Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (8/6/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-2   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (6/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-4   Win (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-5   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-7   Win (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-8   Win (8/12/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-9   Win (10/13/1/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-10   Win (7/12/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIA COMMAND Oct10 Sep21 Sep04     (huffman m)AVILES YAN 122 10.00    
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Oct12 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24   (tumblin an)FERNANDEZ R 122 20.00    
COWGIRLS HUMOR         (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
LUCKY STUFF Sep25 Sep04       (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
B SASSI         (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 6% 16.50    
OH GLORIOUS DAY Oct12 Sep25 Sep04     (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
DANZANITEAWAY Sep22 Aug30       (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 7% 13.20    
MAYBETHEONE Sep21 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
MOBIL DREAM STAR Sep22         (wilson jr)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
10  RIVERS RUN RED Oct10         (szczepanski em)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 20.00    
11  PITY PURCHASE Oct10 Sep21       (langley joshua)PAUCAR E 122 15.00    
 
MVR-2   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERS OF DENIRO Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 15.00    
PLAYFULASITGETS Sep13         (reed r)HALDAR J 122 4.50    
SCR  HEZA PISTOL         (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
C V DYNAMIC         (donjuan )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KELLEHER         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 6.00    
VECCHI Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
SOCIAL HISTORY Sep22 Aug26 Aug02     (danner doug)CORREA L 122 4.00 63% 0.60    
LIVING THE DREAM Oct11         (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
 
MVR-3   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL Oct13 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00    
HENRY THE CAT Oct06 Jul31 Jul11 May08 Mar23 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
POWERFUL PHIL Oct11 Sep25 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
SERENDIPITOUS Sep28 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jun21 (morales m)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
PRIVATE DRIVE Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 May16 May09 (guidry terrance)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Oct11 Sep11 Jul10 Jun20 Jun07 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 126 5.00 67% 0.50    
WORTHY OPPONENT Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
RECKLESS L J Sep25 Aug03 Jul11 May24 Apr26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 9% 9.90    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 Jun10 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   10/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAHLEQUAH JOE Sep25 Sep05 Jul26 Jun20   (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 122 10.00    
SEEKING FREEDOM Oct11 Sep25 Sep05     (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
ONE STEP ASIDE Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
DREAMINGABOUTTIME Oct11         (figueroa )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
SADIE'S SILVER KID         (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Sep25 Sep05 Aug17     (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 117 3.00    
COUNTEVERYBLESSING         (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 12.00 9% 10.40    
REIGNING DREAM Oct12         (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
STRIKING LAD Oct11 Sep25 Sep05     (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 122 20.00    
 
MVR-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Sep26 Aug31 Feb23 Feb14 Jan28 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
PISTOL PACKIN BOS Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 (hurley l)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
TALE OF THE LYON Oct06 Sep06 Aug14 Jul26 Jul08 (pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
APPEALING SENORITA Oct06 Sep26 Sep18 Sep06 Aug21 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
BEEBLEGEE Sep30 Aug30 Aug23 Jul14 Jun15 (silva fernando)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
STATUS SYMBOL Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 Aug17 Aug23 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIVA POWER Oct02 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Oct10 Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
SARAH JANE Sep22 Sep11 Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
10  LADY ABRIL Oct06 Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 Jul04 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS Oct05 Sep07 Aug12 Jul25 Jul11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
SPARKLING JEWEL Oct05 Sep12 Aug26 Aug02 Jul06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
MARKET SUCCESS Sep26 Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 Jun07 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 122 3.00    
SONNET Sep26 Aug12 Jul17 Jun12 May22 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50    
R THREE ANGELS Oct05 Sep26 May11 Apr11 Mar15 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-7   10/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG FACTS Sep05         (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00    
FANCIFUL Oct09 Aug30 Aug01     (caramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 10.00    
HISTORYINTHEMAKING Sep21         (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 30.00    
SCR  KISS ME QUICK Oct11 Sep25 Aug12 Jul13   (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
GOLD HONEY Aug15 Jul22 Jun24     (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
WOMAN'S DREAM Sep25 Sep05       (mcpeek g)DIAZ I 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
HERE'S THE SPIDER Oct09 Aug26       (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 119 8.00    
CITY SCENE Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05   (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 19% 4.10    
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Sep25 Aug12 Jul13     (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 36% 1.70    
 
MVR-8   10/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLIAN Sep22 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 Jun05 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Sep26 Sep06 Aug15     (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
KINDERHOOK Sep06         (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DIAL DIRECT Oct12         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
SCRIMPER Aug12 Jul13       (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
SHADOWY Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 Aug02 Jul22 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
GAPPER Oct12 Oct05 Sep23 Sep13 Aug26 (evans micha)CORREA L 122 15.00    
WHO DEY Aug12 Aug02       (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
LUCKY VICTOR         (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 30.00    
10  EKATI'S WAY Oct12         (cline c)ROSARIO L 122 8.00    
11  RADIO SILENT Sep22 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00    
12  TOUGH CAT Sep22 Aug15 Jun30     (drury thomas )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-9   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND DUST Sep18 Aug12 Jul19 Jul03 Jun07 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
UNBRIDLED CAUSE Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 30.00    
DANEFIELD Oct10 Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 Jul05 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 15.00    
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Oct04 Sep20 Aug05 Jun02 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
RAISE THE PURSES Oct06 Sep25 Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 30.00    
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Sep28 Aug07 Jul10 Jun15 May06 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MO DONT NO Oct04 Aug08 Jun26 Jun06 May10 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 12.00    
MR LOOOCH Oct04 Sep13 Aug12 Jul13 Jun19 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 122 10.00    
TIVIS Oct05 Sep07 Jun02 May20 Apr11 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
10  ALTISSIMO Oct04 Aug12 Jul20 Jun02 May15 (zielinski)PILARES P 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
11  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Sep06 Jul14 Oct29 Aug31 Aug13 (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 8% 12.00    
12  CHIEF BUCKEYE Aug18 Jul08 May17 Jun03 May06 (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 5.00    
13  TROJAN TALE Oct04 Aug18 Jul25 Jun24 Jun02 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-10   10/28/2023 6600ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Oct09 Sep28 Aug28 Jul31 Jul18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 30.00    
SILENCE Sep13 Aug12 Jul05 Jun02 May02 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
FOREWARNED Sep23 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00    
DARK VADER Jun19 Jun02 May10 Jan10 Dec22 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Oct06 Sep20 Aug24 Aug09 Jun19 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
RAVEN MOON Sep18 Aug24 Aug16 Jul22 Jul08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
I WANNA WIN Oct02 Aug12 Jun27 Jun06 May10 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct09 Sep07 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 30.00    
DERBY INCLUDED Oct02 Aug28 Aug09 Jul29 Jun19 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
10  FAIR AND SQUARE Sep13 Aug12 Jul18 Jun24 Jun02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  DR. ZARNETT Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Aug26 Aug03 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
12  WICKED WARRIOR Oct02 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
13  TANTRUM Oct02 Aug12 Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.