The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 3.40
FE-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.30 -4.00
FE-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -2.90
FE-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.50 -6.00
FE-5   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
FE-6   Win (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $21.10 -8.00
FE-7   Win (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:232 :474 1:13 1:393   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THELONIOUS 5 1 41½ 21 1½ 11½ 1½ (concessi)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 19% 4.20 2.70 W
2  IPSUM GRATUS 2 2 21 31½ 31½ 21½ 2½ (mcknight no)SEECHARAN A 121 1.60 1.65  
3  BOCELLI 3 3 31½ 42½ 2½ 31½ 32¼ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00 4.15  
1  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 1 5 52 52½ 55 44½ 48 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.50 47% 1.10 2.80  
4  FOUR KNIGHTS 4 4 11 11 44 58 5100 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 8.25  
 
FE-2   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
:231 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STUBBORN STREAK 4 4 21 1nk   11½ 14¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 1.65  
5  C BY THE SEA 5 2 43 43¼   42 24¼ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 5% 18.40 16.85 P
1  CHICAGO FREDDY 1 5 11 2nk   21½ 37 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 ★ 1.95 S
2  SIR GRAYVENSCROFT 2 3 32 33   53 49½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 18.65  
3  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 3 6 69½ 66¼   64 5100 (scott orane)WOLFE TENECA 120 6.00 15.65  
6  NO MORE 6 1 53½ 53¼   32 6100 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 71% 0.40 2.00  
 
FE-3   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
:224 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACE DESTROYER 3 1 1½ 11   12½ 14¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.60 24% 3.10 0.55 W
6  ONE MORE RING 6 4 42 32½   32½ 24¼ (buttigie)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50 5.50  
4  SOUP SPOON 4 5 2½ 21   22½ 35¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 52% 0.90 2.75 S
2  RED MAPLE 2 2 31½ 42½   43½ 47 (humber joseph)CHEYNE A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.05  
5  TALL WATER 5 6 54 55   55 511½ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 6.00 10.25  
1  WONNEFRAC 1 3 65 610   67 615¼ (humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 124 10.00 36.10  
 
FE-4   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:233 :473 1:123 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EMBRACE MY UNCLE 4 4 44½ 51¾ 31 1½ 1nk (ritchie sarah)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 5.25  
2  H C HOLIDAY 2 3 64¾ 61¾ 42 3½ 2nk (wright w)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.00 5.10  
1  STRONG ENDING 1 2 21½ 21 2nk 2½ 34 (davis ri)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50 52% 0.90 7.15 S
3  MONSTRODAMOUS 3 1 32½ 31 1nk 41½ 46¼ (gitten)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 10% 9.40 17.25  
5  KIDDIE HOLIDAY 5 6 54½ 41¼ 62¾ 55 514¼ (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50 17% 4.90 0.45  
6  HALF LIT 6 5 11½ 11 52¼ 611 627 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 43.75  
 
FE-5   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
:223 :461 1:112 1:373   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 1 5 58 57 44½ 2nk 11¼ (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 27% 2.70 0.60 W
5  BAIT N SWITCH 5 4 45 32 2½ 1nk 21¼ (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 47% 1.10 2.00 P
4  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 4 2 32½ 2nk 1½ 32½ 312¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 11.30  
2  SANTIAGO SALSA 2 6 68½ 69 68½ 46½ 416½ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 17.45  
6  SPIRIT BELLE 6 1 21½ 44 58½ 69½ 528½ (meli salvatore)VIVES SOFIA 112 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
3  VOYANT 3 3 11½ 1nk 33½ 58½ 644¾ (alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 122 3.50 22.85  
 
FE-6   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:234 :481 1:134 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TIMMINS 6 7 78½ 88¾ 64¾ 11 12½ (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 9.55  
7  GOOD SOLDIER 7 5 67 54¾ 52¾ 21 22½ (ceccato sharon)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 16% 5.20 1.90 P
4  THY KINGDOM 4 4 56½ 65¼ 74¾ 43 32¾ (shirley lu)BUCHANAN Z 117 8.00 9% 10.20 2.45 S
5  STRONG ATTITUDE 5 6 44½ 3.2 2nk 32 44¾ (smith kenneth )CHEYNE A 122 6.00 15.45  
8  MANITOULIN ISLAND 8 8 88½ 76¼ 87¾ 74½ 58 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 119 10.00 41.80  
3  SAME AGAIN DOC 3 1 34 42¾ 42½ 53 68½ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 8% 11.10 10.75  
1  TWO YEAR CONTRACT 1 2 11 2nk 1nk 64 715¼ (capi m)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00 39% 1.60 4.05  
2  BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 3 21 1nk 31 85 822¾ (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 7.80  
 
FE-7   10/10/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
:23 :461 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ERNIE'S MARTINI 3 5 51½ 51¾   2½ 12¾ (buttigie)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 41% 1.40 1.60 W
1  I LIVE BY FAITH 1 7 1½ 1½   1½ 22¾ (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 7.05  
6  BAJAN BULLET 6 4 83¾ 73¼   62¾ 33¾ (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 3.90  
8  COLLABORATIVE 8 3 61¾ 61¾   31½ 44¼ (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
7  DIAMOND HEIST 7 1 41½ 3½   41½ 55 (wieczo)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 25% 2.90 3.90  
5  BILL NEEDLE 5 8 72¾ 84¼   73¾ 67¼ (palmer kerron)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00 9.25  
4  M C JACKHAMMER 4 2 31 2½   52½ 712½ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 4.50 8% 11.00 19.35  
2  NEOLITHIC NATION 2 6 2½ 4¾   83¾ 813½ (lepiane paul)CRAWFORD J 117 15.00 24.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.