The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
MVR-2   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
MVR-3   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
MVR-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
MVR-5   Win (9/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $4.20 -8.00
MVR-6   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 8.80
MVR-7   Win (2/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
MVR-8   Win (1/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
:242 :481 1:132 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM 1 2 4 5 4 11(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 9% 10.50 6.10 W
GRAY ROYALITY 5 4 32 3 1½ 32(urieta johanna)BRACHO A 121 8.00 4.60  
SHELL FIRE 6 5 54 4 3 232 (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 3.40  
TUSKEGEE CAT 2 3 21 21 5 42 4(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 24% 3.20 2.70  
SMASH 3 1 11 11 2½ 55(bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 3.50 41% 1.50 2.20  
FRANCO (MEX) 4 6 67 6 6 6614¼ (patton luke)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 9.50  
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE               (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-2   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
:243 :474 1:13 1:264   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITASCA 1 5 1½ 1nk 1½ 114 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 126 2.00 54% 0.90 1.60 W
PERCENTAGE 2 2 4 4 5 324 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 8.30  
MAXIMIZER 3 1 2½ 2nk 2½ 23(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5% 19.00 2.30 S
DUEL FUEL 6 4 57 5 34 44 4(rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 28.20  
ONLYATTHESHOE 4 6 7 611 7 67 5(spiess m)DIAZ I 126 8.00 14.70  
LUCKY ANDY 7 7 6 712 6 7612½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 1.60 25% 3.00 2.30  
BRIAR JUMPER 5 3 3 32 44 57 713¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00 22.50  
 
MVR-3   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
:243 :474 1:131 1:271   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUDDEN SHIFT 5 4 3½ 31 3½ 1nk 1nk (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 W
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 4 3 4 4 4 2nk 2nk (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5.80  
WHISKEY ROAN 1 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 31 3(sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 15% 5.60 2.20 S
BOSS BEAR 7 6 6 6 6 44 4(skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 126 3.50 4.70  
FISHING FOR FUN 2 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 5510½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 14% 6.00 9.10  
UNCLEJACKOMO 6 5 5 5 5 67 611¼ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 28.40  
AT THE BEACH 3 7 7 7 710½ 714 719¼ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 41.00  
SCR  TODAY MATTERS               (silva pablo)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
:22 :46       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT DADDY 1 3 3 36   3½ 1(rivera nestor)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50 11% 8.20 2.10 W
KOSCIUSZKO 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 1.20  
TWICE AS SMART 5 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 3(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 7.50  
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 2 5 4 47   445 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 38% 1.70 2.80  
THE EQUINEST 4 4 57 5   55(bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00 44.30  
NO COMMISSION 3 6 612 614½   669 (figueroa )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 20.40  
SCR  CRYO               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-5   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
:223 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 3 2 1½ 11   13 1(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50 1.10  
LIBERTY BELLE 2 4 33 31   23 2(londono j)BRACHO A 126 6.00 16% 5.50 13.00 P
AUJARA 1 6 5 54   33(rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
SQUID 5 3 43 4   57 413½ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 15% 5.60 2.20  
JEN'S BATTLE 6 8 810 7   6514½ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 17.10  
10  QUARANTINA 8 5 78 8   8616 (casalinova tina)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 54.60  
MIDNIGHT IN OHIO 7 1 2½ 21   47 716¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 43% 1.30 3.70  
ANNMARIA 4 7 65 6   79 816¾ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 38.70  
SCR  CAUSE OF LOVE               (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX               (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
:231 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SENSIBLE 4 3 2½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 10% 9.50 6.40 W
TRICKED OUT 5 4 5 42   2½ 2¼ (cowans d)MOJICA JR 126 1.60 59% 0.70 0.20 P
SHEWEARSMYRING 1 5 31 32   3½ 31 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 7.80  
DANCE MY WAY 3 2 1½ 2½   44(puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00 15.50  
HOLY SKULL 6 1 41 5   5510 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 30.00  
SISTER CODE 2 6 63 6   67 611½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
SCR  WORK N FLIRT               (silva pablo)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
 
MVR-7   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
:243 :483 1:151 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC PALACE 2 6 4 3 5 114 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 39% 1.60 1.60 W
CATCHAFALLNSTAR 8 7 86 8 7 32 24 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 3 3 5 52 6 43(kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 5.90  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 2 21 21 1½ 24(gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 121 10.00 5.40  
HIGH FASHION LADY 7 8 74 7 8 77 512¾ (morzan j)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 15.00 9% 10.70 5.90  
LADY GIULIANA 6 5 32 4 2½ 5613 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 121 20.00 15.80  
DONNA LIRICA 1 1 11 11 41 6714¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 10.20  
MO RISSA 4 4 6 6 3½ 811 822 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 121 5.00 18% 4.60 7.10  
 
MVR-8   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:11
:222 :464       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO DA BOSS 1 1 1 12   15 1(gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.00 W
ROMANIAN PRINCE 7 5 3 35   25 2(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 4.50 8.60  
BLUE NOMORE 2 7 610½ 612½   412 312 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 16.90  
SGT YORK 6 9 712½ 716½   614 413¾ (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.30  
GRAY TORMENTOR 4 8 814 817   717 519¼ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 93.50  
CANNON MAN 8 3 46 5   513½ 620½ (figueroa )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 36.20  
NOAH MY BABY 3 2 2 22   310 723¾ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 17.10  
ROLLIN MY WAY 9 4 5 48   822 833¼ (riley barbara)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 77.30  
GOLDSTRIKER 5 6 918 924   932 958½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 18% 4.60 3.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.