Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/7/3)-(6/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(6/1/2)-(2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/1)-(9/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(9/4/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(9/4/7/3)-(5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/7/3)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/3)-(5/4/2)-(2/4/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/4/7/8)-(1/6/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/8)-(1/6/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/9)-(1/6/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/9)-(1/6/5/9)-(1/6/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM Oct23 Oct06 Sep27 Sep18 Sep05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 9% 10.50    
2  TUSKEGEE CAT Oct09 Sep01 Aug24 Aug05 Jul05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ACROSS THE AISLE Sep27 Aug28 Aug03 Jul18 Jun13 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
4  SMASH Sep26 Sep11 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
5  FRANCO (MEX) Oct02 Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 (patton luke)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
6  GRAY ROYALITY Oct10 Sep07 Aug23 Jul17 Jun24 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
7  SHELL FIRE Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jul24 Jul12 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
 
MVR-2   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITASCA Oct13 Sep26 May30 Aug31 Aug16 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 126 2.00 54% 0.90    
2  PERCENTAGE Oct18 Oct08 Sep21 Aug28 Aug07 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00    
3  MAXIMIZER Oct21 Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 Aug04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONLYATTHESHOE Oct13 Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
5  BRIAR JUMPER Oct03 Sep25 Aug27 Aug02 Jul18 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
6  DUEL FUEL Oct21 Sep27 Jun06 May16 May06 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00    
7  LUCKY ANDY Oct13 Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
MVR-3   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY ROAN Aug03 Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr15 (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
2  FISHING FOR FUN Oct04 Sep13 Aug22 Jul31 Jul19 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  TODAY MATTERS Oct09 Sep24 Sep12 Aug27 Jul24 (silva pablo)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
4  AT THE BEACH Sep20 Sep13 Aug17 Jul31 Jun24 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Oct03 Sep18 Aug03 Jul10 Jun13 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
6  SUDDEN SHIFT Oct13 Sep20 Jul25 May24 May08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  UNCLEJACKOMO Sep28 Sep13 Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
8  BOSS BEAR Oct04 Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 Jun06 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 126 3.50    
 
MVR-4   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT DADDY Oct13 Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 (rivera nesto)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
2  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Sep18 Aug08 Jun01 May16 Apr25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  NO COMMISSION Oct21 Sep16 Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
SCR  CRYO Sep24 Sep01 Aug02 Jun11 May14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
5  THE EQUINEST Oct04 Sep07 Aug31 Aug14 Jul24 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
6  TWICE AS SMART Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
7  KOSCIUSZKO Oct21 Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr10 Mar20 Feb23 Feb06 Jan19 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Oct11 Sep04 Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
3  AUJARA Oct11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jun21 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIBERTY BELLE Oct13 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 (londono odin )BRACHO A 126 6.00 16% 5.50    
5  LIONISTIC Oct11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 May15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
6  ANNMARIA Sep25 Sep05 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
7  SQUID Sep07 Aug17 Jul25 Jun27 Jun02 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
8  JEN'S BATTLE Oct13 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Oct20 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
9  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO Sep07 Aug22 Jul17 May10 Apr24 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
10  QUARANTINA Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Jul25 Jun21 (casalinova ti)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWEARSMYRING Oct05 Sep13 Aug23     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  SISTER CODE Oct05 Jun14 May25 May11 Apr25 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
3  DANCE MY WAY Oct05 Sep13       (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 126 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PLEASANT DANCE by SOVEREIGN DANCER)
4  MISS SENSIBLE Aug13 May20 Apr22     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 10% 9.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLDERS SEASON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  TRICKED OUT Jul01         (cowans william )MOJICA JR 126 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  WORK N FLIRT Aug13 Jun16 May26     (silva pab)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
7  HOLY SKULL Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 Jul30 Jul07 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY FORT by FORT LARNED)
 
MVR-7   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNA LIRICA Sep14 Aug06 Jun20 Apr26 Apr01 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
2  MAGIC PALACE Sep29 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 Jun03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
3  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Oct12 Aug28 Jun16 May29 May02 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00    
4  MO RISSA Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 121 10.00    
6  LADY GIULIANA Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 Jul20 Jul11 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 121 20.00    
7  HIGH FASHION LADY Oct01 Aug11 Feb08 Dec30 Dec19 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 15.00 9% 10.70    
8  CATCHAFALLNSTAR Sep19 May29 May09 Apr26 Apr03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DA BOSS Oct12 Sep26 Sep06     (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COME SUNDAY by WIND AND WUTHERING)
2  BLUE NOMORE         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
3  NOAH MY BABY Oct12         (poole m)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
4  GRAY TORMENTOR Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15   (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
5  GOLDSTRIKER Oct12         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by PAYNTER out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
6  SGT YORK         (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of QUEEN BEAUTYREST by SILVER CHARM)
7  ROMANIAN PRINCE Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 4.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
8  CANNON MAN Oct12         (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BECKY'S EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
9  ROLLIN MY WAY         (riley barbara)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.