Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   TRI (5/6/3/10/1)-(5/6/3/10/1)-(5/6/3/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-3-5 $34.45 $4.45 15%
MVR-3   EXA (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $42.60 $18.60 78%
MVR-5   SFT (6/11/10/2/9)-(6/11/10/2/9)-(6/11/10/2/9)-(6/11/10/2/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-11-10-6 $16.41 $4.41 37%
MVR-6   EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-4 $18.80 $14.80 370%
MVR-8   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $24.20 $18.20 303%
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $66.40 $54.40 453%
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-4-3 $28.20 $25.20 840%
MVR-10   WIN (2/10/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $25.40 $15.40 154%
    EXA (2/10/4/8/6)-(2/10/4/8/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-2 $82.20 $42.20 106%
    TRI (2/10/4/8/6)-(2/10/4/8/6)-(2/10/4/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-2-8 $222.55 $192.55 642%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 6 2 42 32 32 23½ 1nk (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 25% 3.00 1.40 W
3  STRIKE APPEAL 3 6 11 1½ 1nk 13½ 2nk (londono j)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 8% 11.80 2.30 P
5  ITASCA 5 3 21 2½ 2nk 33½ 37 (schuster rob)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 38% 1.60 13.80 S
2  IT'S FATE 2 8 96½ 85¼ 610 510 413¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 10.30  
8  SHELL FIRE 8 1 74½ 96¾ 912¼ 611½ 514½ (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 7.20  
4  ADIOS BOBBY 4 7 32 42 46 49½ 616 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 7.70  
1  SCAT SHACK 1 9 108 107¾ 812 715½ 717 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 48.40  
7  CUMBER 7 5 52½ 53 58 917¼ 819½ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18.80  
10  TWO GUNS 10 4 63½ 64½ 711 817 919¾ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 17.50 23.60  
9  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 9 10 85 75 1012¼ 1020¼ 1028½ (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 50.00  
 
MVR-2   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:29
See original race card.
:232 :473 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OAXACA 4 1 1nk 11½   11 13½ (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 18% 4.70 1.20 DQ↓3
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 2 3.2 21½   21 23½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 57% 0.70 0.60 W
1  MO RISSA 1 4 2nk 32   35 313 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 122 6.00 13.80  
4  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 5 43¾ 43½   49 417 (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 21.70  
6  CAUSE OF LOVE 5 3 55¼ 55½   513 532¾ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 18.70  
SCR  RAINBOW SHIP               (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN' ROSIE 1 3 11 2½   1nk 11¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 15% 5.80 3.10 W
2  APPEALING SENORITA 2 5 41½ 31   2nk 21¼ (gon)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 4.00 14% 6.40 4.90 P
9  TALE OF THE LYON 9 1 21 1½   31½ 32¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 2.40  
6  LADY ABRIL 6 2 31 41½   44½ 47½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 17% 4.90 3.30  
3  COWCHI 3 4 53½ 66   57 510¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 50.00  
5  NOT A WILD BRAT 5 9 99¼ 99½   69 611 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.50 25% 3.00 5.00  
8  I'M JAC'D 8 7 63¾ 54½   710½ 717 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 62.00  
4  J J'S FANCY 4 8 86¼ 77½   814 824¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 77.70  
7  CITY SIGNS 7 6 75¼ 87½   916 925½ (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 11.90  
 
MVR-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:233 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIMIT UP 5 2 11½ 11½   12½ 13¼ (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00 8.70  
4  FLIPPING FISH 3 3 41¾ 21½   22½ 23¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 52% 0.90 0.90 P
5  OVER THE HILLS 4 4 51¾ 31½   33 36¼ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 18% 4.70 1.40 S
8  TIME HEIST 6 1 21½ 41¾   45 410 (watkin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 9% 10.40 10.50  
3  VENETIAN DREAM 2 5 31½ 54¾   59½ 511 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 29.80  
1  THE DRAKE 1 6 65¾ 69¼   612 613¾ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 12.80  
SCR  AUGER               (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
SCR  SUBDUED               (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:224 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS 2 7 11½ 14   14 17½ (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 5% 19.00 3.60 W
11  RECKLESS L J 10 1 52¾ 45   24 27½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.00 12% 7.30 0.40 P
10  MANNFORD 9 6 84½ 56½   45½ 310 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 10% 8.60 13.90 S
6  GOLD N SILVER 6 3 74¼ 88¾   69 411½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 53% 0.90 7.50  
5  EL MARRO 5 4 31½ 24   34½ 512½ (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 39.60  
9  HENRY THE CAT 8 5 64¼ 78½   79 613¼ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
3  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 8 21½ 35   57 714¼ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 87.20  
7  PRIVATE DRIVE 7 2 42½ 67½   810½ 815½ (guidry terrance)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 53.70  
1  TIGER TRAIL 1 10 108½ 1011¾   912 915¾ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 50.20  
4  TEQUILA FLATS 4 9 96 910¾   1016 1027¾ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 30.00 77.10  
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST First Lady Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BACK TO OHIO 4 2 2½ 2½   1nk 11 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.60 57% 0.80 0.70 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
4  LADY LOTTIE 3 4 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (dacosta jaso)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00 10% 9.10 8.10 P
  (by TAMARKUZ out of PAGE SPRINGS by ROCKY BAR)
1  BUCKEYE PRINCESS 1 5 52½ 42½   3½ 31¾ (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.00 1.00  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of WESTMINISTER ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
2  NEECHI 2 3 31½ 32   42½ 49¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 40.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LA NINA BRONCA by CACTUS RIDGE)
7  SPARKLING JEWEL 5 1 42½ 53   56 517½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 22.10  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  IN TROUBLED WATERS               (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of SEEKING TROUBLE by SEEKING A HOME)
SCR  SERGER               (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
  (by ORB out of MODERN LADY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
MVR-7   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cardinal Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIONISTIC 4 1 1½ 11   12½ 13¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 0.60  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RACE LADY by BERNARDINI)
6  EXCITEMENT 5 2 2½ 31   22½ 23¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 5.50  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
7  MR LOOOCH 6 4 31 21   32½ 34 (meyers sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 12% 7.10 4.30 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
3  DARK VADER 3 6 62¼ 63¾   44½ 45½ (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 118 8.00 37% 1.70 14.90  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of DARK OBSESSION by GRAND SLAM)
2  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 2 5 52 53¾   55 58½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 10.00 21.00  
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of COUNTRY CLUB SUE by TENPINS)
1  QUIET AMIGO 1 7 42 43½   66 612¼ (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 23.00  
  (by SENOR AMIGO out of WITHOUT A SOUND by THUNDER GULCH)
8  ALTISSIMO 7 3 72¼ 75¼   78 713 (zielinski richa)FELICIANO R 120 4.50 16% 5.30 8.10  
  (by NOBLE CAUSEWAY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
SCR  TIVIS               (gorham robert)ORTIZ JR 117 4.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
 
MVR-8   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hollywood Gaming Mahoning Distaff Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOODY WOMAN 5 3 51¾ 31   2nk 1½ (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 10% 9.10 11.10 W
  (by GORMLEY out of A J'S GAL by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
4  MY DESTINY 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 26% 2.90 0.50 P
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of NORTHERN DESTINY by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
3  ROSEBUG 2 4 31 41½   41¼ 31¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAITTINGER ROSE by MENIFEE)
5  LIBERTY BELLE 4 5 2nk 2nk   3.2 43¾ (londono odin )BRACHO A 118 20.00 27.00  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  DECO STRONG 6 1 41¼ 65   54¼ 57¼ (stites w)DIAZ I 118 8.00 22.30  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
1  THINK IT THRU 1 6 61¾ 54½   64¼ 612¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 118 20.00 46.10  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VOLATILE VICKIE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  OLGA ISABEL               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PATRICIA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
MVR-9   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cheryl Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JERSEY PEARL 4 3 31½ 3½   21 11 (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 1.60  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of JERSEY'S SOUL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  WHITE CHOCOLATE 2 5 1nk 1½   11 21 (summers chad)JARAMILLO E 117 8.00 9.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of EDITH COURT by POMEROY)
6  CONDENSATION 6 1 53¾ 63¾   56½ 37¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 3.30  
  (by FROSTED out of TIZ BRISKA by TIZNOW)
3  SIMPLY STATED 3 6 41¾ 41½   46 411 (beattie todd )ORTIZ JR 117 5.00 27% 2.70 3.90  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHARP AND SASSY by SHARP FROSTY)
1  LATE FROST 1 4 2nk 2½   34 511½ (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 19% 4.30 8.60  
  (by FROSTED out of LA LA'S COOKIN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  ZAPPLE 7 2 63¾ 74¾   79½ 614 (leitch)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 67.20  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MISS RED DELICIOUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  POETICA 5 7 74 51¾   69½ 718¾ (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50 26% 2.80 3.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of POETIC JUSTICE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  B G WARRIOR               (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
MVR-10   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Steel Valley Sprint Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RYVIT 4 8 74¾ 43¾   3½ 12¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 17% 4.90 11.70 W
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SHE IS BEDAZZLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  DAMON'S MOUND 2 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 22¼ (lovell mich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 P
  (by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
8  SUPER CHOW 8 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 36¼ (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 124 6.00 11% 8.00 15.90 S
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
9  HALMSTAD 9 6 41¾ 53¾   65 46¼ (rutledge lance)BEJARANO R 117 12.00 6.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of SUGARCRAFT by BERNARDINI)
6  RECRUITER 6 9 97¼ 77¼   53 56½ (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 117 10.00 6% 17.10 19.20  
  (by ARMY MULE out of LADY HALITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  UNCASHED 10 1 3.2 3.2   41 69½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 19% 4.20 4.30  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CHARLIE B by WAR CHANT)
7  NAUTICAL STAR 7 7 64¼ 64¼   76 710¼ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 117 3.50 3.50  
  (by DIXIE CHATTER out of KISS ME CHOCOLATE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
5  AGNELLO'S DREAM 5 4 86¼ 99¾   89 814¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 117 30.00 ######  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GRAMMAJO by STREET SENSE)
1  FROSTED DEPARTURE 1 5 52¾ 87¾   99½ 917¾ (mcpeek kenneth)DIAZ I 117 8.00 27.60  
  (by FROSTED out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
3  MEADOW VALUE 3 10 1021¼ 1017¾   1011½ 1019¼ (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 30.00 85.20  
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of VALID MEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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