The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
MVR-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
MVR-3   Win (7/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
MVR-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
MVR-5   Win (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
MVR-6   Win (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
MVR-7   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $15.80 $15.80 9.80
MVR-8   Win (10/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -5.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:262 :511 1:184 1:322   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESSLEY RIDGE 2 4 4 3 31 11(pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.20 65% 0.50 0.30 W
MY TICKET 4 2 21 2 2½ 22(cline c)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 12% 7.30 5.20 P
WHY KENNY WHY 1 1 11 1 1½ 3315¾ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 4.10  
MY BUDDY MICAH 3 3 5 511 4 4417¾ (doering mark)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 13.30  
BALU 5 5 3 4 511½ 524½ 572¼ (morelos mateo)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 29.60  
SCR  MARQUITOS M               (rettele richar)HALDAR J 124 2.50    
 
MVR-2   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:253 :492 1:154 1:294   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENDIPITOUS 1 5 1½ 21 2nk 2½ 1(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.50 13% 6.80 0.90 W
DEER CREEK ROAD 4 4 65 66 4 1½ 2(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 16.10  
KARAMEL CORN 2 3 3 5 5 45 3(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 5.90  
ATTACK ANGLE 6 1 2½ 11 1nk 34(skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 4.90  
HONOR THE D 5 2 4 45 32 55 511¼ (bates l)BRACHO A 124 2.50 10% 8.60 13.50  
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 3 6 5 35 6 68 613¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 49% 1.00 2.80  
 
MVR-3   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:224 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYO 7 4 1nk 14   11(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 W
ONE MORE RING 6 2 8 55   22(buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 11.50  
STRIKE A BEAT 1 9 9 9   33(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 12.00 29.20  
LUCKY SMILE 3 8 7 7   54(gomez alejand)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 12.60  
NICHOLAS JAMES 9 3 5 34   458 (zielinski)PILARES P 124 8.00 15% 5.80 8.30  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 5 6 6 8   6611½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 28% 2.60 3.90  
HINK'S PALADIN 4 5 32 24   7715 (johnston rebecca)MOJICA JR 124 10.00 67.90  
SMUDGE THE CAT 8 1 4 6   8819¾ (radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 48.30  
MASTER 2 7 2nk 4   9920¾ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 11.30  
 
MVR-4   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
:253 :492 1:151 1:29   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JONES FALLS 4 2 2 22 2nk 1nk 1(clouston edward)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 46% 1.20 1.70 W
MR LAOBAN 1 4 1 12 1nk 2nk 2(vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 5.00 9% 9.90 3.20 P
ALTAIR 2 7 6 36 34 3312¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 12% 7.60 2.20 S
DESERT HIGHWAY 6 1 3 410 410 49 413½ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 7.60  
GOOD SOUL 7 5 5 510 512 510 514¾ (lucas t )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 7.20  
FOGGY ALBION 3 6 4 611 614½ 613 624 (rivera xavi)HERNANDEZ H 124 10.00 34.00  
RAPA NUI 5 3 710¾ 718 722½ 720 737½ (buhrow d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 21.60  
 
MVR-5   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:251 :493 1:161 1:303   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBE FRANKY 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 1(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 47% 1.10 0.30 W
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 5 5 3 32 3 2½ 2(yoder d)RIVERA R 124 4.50 4.20  
WAR MOON 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 3314 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 28.10  
STATE OF GRACE 7 4 6 68 510 4414¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 6% 14.70 16.70  
RUNAWAY BELLE 2 7 710 710 710¾ 5516¼ (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 12.40  
CARLY'S FLIGHT 6 8 816½ 816 816¾ 715 622 (rodak geraldi)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00 5% 18.00 ######  
I'M JAC'D 8 3 4 4 4 612 734 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 11% 8.10 12.00  
NANA ROZE 4 6 5 55 610¼ 816 835 (morelos mateo)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 86.00  
SCR  SPUN PRETTY               (calderon ivan)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
 
MVR-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
:233 :481 1:012     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMITIVO 7 1 3 2nk   1½ 1(radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.00 21% 3.70 2.70 W
STARS N SPACE 5 2 11 1nk   31 2(overholt )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80 38% 1.60 2.30 P
TEQUILA FLATS 2 7 4 3½   2½ 33 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 38.50  
OVERLOAD 1 6 5 6   44 4(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 3.20  
PECKS NOT BAD 8 4 64 7   65(barker scott )JIMENEZ J 124 6.00 8% 11.80 8.80  
RED COMET 6 8 7 55   76(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 3.50  
RED HOT POWER 3 3 21 4   54 7(gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 18.70 37.30  
ROLLIN SO PERFECT 4 5 8 8   8810 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00 22.50  
 
MVR-7   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:251 :491 1:15 1:29   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINE DANCER 3 2 21 21 21 1½ 1(zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50 6.90 W
MOBIL CHIC 6 3 57 5 3 33 2(zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 3.60  
I'M LEGIT 4 6 611 610½ 69 63(melancon paul)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50 S
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 1 1 11 11 11 2½ 4(skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 50% 1.00 0.30  
EARLY BLOOMER 2 5 44 4 4 46 59 (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 42.10  
ABIGAIL LEE 5 4 3 3 5 5615½ (waltermire bruc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 14.80  
 
MVR-8   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
:254 :501 1:164 1:30   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 10 3 2½ 3.2 11 14 110¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.40 W
INDY CARR 8 2 3½ 2nk 21 24 210¾ (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 122 4.00 14% 6.30 6.00 P
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 8 4 5 7 5313½ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.00 S
ORLEANS STORM 9 5 6 4 42 6417¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 5.00 23.80  
KETTLE KING 5 6 7 7 32 36 519¼ (romero a)ROSARIO L 124 20.00 37.30  
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 2 9 8 8 5 46 620½ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50 11% 7.80 3.20  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 3 7 910¾ 912¼ 8 7722¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 50.00  
AGNELLO CITY 7 4 5 6 9 810¼ 824½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 10.10  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 6 10 1012¼ 1014¼ 1010¼ 1012¾ 925 (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 122 6.00 21.40  
CHILTEPIN 4 1 1½ 1nk 6 912¼ 1037 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 8% 11.00 5.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.