Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $24.00 $12.00 100%
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-5-6 $12.70 $9.70 323%
MVR-8   DD (2/6/4/5)-(3/8/5/10/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-8 $42.80 $2.80 7%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:151 1:413   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY HARRY 2 2 12 1½ 1nk 13 1 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00 30% 2.30 3.40 W
GRAN ANDREWS 4 3 34 4 2nk 23 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.30 0.50 P
ZERO GRAVITY 5 5 56 5 4 47 311½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 15% 5.80 5.00 S
MASTER OF WAR 6 6 6 32 5 58 411¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 23.20  
VENETIAN DREAM 3 1 22 2½ 3.2 37 511¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 8.20  
PRIVATE LAKE 1 4 4 66 6 611 617¾ (pappada a)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 28.30  
SCR  RRACE DAY WARRIOR               (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUFFICE 2 3 21 12   15 113½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50 2.80  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
SHEWEARSMYRING 4 2 3 4   38 213½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 2.60  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
AMENSET 3 4 4 32   25 313¾ (reed r)HALDAR J 126 1.80 28% 2.50 0.90 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRYING SHAME by STREET CRY (IRE))
DREAM GIVER 5 5 5 5   515½ 437½ (rettele richar)DIAZ I 126 10.00 26% 2.80 13.90  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DREAM SOFTLY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SKI SLOPE 1 1 11 22   415 539¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 10.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  SISTER CODE               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
 
MVR-3   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:02     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 1 7 5¾ 5   31 1 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 6.60  
YOU NAME IT 4 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 5.00 7.30 P
TRULY INCLUSIVE 5 2 4¾ 3.2   1½ 33 (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 4.00 21% 3.80 1.30 S
BODE'S ROSE 8 4 2nk 1nk   42 4 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 4.50 3.50  
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 6 3 6 4¼   55 512½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 48% 1.10 5.60  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 2 9 9 911¼   813 615¼ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 25.20  
C MORE PRIDE 9 5 3.2 6   69 716¼ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00 35.90  
SWEET OUTLOOK 7 8 8 7   710 820½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
HOSANNA 3 6 7 810¼   915 922¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 8.00 31.40  
 
MVR-4   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:014     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TATTERED HEART 6 3 53 3½   2nk 1hd (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.00 2.30  
DULCE VICTORIA 4 2 2nk 1½   1nk 2hd (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 8.00 6.10  
LORI'S EYES 3 1 1nk 2½   3½ 3 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 36% 1.80 1.50 S
POLITICAL ASTRAY 1 6 6 42   4 4 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 14% 6.00 3.20  
MOON PARTY 5 5 42 54   5 513½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 28.50  
FALL CAMPAIGN 2 4 31 6100   6100 6100 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 16% 5.30 7.80  
SCR  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS               (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50    
 
MVR-5   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY 4 5 43 4   1nk 1 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 1.40  
10  HIGH CUPPER 6 4 66 5   32 2 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 30.60  
MORE MUCHO 3 3 21 22   44 3 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 3.50 42% 1.40 1.40 S
POLISHED GEM 1 2 11 12   2nk 4 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.00  
EGG NOG 2 6 5 612¼   611 513¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 5 1 31 32   59 614½ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 12.00 6.30  
SCR  PINKY TUSCADERO               (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
SCR  TESTED POSITIVE               (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00    
SCR  TURBIE               (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  YEGUITA QUEEN               (urieta joha)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 2 8 1nk 11   1nk 1¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 3.80  
MAKING ME CRAZY 6 3 63 4   2nk 2¼ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 9.30  
MALIBU CLASSIC 1 7 7 8   3 34 (jackson j)HERNANDEZ H 126 8.00 15% 5.50 11.30 S
FRONTLINER 3 5 8 7   6 4 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 56% 0.80 9.90  
CHIC N WILBUR 4 4 4 52   4 5 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.00 10.50  
SKIDSTREAM 5 6 5 6   5 67 (bailey ric)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
RHYTHMIC RULER 7 2 2nk 21   7 711½ (west m)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 1.20  
LONG RAP SHEET 8 1 31 31   8 814¼ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 122 10.00 39.80  
 
MVR-7   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE MARTHA 4 4 1½ 1nk   12 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 17% 4.90 2.40 W
SPECIAL BEACH 7 3 4 3½   22 2 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 9.10  
FOR THE BISCUIT 5 2 31 41   3 3 (salas felipe)BRACHO A 122 10.00 15% 5.60 4.00 S
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 2 8 8 7   4 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 24% 3.20 4.20  
CALENDULA 3 6 64 8   7 5 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 23.60  
ANNMARIA 1 7 54 5   6 610½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 9.50  
GRANADICA 8 5 7 6   5 710¾ (sandy steph)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 15.70  
AMAAZA 6 1 2½ 2nk   8 815 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 20% 4.00 3.00  
 
MVR-8   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:022     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZANITEAWAY 8 4 3½ 21   2nk 1½ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 20% 3.90 2.30 W
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
OH GLORIOUS DAY 5 3 1½ 11   1nk 2½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 4.50 12% 7.40 2.10 P
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
HISTORYINTHEMAKING 2 8 4 47   38 310¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 5.50  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
PITY PURCHASE 1 9 6 6   510¼ 414½ (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00 46.30  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MILWAUKEE QUEEN by MILWAUKEE BREW)
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK 4 7 5 5   611¼ 514¾ (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00 10.70  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
LUCKY STUFF 9 10 1013¾ 812¾   711¾ 615 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00 12.50  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
10  SOMETHING LUCKY 10 1 7 712½   816¾ 720¼ (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 10% 9.10 28.10  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
THIRTY SOMETHING 3 5 2½ 37   410 823¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 36% 1.80 3.80  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
COWGIRLS HUMOR 6 2 9 1019¾   1020¾ 932½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 5% 19.00 43.80  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
LATE BLOOMBOPPER 7 6 8 914¾   919¾ 1034¾ (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 ######  
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.