Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 3.40
FE-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.30  
FE-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
FE-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.50  
FE-5   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
FE-6   Win (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $21.10  
FE-7   Win (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:13 1:393   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THELONIOUS 5 1 4 21 1½ 1 1½ (concessi)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 19% 4.20 2.70 W
IPSUM GRATUS 2 2 21 3 3 2 2½ (mcknight no)SEECHARAN A 121 1.60 1.65  
BOCELLI (IRE) 3 3 3 4 2½ 3 3 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00 4.15  
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 1 5 52 5 55 4 48 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.50 47% 1.10 2.80  
FOUR KNIGHTS 4 4 11 11 44 58 5100 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 8.25  
 
FE-2   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUBBORN STREAK 4 4 21 1nk   1 1 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 1.65  
C BY THE SEA 5 2 43 4   42 2 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 5% 18.40 16.85 P
CHICAGO FREDDY 1 5 11 2nk   2 37 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 1.95 S
SIR GRAYVENSCROFT 2 3 32 33   53 4 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 18.65  
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 3 6 6 6   64 5100 (scott orane)WOLFE TENECA 120 6.00 15.65  
NO MORE 6 1 5 5   32 6100 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 71% 0.40 2.00  
 
FE-3   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE DESTROYER 3 1 1½ 11   1 1 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.60 24% 3.10 0.55 W
ONE MORE RING 6 4 42 3   3 2 (buttigie)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50 5.50  
SOUP SPOON 4 5 2½ 21   2 3 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.75 S
RED MAPLE 2 2 3 4   4 47 (humber joseph)CHEYNE A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.05  
TALL WATER 5 6 54 55   55 511½ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 6.00 10.25  
WONNEFRAC 1 3 65 610   67 615¼ (humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 124 10.00 36.10  
 
FE-4   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBRACE MY UNCLE 4 4 4 5 31 1½ 1nk (ritchie sarah)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 5.25  
H C HOLIDAY 2 3 6 6 42 3½ 2nk (wright w)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.00 5.10  
STRONG ENDING 1 2 2 21 2nk 2½ 34 (davis ri)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50 52% 0.90 7.15 S
MONSTRODAMOUS 3 1 3 31 1nk 4 4 (gitten)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 10% 9.40 17.25  
KIDDIE HOLIDAY 5 6 5 4 6 55 514¼ (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50 17% 4.90 0.45  
HALF LIT 6 5 1 11 5 611 627 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 43.75  
 
FE-5   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:112 1:373   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN IS A BREEZE 1 5 58 57 4 2nk 1 (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 27% 2.70 0.60 W
BAIT N SWITCH 5 4 45 32 2½ 1nk 2 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 47% 1.10 2.00 P
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 4 2 3 2nk 1½ 3 312¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 11.30  
SANTIAGO SALSA 2 6 6 69 6 4 416½ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 17.45  
SPIRIT BELLE 6 1 2 44 5 6 528½ (meli salvatore)VIVES SOFIA 112 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
VOYANT 3 3 1 1nk 3 5 644¾ (alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 122 3.50 22.85  
 
FE-6   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMMINS 6 7 7 8 6 11 1 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 9.55  
GOOD SOLDIER 7 5 67 5 5 21 2 (ceccato sharon)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 16% 5.20 1.90 P
THY KINGDOM 4 4 5 6 7 43 3 (shirley lu)BUCHANAN Z 117 8.00 9% 10.20 2.45 S
STRONG ATTITUDE 5 6 4 3.2 2nk 32 4 (smith kenneth )CHEYNE A 122 6.00 15.45  
MANITOULIN ISLAND 8 8 8 7 8 7 58 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 119 10.00 41.80  
SAME AGAIN DOC 3 1 34 4 4 53 6 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 8% 11.10 10.75  
TWO YEAR CONTRACT 1 2 11 2nk 1nk 64 715¼ (capi m)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00 39% 1.60 4.05  
BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 3 21 1nk 31 85 822¾ (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 7.80  
 
FE-7   10/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERNIE'S MARTINI 3 5 5 5   2½ 1 (buttigie)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 41% 1.40 1.60 W
I LIVE BY FAITH 1 7 1½ 1½   1½ 2 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 7.05  
BAJAN BULLET 6 4 8 7   6 3 (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 3.90  
COLLABORATIVE 8 3 6 6   3 4 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
DIAMOND HEIST 7 1 4 3½   4 55 (wieczo)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 25% 2.90 3.90  
BILL NEEDLE 5 8 7 8   7 6 (palmer kerron)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00 9.25  
M C JACKHAMMER 4 2 31 2½   5 712½ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 4.50 8% 11.00 19.35  
NEOLITHIC NATION 2 6 2½ 4¾   8 813½ (lepiane paul)CRAWFORD J 117 15.00 24.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.