Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/3)-(7/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/9/3)-(1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(2/7/4)-(8/1/7/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/3/2)-(2/10/3/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(2/10/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (2/10/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/3/8)-(2/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/10/3/8)-(2/10/3/8)-(2/10/3/8) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REACHING STRIDE Oct17 Oct01 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
SCR  DEL MAR FLASH Oct17 Sep25 Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 (poole c)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
3  HONEY BOURBON Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug27 Aug01 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  FOLK HERO Oct23 Oct09 Sep28 Aug30 Aug15 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
5  ARTUME Jan02 Nov30 Nov08 Oct05 Aug08 (brinsfield broo)VEGA L 120 30.00    
SCR  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Sep20 Apr13 Feb20 Dec05 Nov02 (reed r)HALDAR J 120 8.00    
7  SPRING MAGIC Oct05 Jul27 Jun16 Sep19 Aug24 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.40 35% 1.80    
8  LOVE TO ZOOM Oct18 Oct01 Sep10 Aug09 Jul26 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
9  STARSHIP NUGGET Oct10 Sep23 Sep07 Aug19 Jul26 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
MNR-2   10/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELARY Mar01 Jan01 Dec14 Nov04 Aug07 (delong ben)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  RHYTHM FOREVER Oct22 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Jan01 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 3.00    
3  JANTIVA Oct03 Aug10 Nov17 Nov01   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 121 8.00    
4  LUNAR PRAYER Oct04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun04 (barker james)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
5  ARTISTIC ALIBI Sep12 Aug17       (mcdonald wi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
6  SHEZAGOLDGETTER Oct02 Sep19 Aug30 Jul30 Jul18 (witherow sand)NELSON TYRONE 120 20.00    
7  MISS LINDYSUE Oct22 Oct03 Sep26 Aug21 Jul13 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  SPUNKY ZOEY Oct15 Sep26 Sep14 Aug16 Jul29 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIRE'S DARLING Oct08 Aug25 Aug06 Jun23 May27 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 2.50    
2  CARISMATICA Oct04 Sep27 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE Oct10 Sep19 Sep03 Jul26 Jul05 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
4  LEADING INDICATOR Oct09 Sep13 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00 16% 5.40    
5  LITTLE LUCERITO Oct05 Aug26 Jul31 Jun21 Jun01 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 120 6.00    
6  ANITA GRIGIO Oct03 Jul20 Jun15 May25 May13 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
7  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Sep24 Aug29 Aug14 Jul23 Jul10 (crago terry)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 24% 3.20    
 
MNR-4   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKOUT GUY Oct23 Oct10 Sep17 Aug06 Jul26 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 8.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  CAB BEEF Oct17 Sep17       (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OURNAUGHTYESCAPADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  ANDYLITHIC Jul26 Jul16 May29 Mar18 Mar08 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 118 8.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
4  MR HARRY Oct18 Sep17 Sep03 Jul02   (sipp k)MAILHOT P 118 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Sep18 Sep05 Aug28 Mar09 Feb15 (babcock)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  ECHOLITE Sep14 Oct26 Oct01     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
7  INSACIABLE PRINCE Oct09 Sep06 Aug24 Aug08 Jul17 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 7% 13.10    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SUSTAIN by VINDICATION)
8  THE MONSTER IRUS Oct03 Sep20 Aug11 Aug02 Jul20 (cascallares n)LUGO D 115 1.40 41% 1.40    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
9  WILDERZAR Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 118 5.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILDERNESS AREA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
MNR-5   10/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A COOL MAN Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Jul11 Jun19 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  WIDGET FACTORY Sep30 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 (joy kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
3  CATES SWOOSH Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 Sep03 Aug09 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  VALIANT THOR Oct06 Jul20 Jul11 Nov27 Nov07 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 120 10.00    
5  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Oct08 Sep11 Aug30 Jul12 Jun18 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
6  MACHINIST Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 Aug09 Jul23 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
7  ACE DESTROYER Oct10 Sep18 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
8  I'M A LAWMAN Sep26 Aug22 Nov16 Oct24 Aug09 (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-6   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUTTON BREEZE Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul17 Jun27 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  GATES OF HEAVEN Sep27 Jul05 Jun19 May22 Mar27 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
3  SILENT TIGER Oct17 Sep24 Sep06 Dec06 Nov21 (fairman sha)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Oct21 Sep12 Sep03 Jun21 Jun01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50    
5  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Sep26 Sep17 Jul30 Jul16 May16 (demczyk vir)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
6  UNCLE EARL Oct05 Aug09 Jul12 Jun15 May20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
7  FEDERALE Oct11 Aug22 Aug09 Jul26 Jun13 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   10/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC FLAG Oct05 Sep06 Jul31 May12 Mar12 (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00    
2  CHOCO ROCO Oct15 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug16 (alamo)MONSERRATE A 120 12.00 7% 12.40    
3  THIRSTY Oct18 Sep17 Aug25 Jan29 Jan06 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50 9% 10.50    
4  RED HURRICANE Oct04 Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 Jun14 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 62% 0.60    
5  HENDRIX Oct15 Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
SCR  JOYFUL CANDY Jul05 Jun06 May30 May15 Apr27 (brinsfield broo)VEGA L 120 20.00    
7  LUCKY SMILE Oct16 Sep25 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-8   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTA CALIENTE Oct17 Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 Jul09 (sanders melind)GILBERT KYLE 123 30.00    
2  GRAY FASHION Sep25 Aug07 Jul19 Jul02 Dec06 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 33% 2.10    
3  MOTHERWELL Oct17 Oct04 Sep24 Sep06 Aug28 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00 20% 4.10    
4  WICKED VALENTINE Oct02 Sep04 Aug21 Aug01 Jul09 (howar)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00    
SCR  MAOILIN Oct15 Oct04 Aug22 Aug13 Jul18 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 1.20    
6  LIPARI Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 Aug18 Jun27 (gilbert)BRAVO MISAEL 111 10.00    
SCR  YESTERDAYSPLAN Oct17 Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 Jul11 (logston chris)NELSON TYRONE 123 10.00    
8  CHECK SIX Oct17 Oct04 Sep24 Sep06 Aug09 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Oct04 Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 Mar17 (gotera ju)GONZALEZ J 118 10.00    
10  CROSSTOWN GIRL Oct16 Sep24 Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 (fiesman l)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 25% 2.90    
11  TAPPING SOUTH Oct12 Aug05 Jul20 Jun23 May27 (barahona )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
SCR  TENNIS TAP Oct12 Sep16 Jul28 Jun16 May05 (brown ronney )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.