Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-2   EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-4 $24.60 $12.60 105%
MNR-3   EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-7 $16.60 $4.60 38%
MNR-4   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    DD (2/7/4)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $35.20 $11.20 47%
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(2/7/4)-(8/1/7/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00  1-2-7 $134.80 $62.80 87%
MNR-5   EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-1 $19.80 $7.80 65%
MNR-6   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $32.00 $20.00 167%
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5-3 $42.20 $36.20 603%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRING MAGIC 5 1 11 11 13 16 1 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.40 35% 1.80 0.60 W
REACHING STRIDE 1 2 21 21 23 26 2 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00 7.50  
STARSHIP NUGGET 7 5 42 42 35 38 312¾ (poole c)BRACHO A 120 3.50 18% 4.40 4.20 S
LOVE TO ZOOM 6 3 3 3 4 4 415½ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 10.00 20.90  
HONEY BOURBON 2 6 68 67 510½ 513½ 517½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 12% 7.30 8.80  
FOLK HERO 3 4 52 55 611 615½ 628¾ (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 6.20  
ARTUME 4 7 712 716 721 725½ 738¼ (brinsfield broo)VEGA L 120 30.00 74.40  
SCR  DEL MAR FLASH               (poole c)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC               (reed r)HALDAR J 120 8.00    
 
MNR-2   10/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:224 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELARY 1 6 2nk 12   14 1 (delong ben)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
LUNAR PRAYER 3 2 3 22   24 2 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 30% 2.30 5.80 P
ARTISTIC ALIBI 4 4 67 57   4 3 (mcdonald wi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00 9.00  
MISS LINDYSUE 6 5 4 44   35 4 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 10% 9.30 1.30  
SHEZAGOLDGETTER 5 3 5 610   56 5 (witherow sand)NELSON TYRONE 120 20.00 19.20  
JANTIVA 2 1 1nk 3   6 618¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 121 8.00 6.20  
SCR  RHYTHM FOREVER               (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 3.00    
SCR  SPUNKY ZOEY               (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARISMATICA 2 5 5 35   22 1nk (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 1.60 25% 3.00 1.10 W
ILLUSIONS OF LOVE 6 4 22 21   3 2nk (crago terry)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 24% 3.20 8.40 P
CLAIRE'S DARLING 1 1 12 11   12 3½ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50 2.20  
LEADING INDICATOR 3 2 4 47   4 411¾ (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00 16% 5.40 20.40  
LITTLE LUCERITO 4 3 32 57   511½ 513¾ (fernandez a)DIAZ R 120 6.00 9.10  
ANITA GRIGIO 5 6 6 6   613½ 616¾ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 4.30  
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE               (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
 
MNR-4   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:143     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSACIABLE PRINCE 7 2 1nk 1 12 13 1 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 7% 13.10 6.40 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SUSTAIN by VINDICATION)
ECHOLITE 6 7 4 4 22 23 2 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 3.60  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
ANDYLITHIC 3 9 8 7 44 38 311¾ (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 118 8.00 12.80  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
KNOCKOUT GUY 1 1 5 6 69 59 415 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 8.00 30% 2.40 1.50  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WILDERZAR 9 4 3½ 3 56 4 518½ (wilson david )BRACHO A 118 5.00 25.00  
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILDERNESS AREA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
CAB BEEF 2 6 9 9 7 713 620½ (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00 5% 19.00 37.10  
  (by MINESHAFT out of OURNAUGHTYESCAPADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MR HARRY 4 5 7 8 911 813½ 722¼ (sipp k)MAILHOT P 118 15.00 20.40  
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
THE MONSTER IRUS 8 8 6 5 3 611 823¼ (cascallares n)LUGO D 115 1.40 41% 1.40 2.70  
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
WILLIAM'S CAUSE 5 3 2nk 2 810 914½ 924¾ (babcock)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 50.30  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MNR-5   10/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:223 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE DESTROYER 6 7 3 2nk   1nk 1¼ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 19% 4.30 0.40 W
I'M A COOL MAN 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.00 30% 2.30 9.60 P
SEMINOLE JUSTICE 4 3 4 7   611 3 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 20.00 23.60  
MACHINIST 5 5 5 4   4 4 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 31.60  
CATES SWOOSH 2 4 6 5   56 53 (cain cr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 30% 2.30 3.10  
VALIANT THOR 3 6 7 6   713 67 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00 21.30  
I'M A LAWMAN 7 2 2½ 3.2   3½ 7 (crago terry)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00 19.80  
SCR  WIDGET FACTORY               (joy kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-6   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE 1 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 43% 1.30 2.00 W
DRIVE BY LAYOVER 4 4 4 4   31 2 (demczyk vir)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 12% 7.60 6.30 P
SILENT TIGER 3 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 3 (fairman sha)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 18% 4.70 3.90 S
GATES OF HEAVEN 2 5 6 5   55 4 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 5.00 1.70  
UNCLE EARL 5 2 3½ 3.2   43 5 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 7.60  
FEDERALE 6 6 5 6   613 621¼ (pease harry)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 15.00  
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50    
 
MNR-7   10/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FLAG 1 2 4 31   3½ 1¼ (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 3.80  
RED HURRICANE 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 62% 0.60 1.00 P
CHOCO ROCO 2 3 6 44   4 32 (alamo)MONSERRATE A 120 12.00 7% 12.40 19.50 S
THIRSTY 3 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 4 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50 9% 10.50 2.80  
HENDRIX 5 5 5 5   5 55 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 8.00 15.80  
LUCKY SMILE 6 6 3 65   610½ 612½ (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 5.60  
SCR  JOYFUL CANDY               (brinsfield broo)VEGA L 120 20.00    
 
MNR-8   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY FASHION 2 1 1 12 12 14 1¾ (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 33% 2.10 0.20 W
10  CROSSTOWN GIRL 7 2 2 22 22 24 2¾ (fiesman l)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 25% 2.90 4.30 P
MOTHERWELL 3 4 3 34 3 37 3 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00 20% 4.10 15.20 S
ESTA CALIENTE 1 8 718½ 719 515½ 516 410¼ (sanders melind)GILBERT KYLE 123 30.00 93.30  
11  TAPPING SOUTH 8 7 831½ 834 725 619 511½ (barahona )GONZALEZ J 123 20.00 18.50  
LIPARI 5 5 5 47 411½ 414 614 (gilbert)BRAVO MISAEL 111 10.00 10.60  
CHECK SIX 6 3 4 510 616 725 719¾ (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00 36.80  
WICKED VALENTINE 4 6 6 612 827 840 849 (howar)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00 99.90  
SCR  MAOILIN               (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 1.20    
SCR  TENNIS TAP               (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
SCR  WHATRUWAITINGFOR               (gotera ju)GONZALEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  YESTERDAYSPLAN               (logston chris)NELSON TYRONE 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.