Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $14.20 $8.20 137%
MVR-2   DD (4/2/1)-(1/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $36.60 $18.60 103%
MVR-3   PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/7/3)-(6/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-1-3/6 $24.15 $10.65 79%
MVR-4   PK3 (1/7/3)-(6/1/2)-(2/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-6-1 $19.60 $6.10 45%
MVR-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $14.80 $8.80 147%
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $20.00 $8.00 67%
MVR-7   EXA (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-8 $31.60 $7.60 32%
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-2 $39.20 $15.20 63%
MVR-8   PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/4/7/8)-(1/6/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-2-1 $28.90 $4.90 20%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM 1 2 42½ 53½ 41½ 11½ 11¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 9% 10.50 6.10 W
6  GRAY ROYALITY 5 4 32 31½ 1½ 31½ 21¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 121 8.00 4.60  
7  SHELL FIRE 6 5 54 42½ 31½ 21½ 32 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 3.40  
2  TUSKEGEE CAT 2 3 21 21 51¾ 42 43½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 24% 3.20 2.70  
4  SMASH 3 1 11 11 2½ 52¼ 55¾ (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 3.50 41% 1.50 2.20  
5  FRANCO (MEX) 4 6 67 67½ 64¾ 69¼ 614¼ (patton luke)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 9.50  
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE               (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-2   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:13 1:264   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITASCA 1 5 1½ 1nk 1½ 12½ 14 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 126 2.00 54% 0.90 1.60 W
2  PERCENTAGE 2 2 43½ 42½ 54¼ 33½ 24 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 8.30  
3  MAXIMIZER 3 1 2½ 2nk 2½ 22½ 34¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5% 19.00 2.30 S
6  DUEL FUEL 6 4 57 57½ 34 44 45½ (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 28.20  
4  ONLYATTHESHOE 4 6 79½ 611 79¼ 67 59¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 8.00 14.70  
7  LUCKY ANDY 7 7 69½ 712 69¼ 77½ 612½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 1.60 25% 3.00 2.30  
5  BRIAR JUMPER 5 3 32½ 32 44 57 713¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 22.50  
 
MVR-3   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:131 1:271   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUDDEN SHIFT 5 4 3½ 31 3½ 1nk 1nk (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 W
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 4 3 42½ 42½ 41½ 2nk 2nk (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5.80  
1  WHISKEY ROAN 1 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 31 33¾ (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 15% 5.60 2.20 S
8  BOSS BEAR 7 6 64¾ 65½ 67½ 44 47½ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 126 3.50 4.70  
2  FISHING FOR FUN 2 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 55½ 510½ (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 14% 6.00 9.10  
7  UNCLEJACKOMO 6 5 52¾ 52½ 52½ 67 611¼ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 28.40  
4  AT THE BEACH 3 7 76¼ 76½ 710½ 714 719¼ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 41.00  
SCR  TODAY MATTERS               (silva pablo)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:22 :46       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT DADDY 1 3 34½ 36   3½ 11¾ (rivera nesto)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50 11% 8.20 2.10 W
7  KOSCIUSZKO 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 21¾ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 1.20  
6  TWICE AS SMART 5 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 34½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 7.50  
2  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 2 5 45½ 47   43½ 45 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 38% 1.70 2.80  
5  THE EQUINEST 4 4 57 58½   57½ 56¼ (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 44.30  
3  NO COMMISSION 3 6 612 614½   69½ 69 (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 20.40  
SCR  CRYO               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-5   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIONISTIC 3 2 1½ 11   13 13½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50 1.10  
4  LIBERTY BELLE 2 4 33 31   23 23½ (londono odin )BRACHO A 126 6.00 16% 5.50 13.00 P
3  AUJARA 1 6 54½ 54   35½ 37¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
7  SQUID 5 3 43 41½   57 413½ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 15% 5.60 2.20  
8  JEN'S BATTLE 6 8 810 77½   68½ 514½ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 17.10  
10  QUARANTINA 8 5 78 88½   89½ 616 (casalinova ti)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 54.60  
9  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO 7 1 2½ 21   47 716¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 43% 1.30 3.70  
6  ANNMARIA 4 7 65 65½   79 816¾ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 38.70  
SCR  CAUSE OF LOVE               (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX               (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISS SENSIBLE 4 3 2½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 10% 9.50 6.40 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLDERS SEASON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  TRICKED OUT 5 4 52½ 42   2½ 2¼ (cowans william )MOJICA JR 126 1.60 59% 0.70 0.20 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
1  SHEWEARSMYRING 1 5 31 32   3½ 31 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 7.80  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  DANCE MY WAY 3 2 1½ 2½   42½ 48½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00 15.50  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PLEASANT DANCE by SOVEREIGN DANCER)
7  HOLY SKULL 6 1 41 52½   56½ 510 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 30.00  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY FORT by FORT LARNED)
2  SISTER CODE 2 6 63 64½   67 611½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
SCR  WORK N FLIRT               (silva pab)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
 
MVR-7   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:151 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGIC PALACE 2 6 42½ 31½ 51½ 11½ 14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 39% 1.60 1.60 W
8  CATCHAFALLNSTAR 8 7 86 88¼ 72¾ 32 24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
3  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 3 3 52½ 52 62½ 43½ 35¼ (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 5.90  
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 2 21 21 1½ 21½ 48½ (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 121 10.00 5.40  
7  HIGH FASHION LADY 7 8 74 73¼ 82¾ 77 512¾ (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 15.00 9% 10.70 5.90  
6  LADY GIULIANA 6 5 32 41½ 2½ 55½ 613 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 121 20.00 15.80  
1  DONNA LIRICA 1 1 11 11 41 66½ 714¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 10.20  
4  MO RISSA 4 4 63½ 62¼ 3½ 811 822 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 121 5.00 18% 4.60 7.10  
 
MVR-8   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DA BOSS 1 1 11½ 12   15 18¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.00 W
  (by STREET BOSS out of COME SUNDAY by WIND AND WUTHERING)
7  ROMANIAN PRINCE 7 5 34½ 35   25 28¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 4.50 8.60  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
2  BLUE NOMORE 2 7 610½ 612½   412 312 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 16.90  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  SGT YORK 6 9 712½ 716½   614 413¾ (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.30  
  (by ARMY MULE out of QUEEN BEAUTYREST by SILVER CHARM)
4  GRAY TORMENTOR 4 8 814 817   717 519¼ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 93.50  
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
8  CANNON MAN 8 3 46 58½   513½ 620½ (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 36.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BECKY'S EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  NOAH MY BABY 3 2 21½ 22   310 723¾ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 17.10  
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
9  ROLLIN MY WAY 9 4 56½ 48   822 833¼ (riley barbara)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 77.30  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
5  GOLDSTRIKER 5 6 918 924   932 958½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 18% 4.60 3.90  
  (by PAYNTER out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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