Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.60 $2.60 43%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHA 6 6 5 34   3 1¼ (drury thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.50 63% 0.60 1.40 W
  (by BLAME out of EXTENT by PULPIT)
LOVE MY CANDY 2 5 2nk 1nk   1 2¼ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 5.00 2.00 P
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  MAGIC CALL 8 3 4 56   510½ 3 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 12.00 9.70  
  (by COLLECTED out of TAP THE MAGIC by SIGNAL TAP)
SKI SLOPE 1 1 1nk 2nk   2 4 (chain pearl)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 34.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
WORK N FLIRT 7 2 3 45   4 513¼ (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 3.00 2.50  
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
VALENTINA MIA 4 4 6 6   613½ 613¼ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 15.00 5% 19.00 46.30  
  (by BUCKWHEAT BOB out of PREVIOUS PLEASURE by FORMAL DINNER)
TWELVE SHARP 5 7 7 716½   720½ 719 (alamo miguel )CEDILLO MAURO 113 20.00 ######  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of EUPHORIA by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
MARAVILLOSO 3 8 814¾ 831½   839½ 845 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
  (by BRETHREN out of MISS ALONDRA by HENNESSY)
SCR  LEAPIN LEVA               (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  PIGEON CAY               (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TRADE ONLY by UNBRIDLED)
 
MNR-2   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWITHER'S SHORTCUT 3 1 2½ 12   15 13 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 3.50 24% 3.20 1.10 W
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 5 5 59 5   3 23 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 1.80  
KREWE CHIEF 4 6 611 6   4 3 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60 11.90 S
GRAB THE MUNNY 6 3 3 35   5 44 (bright derrick)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00 41.30  
BRADY O'BRADY 2 4 46 46   6 5 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 28% 2.60 4.30  
SOFIA'S SLUGGER 1 2 1½ 22   25 6 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 8.80  
SCR  BEASTFROMTHEEAST               (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 2.50    
 
MNR-3   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAC DADDY 6 5 3.2 1nk   1nk 1¾ (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.40 47% 1.10 1.10 W
ORANGEBURG 5 2 4¼ 2nk   2nk 2¾ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00 10.30  
SEXY CHOCOLATTE 4 3 6 32   34 3¾ (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00 7% 13.80 16.30 S
EXECUTIVE PRIZE 1 1 2nk 6   57 4 (johnson jen)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00 38.70  
DEVIL'S CANYON 3 4 1nk 4   45 5 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 123 2.50 19% 4.20 2.10  
XTRAORDINARYMOTION 7 6 5½ 5   6 6 (minnock wayne )HOUGHTON D 118 8.00 10.40  
TOBI WAN KENOBI 2 7 7 7   710½ 710¾ (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 4.50 5.00  
 
MNR-4   10/31/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221         :221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS HEADLEY 1 4       2nk 1¼ (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 123 6.00 6.20  
TEL AVIV 2 1       1nk 2¼ (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 129 4.00 4.90 P
GOLDEN NOLE 6 3       4 3½ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 130 1.40 60% 0.70 0.90 S
PROMINENT HENNY 7 5       5 4¾ (baird michael)PAUCAR E 129 5.00 6.80  
CAN SHE SCOOT 5 2       31 5 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 131 5.00 10% 9.00 5.90  
LOST ANCHOR 4 7       6 63 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00 17.80  
10  STRADARI 8 8       811 7 (mcdonald will)LUGO D 123 30.00 5% 19.00 68.20  
FIANNA HILLS 3 6       78 85 (kirk sherry)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 18.70  
SCR  EVER SO D'WILD               (mcdonald will)NELSON TYRONE 123 50.00    
SCR  NINJA KITTEN               (londono)BRAVO MISAEL 116 50.00    
 
MNR-5   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:22 :454 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIMI'S GOLDEN RING 4 1 1½ 2nk   1 1nk (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 1.30  
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 2 2 3½ 32   32 2nk (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50 53% 0.90 2.70 P
WHATCHAMACALL 5 3 2½ 1nk   2 3 (inirio ca)HERNANDEZ H 118 6.00 6.80  
HOV LANE 7 5 4 44   5 4 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 8% 10.90 4.70  
GET A GRIP MARILYN 6 4 5 55   47 5 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 17% 4.90 10.60  
BIG BANG BLUE 1 7 6 710½   612½ 6 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 9.10  
SWEET OUTLOOK 3 6 7 610   712½ 79 (chain pearl)TOLEDO S 120 15.00 39.80  
SCR  POLITICAL ASTRAY               (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-6   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:122     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETTIGO GIRL 4 1 2nk 1nk 13 15 1 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 34% 1.90 3.30 W
THINK IT THRU 1 3 36 34 23 25 2 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 0.60  
YO YO MON 3 4 411 410 311 314 312¾ (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 6.50  
VINTAGE SPARKLE 6 5 614 615¼ 513 417 415¼ (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 6.00 18% 4.50 16.20  
HUMMIN' THE FUNK 2 6 512 510¼ 411 517 519¼ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 19% 4.40 7.00  
ICE FLOE 5 2 1nk 2nk 614 632 638¾ (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 15.00  
 
MNR-7   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:133     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAGLER 4 2 2½ 21 1½ 1 1½ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 1.80 3.80  
APPRAISAL 5 6 6 5 3½ 2 2½ (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 57% 0.80 1.90 P
ERLAN 2 5 5 6 6 6 32 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 10.00 5.30  
HIATUS 3 1 1½ 11 2½ 32 42 (voyce jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 4.40  
STRIKE THE TOP 1 4 3 3 5 4 5 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00 11% 8.10 5.10  
WILE E PEYOTE 6 3 4 42 4¾ 5 6 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
ENJOY BASEBALL 7 7 7 710½ 7 710½ 7 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 12.00 23.90  
SCR  GINS AND TINS               (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-8   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:15     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD THE IRISH 1 5 4 4 31 12 1 (martin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.40 51% 1.00 0.80 W
DYNAFORM 7 4 67 5 5 5 2 (alamo a)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00 20.50  
FIND YOUR BOAZ 8 10 1017½ 917 69 66 3 (geris j)VEGA L 123 20.00 64.80  
LIL MR MATT 3 2 2½ 21 4 22 4 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10  
BOB'S CALLING 9 8 712 712 810 7 511½ (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00 53.00  
MARSALA MONARCH 5 6 5 611½ 7 8 612¾ (vickers t)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 6% 14.80 14.70  
CHASING A PAYDAY 2 3 3 3 1nk 3 713 (pease harry)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
LIGHTNING JACK 6 7 813 815 912 98 815 (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 123 10.00 26.60  
10  HONKY TONK HERO 10 9 917 1018 1014 10 915¾ (wolfe greg)PAUCAR E 123 8.00 12% 7.60 4.30  
SMOOTH PAPA 4 1 1½ 11 2nk 4 1019¾ (fearon jo)GONZALEZ J 113 15.00 28.70  
SCR  GUSHING OIL               (martinez jose)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
SCR  KRAZY HAWK               (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 123 12.00    
SCR  OWN THE TOWN               (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 123 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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