The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
PID-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.60 -4.00
PID-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
PID-4   Win (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
PID-5   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -0.60
PID-6   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
PID-7   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
PID-8   Win (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $10.80 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/23/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:23 :47 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY BAND 5 2 11 1½   1½ 1(hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 19% 4.40 3.90 W
REAL GOOD VYBZ 1 5 4 2½   3½ 2(williams omani)STANLEY O 124 3.50 18% 4.70 0.90 P
UPTOWN CHARLOTTE 4 1 21 41   2½ 3(markgraf david)WALKER M 119 3.00 41% 1.40 2.20 S
ABUNDANT STORY 2 4 5 52   43 4(sharp j)WALES GARY 122 8.00 13.00  
MY BRIDGET VERDOT 3 6 6 64   656 (schaber debbie)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 30.30  
KEEN ON ME 6 3 31 3½   54 610¼ (tasso mark)ALLEN D 122 10.00 10.40  
SCR  MA FRANCE (IRE)               (morey will)GALLARDO A 122 1.60    
 
PID-2   10/23/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:224 :454 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE HUNTER 4 1 4 4   3.2 1(ruberto lo)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 1.80  
UNCLE JOCK 2 3 32 3   1nk 2(potts g)ALLEN D 119 5.00 6.00  
HAMMER LANE 5 4 21 2½   2nk 3(weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 38% 1.60 2.40 S
GIACOMETTI 3 5 11 1½   448 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10  
SHOOT YOUR CUFFS 1 2 53 5   55(bourke john)STANLEY O 122 8.00 8.40  
SCR  HE'S A GOOD DANCER               (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 4.00    
 
PID-3   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
:222 :46 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 6 1 1 11   11 1(russell ra)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 52% 0.90 1.60 W
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 2 5 3 32   31 2(brooks e)ALLEN D 122 15.00 15.70  
FIELDER 1 4 2 21   21 3(hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 5.10  
HAIG POINT 5 6 56 53   53 4(girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 18% 4.60 1.30  
SMOKY BLUES 3 3 45 42   42 5(weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 6.10  
WHERE YOU WAS 4 2 66 6   66 68 (grace john)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
SCR  THE SINNER IS YOU               (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.80    
 
PID-4   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:231 :463 :583     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE 6 2 5 4   42 1½ (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 2.50 57% 0.80 3.80 W
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 5 1 11 11   11 2½ (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.00 1.30  
BABY DRAGON 1 5 4 53   21 3(russell ra)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 10.00  
GET NONE 2 4 32 3   31 4(rivelli la)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 10% 8.60 5.90  
HOT BODE 3 6 6 6   65(weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50 11% 7.80 2.10  
FOLK HERO 4 3 21 21   56(gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 8.00 52.60  
SCR  MANDY GREEN               (bernardini p)LEON A 122 15.00    
 
PID-5   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
:242 :49 1:142 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY CORN 1 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 1¾ (stidham mi)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 13% 6.60 0.70 W
FOURONEOHSMOKESHOW 3 4 35 3 4 1nk 2¾ (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 8.00 9.60  
ABRAMS 4 1 45 4 31 33(zook w)STANLEY O 120 8.00 2.50  
IRISH STONE 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 4410 (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00 56% 0.80 2.90  
SCR  BAYTOWN BRUISER               (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  EXPRESS STAR               (miller d)WALES GARY 120 4.50    
SCR  MORTAL SIN               (doran carl)CARRASCO R 120 1.60    
 
PID-6   10/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:254 :502 1:143 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE 3 2 43 43 4 1½ 13 (trombetta )GALLARDO A 124 1.80 24% 3.20 0.60 W
SUN DADDY 6 1 3 32 2nk 2½ 23 (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 19% 4.20 16.90 P
HEY PADRE 1 3 1 12 1nk 3½ 3(rogers m)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 34% 1.90 6.50 S
AMERICA'S JUSTICE 4 4 2 22 52 44(miller-saul bet)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 4.60  
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 5 5 66 6 6 54 5(rice kevin)AYALA J 119 4.00 7.40  
ALABAMA SLAMMER 2 6 55 5 31 66 613¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 8.00 6.40  
 
PID-7   10/23/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Mark McDermott Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
:222 :454 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVY POUR 4 2 2 2½   2nk 1(girten tim)MARTINEZ A 116 10.00 26% 2.90 4.40 W
GOING UP 1 6 54 5   3½ 2(potts g)ALLEN D 122 2.50 32% 2.20 0.50 P
POKER PARTNER 6 1 1 1½   1nk 3(dacosta ja)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5.10  
UNCLE KENNY 5 3 43 42   42 47 (potts g)WALKER M 118 8.00 11.50  
WHISKEYROMEOSIERRA 2 4 3 32   5511¾ (coletti edward )MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 16% 5.20 7.30  
FACTOR U AND ME IN 3 5 64 6   6612 (coletti j)MARTINEZ W 118 15.00 32.30  
SCR  NOTICE OF ACTION               (hawthorne bobb)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 1.80    
SCR  REBEL INVASION               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00    
SCR  THAT'S JUST GREAT               (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 10.00    
 
PID-8   10/23/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
:251 :501 1:153 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER GEUSE 5 4 8 8 63 2nk 1(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 124 6.00 4.40  
MULSANNE (IRE) 3 2 55 6 3.2 1nk 2(hendriks richar)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 2.30 P
VARSITY DOLL 4 3 1 1 1nk 3½ 35 (monserrate ma)CAMILO D 121 12.00 5.00  
ALARRA 1 1 33 7 7 64 4(clarke dylan)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00 12.70  
WINE IN THE DARK 6 8 65 45 2nk 458 (hendriks richar)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 4.00 12% 7.20 1.90  
AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE 7 5 44 2 4¼ 53 6(johnston rebecc)WALKER M 124 4.50 19% 4.40 12.00  
MEMORIES ETERNAL 2 7 76 5 5 7710 (deiter lynn)WALES GARY 114 20.00 5% 19.00 37.40  
NAUGHTY PUMPKIN 8 6 2 3 86 810¼ 822¼ (gutterson katly)ROJAS MARTINA 116 20.00 21.40  
SCR  CASTLE BORN               (duffy sean)GALLARDO A 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.