Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $10.00 $4.00 67%
CT-3   EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-8 $8.10 $2.10 35%
CT-7   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $64.20 $56.20 703%
    DD (5/7/6/8)-(6/3/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-4 $127.00 $95.00 297%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL MAHOGANY 5 5 1½     15 15 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 73% 0.40 0.80 W
POLITICAL DECISION 4 2 2½     25 25 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.70 P
SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND 2 4 6     7 3 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00 10.70  
DANCIN IN DUBAI 7 1 4     46 4 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 8.60  
BUBBA G 1 6 76     67 58 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00 2.70  
TRAPPE THE GOLD 6 7 5     36 69 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 8.30  
DINNER BELL 3 3 33     5 711 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 20.00 5% 19.00 38.40  
 
CT-2   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RRACE DAY WARRIOR 8 5 2 22   12 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 0.40  
NO FOOLING DUDE 6 2 1 12   22 2 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50 13% 6.50 5.40 P
FORT FORTITUDE 1 1 6 57   3 3 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 32.90  
MOON OVER MONTANA 2 6 711¾ 67   46 4 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 54% 0.80 4.20  
ELEVATED FOREVER 5 4 3 3   58 516¼ (garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 15.00 23.00  
EISELE 3 3 47 7   710½ 618¼ (hummer richar)ADAMS L 115 15.00 5% 19.00 52.30  
YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY 7 7 58 45   610 718¾ (brown k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 37.00  
ATTENTIVE 4 8 811¾ 8   816 823 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 6% 15.50 12.70  
 
CT-3   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE THE RAPIDS 4 3 1½ 1nk   12 1 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 115 2.50 44% 1.30 1.50 W
MARQUET CLASSIC 7 7 2½ 2nk   22 2 (runco c)BATISTA A 120 3.00 9% 9.90 2.50 P
HOLY HIP 1 2 42 4   45 3 (jones micha)ESQUILIN J 124 15.00 29.80  
DIAL FOR LOVE 5 5 31 31   3 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 18% 4.70 3.30  
ALL THE WAY MAE 3 4 66 66   610½ 511½ (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00 68.70  
LOOKING FOR FLARE 6 6 716 718   712 611½ (butts e)LARROSA G 120 4.00 15.40  
HONEYCAMP 2 1 53 55   5 712 (simone mich)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 4.10  
SCR  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS               (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   10/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:22 :454       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING A LULLABYE 3 5 11     11 1 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.50 23% 3.40 0.90 W
COWGIRL ATTITUDE 4 4 21     21 2 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 2.70  
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 5 6 3     3 3 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 115 3.50 43% 1.30 7.90 S
BLUE MOUNTAIN 6 3 4     410 4 (adorno l)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 10.80  
GLOBAL EMPRESS 2 8 88     611½ 510¼ (couchenou)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 32.20  
MICHEAUX 1 7 7     511 611 (clement roland )PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
FIFTY GRAY SHADES 7 1 6     713 712¾ (groves jani)ESQUILIN J 122 10.00 34.80  
PATTI BLUE EYES 8 2 5     814½ 818 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 9.60 5.80  
 
CT-5   10/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:154 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN BANDIT 7 3 2nk 1½ 1½ 12 1 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 7.20  
MUD BUG 2 1 4 4 32 32 2 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 1.90  
MASTER THIS 3 4 31 5 2½ 22 38 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 4.00 14% 6.20 2.20 S
CHROME HEIR 1 5 7 7 6 5 412¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50 25% 3.00 6.80  
VOLIERO 6 7 52 2½ 5 49 516 (hillegass ale)BATISTA C 122 30.00 14% 6.20 66.70  
PURSUING PACE 4 6 6 6 42 6 616¾ (magee kieron)BATISTA A 122 5.00 6.90  
UNION LEAGUE 5 2 1nk 3 7 710¼ 718¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 4.70  
SCR  ADARA               (viands stacey)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
SCR  JONES FALLS               (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   10/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:214 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FIBER 5 4 1nk     11 1 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 35% 1.90 1.30 W
HARDLY EVER BETTER 7 1 2nk     21 2 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 18% 4.60 2.00 P
TURTLE DOVE 2 6 33     3 3 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00 22.60  
JUBA BOUND 1 5 5     4 45 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 15.00 10.20  
RIVER WARRIOR RVF 6 3 6     6 5 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 13% 7.00 9.50  
MAKIN' GOLD 8 2 4     5 6 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50 8% 10.90 6.50  
DIXIE YODELER 4 8 823¾     818½ 716 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 112 15.00 12.40  
LEMONSONDESURPRISE 3 7 7     7 816½ (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 117 20.00 63.40  
 
CT-7   10/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:213 :45       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULLY CONNECTED 4 5 12     1 11 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 7% 12.90 31.10 W
BAYTOWN FROSTY 8 2 32     2 21 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 5.30  
COMPANY CLOWN 7 1 22     33 3 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 16% 5.30 7.00 S
STORM BOARDER (CHI) 3 7 4     44 44 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00 16% 5.30 4.40  
FIZBO 9 4 6     55 55 (allard t)LARROSA G 122 6.00 10.40  
INSIDE RISK 5 6 9     8 6 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 67.60  
BAYTOWN WARRIOR 1 8 7     7 7 (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 15.30  
TIZ NO CLOWN 2 9 8     9 88 (atkins willia)BATISTA C 118 20.00 77.50  
PRIMAL DESTINY 6 3 5     67 911¾ (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 40% 1.50 0.80  
 
CT-8   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORLANDER 1 2 21 4   3 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00 4.10  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 2 5 55 21   2nk 2 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 1.60  
10  ICETECA 7 6 65 6   4 3 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 8.00 13.00  
IRISH KING 3 1 11 11   1nk 4 (lucas anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 34.10  
CAIRO BREEZE 5 3 44 5   5 5 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 3.00 20% 4.10 1.70  
LORD GRANDE 6 7 717 721½   732½ 636 (cuttino mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 13% 6.90 26.60  
DOUBLE MAKER 4 4 3 31   622½ 744½ (gillespie a)MAWING A 124 5.00 34% 2.00 6.80  
SCR  BARRELHOUSE               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 8.00    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS               (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
SCR  RUSH TO CANDY               (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.