERHOOK 3 6 3 21 1020¼ 1125 1279¼ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 56.90  
 
MVR-9   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:23 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  TROJAN TALE 13 1 5¾ 1nk   2nk 1¼ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 15% 5.50 4.80 W
DIAMOND DUST 1 5 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 10% 8.70 4.10 P
11  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM 11 3 6 4¾   4¼ 3¼ (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 8% 12.00 1.70 S
TIVIS 9 6 10 9   741 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 10.90  
MR LOOOCH 8 4 2nk 5   5¾ 5(meyers shane)FELICIANO R 122 10.00 10.30  
DANEFIELD 3 8 3.2 6   3.2 6(bourke john)STANLEY O 122 15.00 33.50  
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 6 7 8 8   97(ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 4 9 7 7   88(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 12.00 36.00  
12  CHIEF BUCKEYE 12 13 1313½ 11   109(drury jr)MCKEE J 122 5.00 25.50  
10  ALTISSIMO 10 2 4¼ 3.2   610(zielinski)PILARES P 122 6.00 37% 1.70 9.30  
MO DONT NO 7 11 118 10   1111(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 12.00 38.70  
RAISE THE PURSES 5 10 1212 13   138 1210 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 30.00 86.20  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 2 12 9 12   128 1311 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 30.00 ######  
 
MVR-10   10/28/2023 6600ft DIRT GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
:232 :481 1:13 1:393   2:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FAIR AND SQUARE 9 333 2 11 15 1(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 12% 7.30 2.90 W
13  TANTRUM 11 65 6 5 5 32(hamm timothy)RIVERA R 122 6.00 9.10 P
RAVEN MOON 5 776 83 43 25 3(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 20.00 39.70  
I WANNA WIN 6 22½ 1 21 4411¾ (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 30% 2.30 6.30  
SILENCE 1 108 9 7 9 7512 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00 9.40  
FOREWARNED 2 1110 1112 11 6 6612¼ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 3.20  
12  WICKED WARRIOR 10 44 44 4 33 58 715½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.20  
DARK VADER 3 55 6 8 910¾ 824 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 41.60  
GONE IN A FLASH 4 97 109 9 7 810¼ 927 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 36.60  
SERVE REVENGE COLD 7 11½ 3 1011½ 1018¾ 1047 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 30.00 93.80  
DERBY INCLUDED 8 888 10 1114½ 1124¾ 1159 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 83.60  
SCR  DR. ZARNETT               (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
SCR  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.