Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/6)-(6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(6/5/7)-(3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(3/2/1)-(6/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/1/2)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(3/1/5)-(2/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(3/8/5/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/5)-(3/8/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/8/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/10/6)-(3/8/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/10/6)-(3/8/5/10/6)-(3/8/5/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE LAKE Oct17 Sep12 Jul03 Jun18 Feb18 (pappada a)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
2  RUNAWAY HARRY Oct11 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Oct21 Oct12 Sep01 Aug04 Jun24 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
4  VENETIAN DREAM Oct31 Oct23 Oct06 Sep27 Sep18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
5  GRAN ANDREWS Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
6  ZERO GRAVITY Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Aug06 Jul16 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  MASTER OF WAR Oct24 Oct06 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKI SLOPE Oct31 Oct03 Sep16 Mar25 Feb09 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  SISTER CODE Oct31 Oct05 Jun14 May25 May11 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
3  SUFFICE Aug27 Aug02 Jul09 May08 Mar12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
4  AMENSET May12 Apr13 Mar03 Jan22 Aug26 (reed r)HALDAR J 126 1.80 28% 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRYING SHAME by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  SHEWEARSMYRING Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  DREAM GIVER         (rettele richar)DIAZ I 126 10.00 26% 2.80    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of DREAM SOFTLY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
MVR-3   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Jun30 May25 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
2  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Oct23 Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
3  HOSANNA Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Jul26 Jun26 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
4  YOU NAME IT Oct23 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 5.00 ★    
5  TRULY INCLUSIVE Oct25 May06 Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Jul27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
7  SWEET OUTLOOK Oct31 Oct04 Oct12 Sep12 Aug10 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BODE'S ROSE Nov02 Sep28 Mar02 Jan03 Nov28 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
9  C MORE PRIDE Oct23 Oct06 Sep21 Aug29 Aug09 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00    
 
MVR-4   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL ASTRAY Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
2  FALL CAMPAIGN Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jun26 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
3  LORI'S EYES Oct04 Sep11 Aug14 Jul01 Jun03 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 May31 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50    
5  DULCE VICTORIA Oct19 Oct05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
6  MOON PARTY Sep28 Sep13 Aug12 Aug03 Jul05 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
7  TATTERED HEART Oct18 Sep26 Aug11 Jul18 Jul03 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.00    
 
MVR-5   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISHED GEM Oct10 Sep19 May02 Apr10 Mar16 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
2  EGG NOG Nov06 Oct24 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YEGUITA QUEEN Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 (urieta joha)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
SCR  TESTED POSITIVE Oct24 Oct10 Sep24 Aug31 Aug18 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00    
SCR  PINKY TUSCADERO Oct24 Oct05 Sep22 Aug10 Jul05 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
6  MORE MUCHO Oct24 Oct03 Sep07 Aug14 Jul04 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  SKY Nov06 Oct23 Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50    
SCR  TURBIE Oct13 Oct03 Sep06 Aug03 Jul18 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
9  LA REINA DEL NORTE Oct24 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Oct18 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
10  HIGH CUPPER Nov01 Oct12 Sep19 Sep07 Aug08 (schuster robin)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU CLASSIC Oct21 Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 Jul24 (jackson j)HERNANDEZ H 126 8.00 15% 5.50    
2  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Oct24 Oct07 Sep01 Jul16 Jul08 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
3  FRONTLINER Oct17 Sep06 Jul03 Jun05 May08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 56% 0.80    
4  CHIC N WILBUR Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 Aug23 Aug10 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.00    
5  SKIDSTREAM Oct13 Sep27 Sep11 Aug31 Aug16 (bailey ric)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAKING ME CRAZY Nov01 Oct21 Sep28 Sep13 Apr25 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
7  RHYTHMIC RULER Sep13 Aug26 Aug04 Jul12 Feb22 (west m)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 ★    
8  LONG RAP SHEET Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 122 10.00    
 
MVR-7   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNMARIA Oct31 Sep25 Sep05 Jul25 Jul03 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
2  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Oct21 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  CALENDULA Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jun12 May22 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
4  DIVINE MARTHA Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 May30 May06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  FOR THE BISCUIT Nov01 Oct07 Sep19 Aug31 Aug03 (salas felipe)BRACHO A 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  AMAAZA Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 Aug22 Jun15 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
7  SPECIAL BEACH Sep25 Sep05 Jul27 Jun19 May31 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
8  GRANADICA Oct05 Sep13 Aug18 Jul19 Jul06 (sandy steph)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PITY PURCHASE Oct28 Oct10 Sep21     (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MILWAUKEE QUEEN by MILWAUKEE BREW)
2  HISTORYINTHEMAKING Oct28 Sep21       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  THIRTY SOMETHING         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
4  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Oct28 Oct12 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  OH GLORIOUS DAY Oct28 Oct12 Sep25 Sep04   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
6  COWGIRLS HUMOR Oct28         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
7  LATE BLOOMBOPPER Sep27 Sep08       (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
8  DANZANITEAWAY Oct28 Sep22 Aug30     (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
9  LUCKY STUFF Oct28 Sep25 Sep04     (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
10  SOMETHING LUCKY         (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 10% 9.10    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.