Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-7   Win (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Sep26 Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
IPSUM GRATUS Sep02 Jul08 Mar25 Mar10 Feb24 (mcknight no)SEECHARAN A 121 1.60    
BOCELLI (IRE) Oct03 Sep18 Sep12 Aug07 Jul24 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00    
FOUR KNIGHTS Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00    
THELONIOUS Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Aug21 Aug07 (concessi)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
FE-2   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO FREDDY Oct02 Sep11 Aug08 Jul18 Jun18 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00    
SIR GRAYVENSCROFT Jul03 Jun12 May14 Apr30 Nov27 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 12.00    
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Aug24 Aug06 Jul15 Jun28 May28 (scott orane)WOLFE TENECA 120 6.00    
STUBBORN STREAK Sep30 Sep21 Aug18 Jul07 May26 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
C BY THE SEA Sep26 Sep11 Aug13 Jul10 Jun26 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 5% 18.40    
NO MORE Sep25 Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 71% 0.40    
 
FE-3   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONNEFRAC Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun06 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 124 10.00    
RED MAPLE Sep04 Jul31 Jul18 Jun13 May30 (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ACE DESTROYER Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
SOUP SPOON Sep26 Sep11 Sep05 Aug13 Jul31 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
TALL WATER Sep23 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jun17 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 6.00    
ONE MORE RING Sep19 Aug29 Aug13 Jul24 Jul11 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
 
FE-4   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG ENDING Sep25 Sep04 Aug01 Jul10 Jun18 (davis ri)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 52% 0.90    
H C HOLIDAY Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun25 (wright w)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.00    
MONSTRODAMOUS Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 (gitten)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
EMBRACE MY UNCLE Sep23 Aug11 Jul09 Jun18 May21 (ritchie sarah)SALLES LEO 122 3.00    
KIDDIE HOLIDAY Oct03 Sep17 Aug11 Jul21 May20 (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
HALF LIT Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
 
FE-5   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN IS A BREEZE Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
SANTIAGO SALSA Oct03 Sep11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul31 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00    
VOYANT Sep25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 (alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 122 3.50    
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Sep04 Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 Jun01 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
BAIT N SWITCH Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 Jul22 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
SPIRIT BELLE Sep26 Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 (meli sal)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   10/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO YEAR CONTRACT Oct03 Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (capi m)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00 39% 1.60    
BROADWAY RUCKUS Sep25 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
SAME AGAIN DOC Sep11 Aug28 Jul24 Nov11 Nov04 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 8% 11.10    
THY KINGDOM Sep29 Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jul03 (shirley )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 9% 10.20    
STRONG ATTITUDE Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
TIMMINS Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00    
GOOD SOLDIER Oct02 Sep21 Aug13 Jul09 Mar18 (ceccato sharon)VIVES SOFIA 117 2.50 16% 5.20    
MANITOULIN ISLAND Sep26 Sep07 Aug03 Jul06 Jun16 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 119 10.00    
 
FE-7   10/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIVE BY FAITH Sep18 Sep12 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
NEOLITHIC NATION Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 (lepiane paul)SINGH S 117 15.00    
ERNIE'S MARTINI Sep11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun22 Jun10 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
M C JACKHAMMER Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 4.50 8% 11.00    
BILL NEEDLE Sep28 Sep08 Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 (palmer kerron)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00    
BAJAN BULLET Sep15 Aug27 Aug13 Aug03 Jul06 (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00    
DIAMOND HEIST Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jun18   (wieczo)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 25% 2.90    
COLLABORATIVE Oct01 Sep10 Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.