Handicappers' Race Results
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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
MVR-1   Win (5/6/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
MVR-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
MVR-3   Win (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
MVR-4   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $19.40  
MVR-5   Win (6/11/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $9.20 $9.20  
MVR-6   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
MVR-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.20  
MVR-8   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $24.20 $24.20 18.20
MVR-9   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.20  
MVR-10   Win (2/10/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $25.40 $25.40 15.40
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 6 2 42 32 32 23½ 1nk (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 25% 3.00 1.40 W
3  STRIKE APPEAL 3 6 11 1½ 1nk 13½ 2nk (londono j)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 8% 11.80 2.30 P
5  ITASCA 5 3 21 2½ 2nk 33½ 37 (schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 38% 1.60 13.80 S
2  IT'S FATE 2 8 96½ 85¼ 610 510 413¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 10.30  
8  SHELL FIRE 8 1 74½ 96¾ 912¼ 611½ 514½ (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 7.20  
4  ADIOS BOBBY 4 7 32 42 46 49½ 616 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 7.70  
1  SCAT SHACK 1 9 108 107¾ 812 715½ 717 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 48.40  
7  CUMBER 7 5 52½ 53 58 917¼ 819½ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18.80  
10  TWO GUNS 10 4 63½ 64½ 711 817 919¾ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 17.50 23.60  
9  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 9 10 85 75 1012¼ 1020¼ 1028½ (pappada julie )KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 50.00  
 
MVR-2   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:29
See original race card.
:232 :473 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OAXACA 4 1 1nk 11½   11 13½ (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 18% 4.70 1.20 DQ↓3
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 2 3.2 21½   21 23½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 57% 0.70 0.60 W
1  MO RISSA 1 4 2nk 32   35 313 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 122 6.00 13.80  
4  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 5 43¾ 43½   49 417 (huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 21.70  
6  CAUSE OF LOVE 5 3 55¼ 55½   513 532¾ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 18.70  
SCR  RAINBOW SHIP               (mahan joseph )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN' ROSIE 1 3 11 2½   1nk 11¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 15% 5.80 3.10 W
2  APPEALING SENORITA 2 5 41½ 31   2nk 21¼ (gonza)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 4.00 14% 6.40 4.90 P
9  TALE OF THE LYON 9 1 21 1½   31½ 32¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 2.40  
6  LADY ABRIL 6 2 31 41½   44½ 47½ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 17% 4.90 3.30  
3  COWCHI 3 4 53½ 66   57 510¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 50.00  
5  NOT A WILD BRAT 5 9 99¼ 99½   69 611 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.50 25% 3.00 5.00  
8  I'M JAC'D 8 7 63¾ 54½   710½ 717 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 62.00  
4  J J'S FANCY 4 8 86¼ 77½   814 824¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 77.70  
7  CITY SIGNS 7 6 75¼ 87½   916 925½ (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 11.90  
 
MVR-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:233 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIMIT UP 5 2 11½ 11½   12½ 13¼ (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00 8.70  
4  FLIPPING FISH 3 3 41¾ 21½   22½ 23¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 52% 0.90 0.90 P
5  OVER THE HILLS 4 4 51¾ 31½   33 36¼ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 18% 4.70 1.40 S
8  TIME HEIST 6 1 21½ 41¾   45 410 (watkins )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 9% 10.40 10.50  
3  VENETIAN DREAM 2 5 31½ 54¾   59½ 511 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 29.80  
1  THE DRAKE 1 6 65¾ 69¼   612 613¾ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 12.80  
SCR  AUGER               (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
SCR  SUBDUED               (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:224 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS 2 7 11½ 14   14 17½ (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 5% 19.00 3.60 W
11  RECKLESS L J 10 1 52¾ 45   24 27½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.00 12% 7.30 0.40 P
10  MANNFORD 9 6 84½ 56½   45½ 310 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 10% 8.60 13.90 S
6  GOLD N SILVER 6 3 74¼ 88¾   69 411½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 53% 0.90 7.50  
5  EL MARRO 5 4 31½ 24   34½ 512½ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 39.60  
9  HENRY THE CAT 8 5 64¼ 78½   79 613¼ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
3  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 8 21½ 35   57 714¼ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 87.20  
7  PRIVATE DRIVE 7 2 42½ 67½   810½ 815½ (guidry terrance)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 53.70  
1  TIGER TRAIL 1 10 108½ 1011¾   912 915¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 50.20  
4  TEQUILA FLATS 4 9 96 910¾   1016 1027¾ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 30.00 77.10  
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST First Lady Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BACK TO OHIO 4 2 2½ 2½   1nk 11 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.60 57% 0.80 0.70 W
4  LADY LOTTIE 3 4 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (dacosta jason)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00 10% 9.10 8.10 P
1  BUCKEYE PRINCESS 1 5 52½ 42½   3½ 31¾ (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.00 1.00  
2  NEECHI 2 3 31½ 32   42½ 49¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 40.50  
7  SPARKLING JEWEL 5 1 42½ 53   56 517½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 22.10  
SCR  IN TROUBLED WATERS               (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  SERGER               (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
 
MVR-7   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cardinal Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIONISTIC 4 1 1½ 11   12½ 13¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 0.60  
6  EXCITEMENT 5 2 2½ 31   22½ 23¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 5.50  
7  MR LOOOCH 6 4 31 21   32½ 34 (meyers shane)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 12% 7.10 4.30 S
3  DARK VADER 3 6 62¼ 63¾   44½ 45½ (radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 118 8.00 37% 1.70 14.90  
2  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 2 5 52 53¾   55 58½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 10.00 21.00  
1  QUIET AMIGO 1 7 42 43½   66 612¼ (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 23.00  
8  ALTISSIMO 7 3 72¼ 75¼   78 713 (zielinski richard)FELICIANO R 120 4.50 16% 5.30 8.10  
SCR  TIVIS               (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 117 4.00    
 
MVR-8   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hollywood Gaming Mahoning Dist Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOODY WOMAN 5 3 51¾ 31   2nk 1½ (mcmullen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 10% 9.10 11.10 W
4  MY DESTINY 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (wilensky herma)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 26% 2.90 0.50 P
3  ROSEBUG 2 4 31 41½   41¼ 31¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 S
5  LIBERTY BELLE 4 5 2nk 2nk   3.2 43¾ (londono j)BRACHO A 118 20.00 27.00  
7  DECO STRONG 6 1 41¼ 65   54¼ 57¼ (stites w)DIAZ I 118 8.00 22.30  
1  THINK IT THRU 1 6 61¾ 54½   64¼ 612¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 118 20.00 46.10  
SCR  OLGA ISABEL               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
 
MVR-9   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cheryl Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JERSEY PEARL 4 3 31½ 3½   21 11 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 1.60  
2  WHITE CHOCOLATE 2 5 1nk 1½   11 21 (summers chad)JARAMILLO E 117 8.00 9.50  
6  CONDENSATION 6 1 53¾ 63¾   56½ 37¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 3.30  
3  SIMPLY STATED 3 6 41¾ 41½   46 411 (beattie m)ORTIZ JR 117 5.00 27% 2.70 3.90  
1  LATE FROST 1 4 2nk 2½   34 511½ (matz r)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 19% 4.30 8.60  
8  ZAPPLE 7 2 63¾ 74¾   79½ 614 (leitch d)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 67.20  
5  POETICA 5 7 74 51¾   69½ 718¾ (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50 26% 2.80 3.90  
SCR  B G WARRIOR               (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-10   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Steel Valley Sprint Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RYVIT 4 8 74¾ 43¾   3½ 12¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 17% 4.90 11.70 W
2  DAMON'S MOUND 2 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 22¼ (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 P
8  SUPER CHOW 8 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 36¼ (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 124 6.00 11% 8.00 15.90 S
9  HALMSTAD 9 6 41¾ 53¾   65 46¼ (rutledge lance)BEJARANO R 117 12.00 6.40  
6  RECRUITER 6 9 97¼ 77¼   53 56½ (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 117 10.00 6% 17.10 19.20  
10  UNCASHED 10 1 3.2 3.2   41 69½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 19% 4.20 4.30  
7  NAUTICAL STAR 7 7 64¼ 64¼   76 710¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 117 3.50 3.50  
5  AGNELLO'S DREAM 5 4 86¼ 99¾   89 814¾ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 117 30.00 ######  
1  FROSTED DEPARTURE 1 5 52¾ 87¾   99½ 917¾ (mcpeek g)DIAZ I 117 8.00 27.60  
3  MEADOW VALUE 3 10 1021¼ 1017¾   1011½ 1019¼ (elliott mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 30.00 85.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.