Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/3/4)-(8/6/10) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(8/6/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/10)-(8/6/3/10) 9 $1.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/6/10)-(8/6/3/10)-(8/6/3/10) 18 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/10)-(2/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(5/1/7)-(1/10/5/3/2) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(1/10/5/3/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/10/5/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/5/3/2)-(1/10/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/10/5/3/2)-(1/10/5/3/2)-(1/10/5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEAPIN LEVA Oct16 Sep25 Aug30 Jul25   (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  SKI SLOPE Oct03 Sep16 Mar25 Feb09 Dec07 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 118 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  LOVE MY CANDY Sep25 Sep04 Aug09 Jul21 Apr29 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 5.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  MARAVILLOSO         (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MISS ALONDRA by HENNESSY)
5  VALENTINA MIA         (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCKWHEAT BOB out of PREVIOUS PLEASURE by FORMAL DINNER)
6  TWELVE SHARP Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug29 Aug07 (alamo miguel )CEDILLO MAURO 113 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of EUPHORIA by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
7  MUCHA Oct04 Sep06 Aug16 Jul20 Jun30 (drury thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by BLAME out of EXTENT by PULPIT)
SCR  PIGEON CAY Aug31 Oct16 Sep09 Aug18   (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TRADE ONLY by UNBRIDLED)
9  WORK N FLIRT Aug13 Jun16 May26     (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of HEAVENLY PRIDE by SKY MESA)
10  MAGIC CALL Oct23 Oct08 Sep13 Aug16 Mar31 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TAP THE MAGIC by SIGNAL TAP)
 
MNR-2   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEASTFROMTHEEAST Oct25 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 2.50    
2  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Oct18 Sep04 Aug21 Jun12 Sep27 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
3  BRADY O'BRADY Sep18 Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 May30 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Oct18 Oct08 Sep10 Aug28 Jul11 (treharne dav)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  KREWE CHIEF Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
6  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Oct18 Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul25 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00    
7  GRAB THE MUNNY Sep26 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 May16 (bright derrick)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXECUTIVE PRIZE Oct11 Oct01 Sep06 Jul19 Jul12 (johnson jen)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00    
2  TOBI WAN KENOBI Mar31 Feb16 Jan25 Dec14 Oct15 (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 4.50    
3  DEVIL'S CANYON Oct11 Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 Apr20 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Oct16 Sep17 Aug16 May07 Apr08 (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  ORANGEBURG Oct08 Sep07 Aug17 Jun22 May11 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00    
6  MAC DADDY Oct16 Sep25 Aug07     (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
7  XTRAORDINARYMOTION Oct09 Aug29 Jul30 Jul12 Jun13 (minnock wayne )HOUGHTON D 118 8.00    
 
MNR-4   10/31/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NINJA KITTEN Oct08 Sep25 May31 May09 Mar07 (londono)BRAVO MISAEL 116 50.00    
2  MS HEADLEY Oct08 Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 6.00    
3  TEL AVIV Oct08 Aug30 Aug20 Jul11 Dec14 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 129 4.00 ★    
4  FIANNA HILLS Oct23 Sep03 Aug07 Jul26 Jul18 (kirk sherry)YARANGA Y 123 15.00    
5  LOST ANCHOR Oct18 Sep25 Sep12 Sep07 Aug19 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
6  CAN SHE SCOOT Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 Aug30 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 131 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  EVER SO D'WILD Sep05 Aug23 Aug07 Jul21 Jun23 (mcdonald will)NELSON TYRONE 123 50.00    
8  GOLDEN NOLE Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 Jul11 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 130 1.40 60% 0.70    
9  PROMINENT HENNY Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep12 Aug30 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 129 5.00    
10  STRADARI Oct17 Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 Jul24 (mcdonald will)SIMPSON JASON 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BANG BLUE Sep04 Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 Jun22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50    
2  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Aug20 Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 May10 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  SWEET OUTLOOK Oct04 Oct12 Sep12 Aug10 Jul07 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00    
4  MIMI'S GOLDEN RING Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
SCR  POLITICAL ASTRAY Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
6  WHATCHAMACALL Oct18 Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 Jun09 (inirio ca)HERNANDEZ H 118 6.00    
7  GET A GRIP MARILYN Oct18 Sep19 Sep06 Jun04 May25 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
8  HOV LANE Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
MNR-6   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINK IT THRU Oct25 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 Apr07 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00    
2  HUMMIN' THE FUNK Sep25 Sep10 Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
3  YO YO MON Sep19 Sep06 Aug14 Jul19 Jul05 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 5.00    
4  PETTIGO GIRL Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  ICE FLOE Oct16 Sep19 Aug27 Aug08 Jul19 (pizzurro je)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00    
6  VINTAGE SPARKLE Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Jul19 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
MNR-7   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE THE TOP Oct10 Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 Jul31 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
2  ERLAN Oct15 Sep01 Aug19 Aug03 Jul14 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 10.00    
3  HIATUS Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 (voyce jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00    
4  HAGLER Oct23 Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 Aug18 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 1.80    
5  APPRAISAL Oct10 Oct01 Sep05 Jul25 Jun12 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  GINS AND TINS Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
7  WILE E PEYOTE Oct02 Sep13 Aug16 Aug15 Jul10 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ENJOY BASEBALL Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 Jul05 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
 
MNR-8   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD THE IRISH Oct09 Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 Jul12 (martin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.40 51% 1.00    
2  CHASING A PAYDAY Oct15 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug06 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIL MR MATT Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 Nov24 Oct18 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  SMOOTH PAPA Oct22 Oct16 Oct08 Sep26 May07 (fearon jo)GONZALEZ J 113 15.00    
5  MARSALA MONARCH Oct10 Sep18 Oct09 Sep13 Aug11 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 6% 14.80    
6  LIGHTNING JACK Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 Jul31 Jul21 (kocijan marcus)GILBERT KYLE 123 10.00    
7  DYNAFORM Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Sep04 (alamo a)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00    
8  FIND YOUR BOAZ Sep25 Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 (geris j)VEGA L 123 20.00    
9  BOB'S CALLING Oct18 Sep26 Dec12 Nov29 Nov07 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
10  HONKY TONK HERO Oct08 Sep10 Jul23 Jun26 Jun19 (wolfe greg)PAUCAR E 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  KRAZY HAWK Oct09 Sep21 Aug10 Jul11 Nov13 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 123 12.00    
SCR  OWN THE TOWN Oct09 Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 123 1.00    
SCR  GUSHING OIL Aug16 Jul13 Jun20 May26 Mar29 (martinez jose)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.