Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/1/5)-(7/5/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(7/5/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/5/9/8)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/8)-(7/5/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/8)-(7/5/9/8)-(7/5/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/9/8)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/8)-(4/2/1)-(1/8/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/8/7/6)-(5/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/6)-(5/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/6)-(5/7/8/3)-(1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/3)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/3)-(1/3/4)-(10/8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(10/8/2/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (10/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/2/4/1)-(10/8/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/2/4/1)-(10/8/2/4/1)-(10/8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY KENNY WHY Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug28 Aug08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
2  PRESSLEY RIDGE Oct24 Sep14 Aug28     (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.20 65% 0.50    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
3  MY BUDDY MICAH Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Jul19 Jul05 (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  MARQUITOS M Oct24 Sep21 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 2.50    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
5  MY TICKET Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug08 Jul20 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 12% 7.30    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
6  BALU Oct24 Jun14       (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
 
MVR-2   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS Oct28 Sep28 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
2  KARAMEL CORN Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 Aug15 Aug03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
3  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Oct30 Oct13 Jun13 May23 Apr04 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
4  DEER CREEK ROAD Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 Jul31 Jun10 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
5  HONOR THE D Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Jun21 May24 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 2.50 10% 8.60    
6  ATTACK ANGLE Oct30 Oct11 Oct03 Sep11 Aug02 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE A BEAT May20 May01 Mar27 Mar08 Feb07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
2  MASTER Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
3  LUCKY SMILE Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 Aug22 Aug08 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50    
4  HINK'S PALADIN Oct11 Sep30 Sep18 May27 May06 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 124 10.00    
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Oct31 Oct03 Sep18 Aug03 Jul10 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  ONE MORE RING Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Aug13 Jul24 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
7  CRYO Sep24 Sep01 Aug02 Jun11 May14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
8  SMUDGE THE CAT Oct03 Sep07 Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  NICHOLAS JAMES Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May20 May03 (zielins)PILARES P 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-4   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LAOBAN Oct25 Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 Jul11 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
2  ALTAIR Oct25 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 12% 7.60    
3  FOGGY ALBION Oct25 Oct15 Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 124 10.00    
4  JONES FALLS Oct25 Sep30 Sep17 Aug05 Jul21 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  RAPA NUI Oct25 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug28 (buhrow jamie )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
6  DESERT HIGHWAY Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug12 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00    
7  GOOD SOUL Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00    
 
MVR-5   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBE FRANKY Oct23 Sep28 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 47% 1.10    
2  RUNAWAY BELLE Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 Sep27 Sep09 (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  WAR MOON Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Mar29 Mar15 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
4  NANA ROZE Oct04 Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 Jul08 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00    
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Oct23 Oct03 Sep11 Aug22 Aug03 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
6  CARLY'S FLIGHT Oct17 Oct04 Sep07 Aug09 Jul26 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00 5% 18.00    
7  STATE OF GRACE Oct25 Sep22 Sep07 Jul27 Jul07 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 6% 14.70    
8  I'M JAC'D Oct25 Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  SPUN PRETTY Sep01 Aug03 Jul19 Jun05 Dec22 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
 
MVR-6   11/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERLOAD Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Feb08 Oct11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
2  TEQUILA FLATS Oct21 Sep08 Aug30 Aug19 Aug01 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00    
3  RED HOT POWER Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 Jul20 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 18.70    
4  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Aug30 Aug01 Jun14 May11 Mar30 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
5  STARS N SPACE Oct21 Sep25 Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 (overhol)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  RED COMET Oct30 Oct21 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
7  PRIMITIVO Oct13 Sep25 Sep04 Aug17 Aug01 (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
8  PECKS NOT BAD Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 Jun14 Feb15 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
 
MVR-7   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Oct25 Oct10 Sep28 May25 May10 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
2  EARLY BLOOMER Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 Aug03 Jul19 (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
3  LINE DANCER Oct03 Aug24 Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  I'M LEGIT Oct21 Oct06 Sep16 Aug17 Jul19 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ABIGAIL LEE Oct06 Sep16 Jul19 Jun15 May22 (waltermire br)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
6  MOBIL CHIC Oct03 Aug21 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-8   11/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Oct24 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Apr12 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Oct24 Oct06 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
3  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Oct24 Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
4  CHILTEPIN Oct24 Oct02 Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
5  KETTLE KING Sep28 Sep18 Aug24 Jul10 Jun20 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 124 20.00    
6  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Sep29 Sep14 Aug11 Jul05 Jun14 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 6.00    
7  AGNELLO CITY Oct24 Oct05 Aug22 Jul26 Jun12 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
8  INDY CARR Oct24 Sep27 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
9  ORLEANS STORM Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
10  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Oct24 Oct02 Aug30 Jul27 Dec30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.