Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-5 $7.20 $3.20 80%
MVR-4   EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $17.60 $5.60 47%
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-2 $10.60 $7.60 253%
MVR-6   EXA (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-5 $28.60 $4.60 19%
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $15.80 $9.80 163%
    DD (5/7/8/3)-(1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $59.40 $35.40 148%
    PK3 (1/8/7/6)-(5/7/8/3)-(1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-7-3 $32.85 $8.85 37%
MVR-8   TRI (10/8/2/4/1)-(10/8/2/4/1)-(10/8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-8-1 $54.40 $24.40 81%
    DD (1/3/4)-(10/8/2/4/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-10 $40.40 $10.40 35%
    PK3 (5/7/8/3)-(1/3/4)-(10/8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-3-10 $47.70 $17.70 59%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:262 :511 1:184 1:322   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRESSLEY RIDGE 2 4 41½ 31½ 31 12½ 17¾ (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.20 65% 0.50 0.30 W
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
5  MY TICKET 4 2 21 21½ 2½ 22½ 27¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 12% 7.30 5.20 P
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
1  WHY KENNY WHY 1 1 11 11½ 1½ 35½ 315¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 4.10  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
3  MY BUDDY MICAH 3 3 54½ 511 44½ 49½ 417¾ (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 13.30  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
6  BALU 5 5 31½ 45½ 511½ 524½ 572¼ (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 29.60  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
SCR  MARQUITOS M               (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 2.50    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
 
MVR-2   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:154 1:294   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS 1 5 1½ 21 2nk 2½ 11¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.50 13% 6.80 0.90 W
4  DEER CREEK ROAD 4 4 65 66 42¼ 1½ 21¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 16.10  
2  KARAMEL CORN 2 3 32½ 55½ 53¾ 45 38¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 5.90  
6  ATTACK ANGLE 6 1 2½ 11 1nk 31½ 48¾ (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 4.90  
5  HONOR THE D 5 2 43½ 45 32 55 511¼ (bates l)BRACHO A 124 2.50 10% 8.60 13.50  
3  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 3 6 54½ 35 67¾ 68 613¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 49% 1.00 2.80  
 
MVR-3   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CRYO 7 4 1nk 14   12½ 11½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 W
6  ONE MORE RING 6 2 85¾ 55   22½ 21½ (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 11.50  
1  STRIKE A BEAT 1 9 99¼ 96¾   32½ 31¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 12.00 29.20  
3  LUCKY SMILE 3 8 75¼ 75¾   53¾ 46½ (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 12.60  
9  NICHOLAS JAMES 9 3 52¾ 34   43½ 58 (zielins)PILARES P 124 8.00 15% 5.80 8.30  
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 5 6 63¾ 85¾   63¾ 611½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 28% 2.60 3.90  
4  HINK'S PALADIN 4 5 32 24   74¼ 715 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 124 10.00 67.90  
8  SMUDGE THE CAT 8 1 42½ 65½   88¼ 819¾ (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 48.30  
2  MASTER 2 7 2nk 44½   98¾ 920¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 11.30  
 
MVR-4   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:151 1:29   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JONES FALLS 4 2 21½ 22 2nk 1nk 13¾ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 46% 1.20 1.70 W
1  MR LAOBAN 1 4 11½ 12 1nk 2nk 23¾ (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 5.00 9% 9.90 3.20 P
2  ALTAIR 2 7 66¾ 36 34 35½ 312¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 12% 7.60 2.20 S
6  DESERT HIGHWAY 6 1 35½ 410 410 49 413½ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 7.60  
7  GOOD SOUL 7 5 56½ 510 512 510 514¾ (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 7.20  
3  FOGGY ALBION 3 6 46½ 611 614½ 613 624 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 124 10.00 34.00  
5  RAPA NUI 5 3 710¾ 718 722½ 720 737½ (buhrow jamie )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 21.60  
 
MVR-5   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:161 1:303   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBE FRANKY 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 11¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 47% 1.10 0.30 W
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 5 5 31½ 32 31½ 2½ 21¼ (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 4.50 4.20  
3  WAR MOON 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 33½ 314 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 28.10  
7  STATE OF GRACE 7 4 66½ 68 510 48½ 414¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 6% 14.70 16.70  
2  RUNAWAY BELLE 2 7 710 710 710¾ 59½ 516¼ (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 12.40  
6  CARLY'S FLIGHT 6 8 816½ 816 816¾ 715 622 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00 5% 18.00 ######  
8  I'M JAC'D 8 3 41½ 43½ 48½ 612 734 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 11% 8.10 12.00  
4  NANA ROZE 4 6 52½ 55 610¼ 816 835 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 86.00  
SCR  SPUN PRETTY               (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
 
MVR-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:012     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRIMITIVO 7 1 31½ 2nk   1½ 12¾ (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.00 21% 3.70 2.70 W
5  STARS N SPACE 5 2 11 1nk   31 22¾ (overhol)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80 38% 1.60 2.30 P
2  TEQUILA FLATS 2 7 42½ 3½   2½ 33 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 38.50  
1  OVERLOAD 1 6 52½ 65¼   44 44¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 3.20  
8  PECKS NOT BAD 8 4 64 75¼   64¼ 54½ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 124 6.00 8% 11.80 8.80  
6  RED COMET 6 8 74¼ 55   74¼ 64¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 3.50  
3  RED HOT POWER 3 3 21 44½   54 79½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 18.70 37.30  
4  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 4 5 86¼ 87¼   85¼ 810 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00 22.50  
 
MVR-7   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:15 1:29   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LINE DANCER 3 2 21 21 21 1½ 11¾ (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50 6.90 W
6  MOBIL CHIC 6 3 57 54½ 33½ 33 21¾ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 3.60  
4  I'M LEGIT 4 6 611 610½ 69 67½ 37¾ (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50 S
1  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 1 1 11 11 11 2½ 48½ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 50% 1.00 0.30  
2  EARLY BLOOMER 2 5 44 43½ 45½ 46 59 (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 42.10  
5  ABIGAIL LEE 5 4 32½ 33½ 56½ 57½ 615½ (waltermire br)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 14.80  
 
MVR-8   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:254 :501 1:164 1:30   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 10 3 2½ 3.2 11 14 110¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.40 W
8  INDY CARR 8 2 3½ 2nk 21 24 210¾ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 4.00 14% 6.30 6.00 P
1  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 8 42½ 52¾ 73¾ 56¼ 313½ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.00 S
9  ORLEANS STORM 9 5 62¾ 41¾ 42 66¾ 417¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 5.00 23.80  
5  KETTLE KING 5 6 74¼ 74¾ 32 36 519¼ (romero jose )ROSARIO L 124 20.00 37.30  
2  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 2 9 86¾ 85¼ 52¼ 46 620½ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50 11% 7.80 3.20  
3  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 3 7 910¾ 912¼ 84¾ 78¾ 722¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 50.00  
7  AGNELLO CITY 7 4 52¾ 63¾ 95¼ 810¼ 824½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 10.10  
6  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 6 10 1012¼ 1014¼ 1010¼ 1012¾ 925 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 6.00 21.40  
4  CHILTEPIN 4 1 1½ 1nk 63¾ 912¼ 1037 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 8% 11.00 5.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.