Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/6/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-3   Win (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-4   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (6/11/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-6   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-8   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-9   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-10   Win (2/10/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT SHACK Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug15 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S FATE Oct13 Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 Jul15 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
STRIKE APPEAL Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 8% 11.80    
ADIOS BOBBY Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
ITASCA Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 May30 Aug31 (schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 38% 1.60    
TOE TAPPIN LUKE Sep26 Sep05 Aug16 Jul08 Jun15 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
CUMBER Oct25 Oct04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
SHELL FIRE Oct31 Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jul24 (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 124 4.50    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Sep29 Jul16 Jul03 May30 Jan07 (pappada julie )KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
10  TWO GUNS Nov01 Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 17.50    
 
MVR-2   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO RISSA Oct31 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 Jul22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  RAINBOW SHIP Nov02 Oct02 Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 (mahan joseph )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50    
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Nov02 Sep13 Aug22 May22 May02 (huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
OAXACA Nov06 Aug26 Aug06 Jul07 Jun10 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 18% 4.70    
CAUSE OF LOVE Nov02 Apr10 Mar20 Feb23 Feb06 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN' ROSIE Nov01 Sep11 Aug21 Jun06 May20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
APPEALING SENORITA Nov02 Oct28 Oct06 Sep26 Sep18 (gonza)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
COWCHI Oct12 Jun15 May22 May10 Dec20 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
J J'S FANCY Oct12 Jul04 Jun13 May30 May17 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
NOT A WILD BRAT Nov01 Oct10 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
LADY ABRIL Oct28 Oct06 Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
CITY SIGNS Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug16 (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
I'M JAC'D Nov08 Oct25 Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
TALE OF THE LYON Oct28 Oct06 Sep06 Aug14 Jul26 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DRAKE Oct06 Aug22 Jul31 Jul06 Jun15 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
SCR  AUGER Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 Sep07 Jul31 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
VENETIAN DREAM Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 Oct06 Sep27 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
FLIPPING FISH Oct23 Sep05 Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
OVER THE HILLS Oct24 Oct10 Sep17 Aug21 Jul31 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  SUBDUED Oct04 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug01 (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
LIMIT UP Sep06 Aug26 Aug10 Jul12 Jun24 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
TIME HEIST Oct21 Oct06 Sep15 Aug13 Jul26 (watkins )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
 
MVR-5   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL Oct28 Oct13 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
WILDCAT EXPRESS Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 Jun20 May20 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Oct28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
TEQUILA FLATS Nov08 Oct21 Sep08 Aug30 Aug19 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 30.00    
EL MARRO Oct30 Oct13 May20 Apr26 Mar30 (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00    
GOLD N SILVER Nov07 Oct09 Sep14 Aug02 Jul05 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
PRIVATE DRIVE Oct28 Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 May16 (guidry terrance)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK Jul11 Jun13 May22 May08 Mar22 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
HENRY THE CAT Oct28 Oct06 Jul31 Jul11 May08 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MANNFORD Oct30 Sep25 Aug28 Jun20 Jun06 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
11  RECKLESS L J Oct28 Sep25 Aug03 Jul11 May24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.00 12% 7.30    
 
MVR-6   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST First Lady Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE PRINCESS Oct21 Sep07 Aug18 Aug24   (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.00    
NEECHI Nov09 May24 May06 Apr10 Mar23 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
SCR  SERGER Oct21 Sep19 Aug28 Aug03 Jul24 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
LADY LOTTIE Nov02 Oct05 Sep19 Aug14 Oct29 (dacosta jason)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
BACK TO OHIO Oct05 Aug26 Jul11 Oct29 Oct03 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
SCR  IN TROUBLED WATERS Oct21 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SPARKLING JEWEL Oct28 Oct05 Sep12 Aug26 Aug02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cardinal Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET AMIGO Oct04 Aug07 Jul13 Jun24 May31 (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Oct28 Oct04 Sep20 Aug05 Jun02 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 10.00    
DARK VADER Oct28 Jun19 Jun02 May10 Jan10 (radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 118 8.00 37% 1.70    
LIONISTIC Oct31 Oct11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50    
SCR  TIVIS Oct28 Oct05 Sep07 Jun02 May20 (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 117 4.00    
EXCITEMENT Oct12 Sep28 Aug26 Aug10 Jul22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00    
MR LOOOCH Oct28 Oct04 Sep13 Aug12 Jul13 (meyers shane)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
ALTISSIMO Oct28 Oct04 Aug12 Jul20 Jun02 (zielinski richard)FELICIANO R 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-8   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hollywood Gaming Mahoning Dist Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THINK IT THRU Oct31 Oct25 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
SCR  OLGA ISABEL Oct26 Aug30 Jul22 Oct29 Oct07 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
ROSEBUG Oct12 Jul21 Jun16 May12 Jan27 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
MY DESTINY Sep24 Jul27 Jul04 May06 Mar24 (wilensky herma)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
LIBERTY BELLE Oct31 Oct13 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 (londono j)BRACHO A 118 20.00    
MOODY WOMAN Nov03 Sep16 Aug06 Jul01 Jun02 (mcmullen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
DECO STRONG Nov03 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (stites w)DIAZ I 118 8.00    
 
MVR-9   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cheryl Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE FROST Sep28 Sep16 Aug25 Jun02 Nov25 (matz r)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
WHITE CHOCOLATE Oct07 Aug25 Dec15     (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 8.00    
SIMPLY STATED Sep11 Aug18 Aug08 Jun22 Jun02 (beattie m)ORTIZ JR 117 5.00 27% 2.70    
JERSEY PEARL Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 May27 Jan26 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00    
POETICA Sep29 Sep01 Aug05 Nov12   (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50 26% 2.80    
CONDENSATION Oct06 Sep17 Jul16 Jun11 May05 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
SCR  B G WARRIOR Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 Jun11 May19 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
ZAPPLE Oct25 Sep16 Aug07 May27 Mar10 (leitch d)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00    
 
MVR-10   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Steel Valley Sprint Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED DEPARTURE Oct13 Sep09 Aug12 Jul02 May20 (mcpeek g)DIAZ I 117 8.00    
DAMON'S MOUND Sep23 Aug25 Jul02 Jun04 May06 (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
MEADOW VALUE Oct31         (elliott mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 30.00    
RYVIT Sep23 Aug25 Jul28 Jul02 May20 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
AGNELLO'S DREAM Nov01 Oct02 Aug16 Jul10 Jun24 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 117 30.00    
RECRUITER Aug05 Jul01 Jun02 May06 Mar04 (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 117 10.00 6% 17.10    
NAUTICAL STAR Sep23 Aug18 Apr01 Feb18 Jan21 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 117 3.50    
SUPER CHOW Oct22 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May20 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
HALMSTAD Oct27 Oct08 Sep14     (rutledge lan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 12.00    
10  UNCASHED Aug13 Jul16 May20 May07 Apr20 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.