Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-4   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.10 $3.10 52%
FE-6   TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20  6-5-3 $2.63 $1.43 119%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:252 :504 1:162 1:43   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BETKA 4 6 51¼ 3½ 3½ 2nk 1¼ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 11.75  
3  ASHWICKEN 3 3 3.2 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (chudob)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.60 73% 0.40 0.60 P
1  RUMOURS FLY 1 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 3.2 3½ (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 ★ 2.80 S
2  SMART IRENE 2 4 41¼ 52½ 41½ 4¾ 41 (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 122 3.50 4.30  
5  BELLE FEMME 5 1 2nk 62¾ 53 53¾ 510 (williams a)ELLIS S 122 6.00 5% 19.00 19.25  
6  SOVEREIGN TALE 6 5 61¾ 41½ 64 612¾ 629¼ (bailey barbar)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00 57.20  
 
FE-2   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'T STOP DREAMIN 5 2 2nk 13   13½ 15 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40 54% 0.90 0.05 W
2  MIGHTY PELE 2 4 1nk 23   23½ 25 (powell)ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00 11.70  
4  C BY THE SEA 4 1 32 34   33½ 36 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.50 11.75  
1  BREACH OF TRUST 1 5 45 48   48 414 (goldenberg m)SINGH S 124 2.50 20% 4.10 11.25  
3  AWESOME BREAK 3 3 55¼ 510½   510 524½ (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 56.00  
 
FE-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BETTABE SWIFT 5 5 34 1½   11½ 13 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 15.00 2.95  
7  REIGN BY REIN 6 4 56½ 43½   21½ 23 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 3.25  
5  PACENZA 4 3 45 53½   32½ 38½ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 11% 8.30 19.85 S
1  JUNGLE GODDESS 1 1 1nk 2½   42½ 413 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 13% 7.00 1.40  
4  SWEET FINALE 3 6 615½ 613   66½ 517¼ (purdy willia)CHEYNE A 122 4.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
3  EASY ACCESS 2 2 2nk 32½   56 629¼ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 17.70  
SCR  STORMING LADY               (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60    
 
FE-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PAPERBACK HERO 5 6 67¼ 44   21 11 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.55 W
7  TAKE A CHANCE 7 1 11 11½   11 21 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 45% 1.20 0.35 P
1  PRIVATE LAKE 1 7 711¼ 66   62¼ 32¼ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00 20.00  
4  MAYITO 4 5 57 55   41¼ 42¼ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 14.75  
2  WENJACK 2 8 812¼ 89¼   84¼ 56½ (husbands anthon)VIVES SOFIA 117 20.00 5% 19.00 27.25 DH
6  W W SPRINGTIME 6 3 21 21½   51¾ 56½ (mcmaho)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 19.55 DH
3  THELONIOUS 3 4 47 76¼   73¼ 77 (conces)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 ★ 29.40  
8  MOBILIZER 8 2 34 31½   31 87½ (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 23.10  
 
FE-5   10/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FOREST B 7 5 31 42   41 1¼ (powell)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 7.40  
2  J M R GEMMA 2 2 52¼ 32   31 2¼ (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 4.60  
4  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 4 4 2nk 21   2½ 32¼ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.65 S
5  GREEN GABLES 5 7 1nk 11   1½ 42½ (clemmer krista)RAMSAMMY E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
6  BLAZING SKY 6 6 42 53½   52½ 52½ (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 25% 3.00 11.70  
1  JARA 1 3 74¼ 67   64½ 66¾ (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.50 2.10  
3  SPARKLE SAMMY 3 1 63¾ 77¼   75½ 79 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 17.10  
 
FE-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEADING WEST 6 2 32½ 31   1½ 1½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 W
4  MAKES SENSE TO ME 4 4 54 51¾   31 2½ (powell)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 6.95 DQ↓4
5  GETTING AHEAD 5 1 2½ 11   2½ 32¼ (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 9% 9.70 1.25 P
3  ZAFEATHER 3 6 65 41¼   41 42¾ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 S
2  NICOLE'S SONG 2 5 43½ 62¼   66 511½ (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 22.65  
1  SPIRIT BELLE 1 3 1½ 21   54½ 612 (meli s)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00 10.65  
 
FE-7   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEYOND TALENTED 2 1 31½ 31 11 11½ 13 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 28% 2.50 0.95 W
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
8  SEATTLE DOWN UNDER 7 7 78 56 52¼ 21½ 23 (smith j)JORDAN COREY 120 8.00 26.30  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of KOWLOON by PLEASANT COLONY)
6  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 5 6 43 42 21 33½ 35¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 23% 3.40 5.85 S
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
1  PERFECTION SAVER 1 4 57 67 65¼ 45 45¾ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 119 2.50 29% 2.50 4.75  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  MR. RUDY 3 2 2nk 1nk 31 56½ 513½ (flint steve)STEIN JUSTIN 120 4.00 2.60  
  (by KLIMT out of RUBY ROAN by JIMMY CREED)
5  SING DIXIE 4 3 1nk 2nk 42 67½ 614 (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 115 15.00 18.35  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BIT OF DIXIE by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  NGABE 6 5 67½ 77½ 77¼ 78½ 715¼ (husbands ant)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 61.35  
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LOGITO by CITY ZIP)
SCR  LE GRAND GARCON               (steer )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
 
FE-8   10/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STRIKE THE POSE 6 2 31 2nk   12 14¼ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 18.50 0.75 W
7  ISA BREEZE 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 24¼ (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 38% 1.60 2.85 P
5  SUPER COOL STORM 3 3 43½ 55½   45½ 310¼ (neubauer mic)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 33% 2.10 3.50 S
2  TURF AND SURF 2 6 53¾ 33   34½ 412½ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 9.95  
6  HEAR ME KNOCKING 4 4 2nk 44½   56½ 517 (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.00 21.15  
1  ORIGINAL ME 1 5 63¾ 68½   68 620½ (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 37.15  
SCR  MIZZ GEMMA               (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 3.00    
SCR  SILENT WARNING               (lister steven)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00    
 
FE-9   10/17/2023 10770ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:512 1:46       3:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GLITTER BAY 7 121 124 112 14 12½ 1½ (wright michael )VIVES SOFIA 114 6.00 4.35  
4  TRISH THE DISH 2 629½ 224 312 24 22½ 2½ (capi m)SINGH S 119 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 P
10  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 8 732 729¾ 722¼ 611½ 37½ 311¼ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 S
8  SANTIAGO SALSA 6 527½ 526½ 517¼ 511½ 68¾ 413¼ (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 21.10  
7  UNILATERAL 5 424½ 325 412¼ 49 47½ 514¼ (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 6.30  
3  HIT THE POINT 1 221 425 212 38 57¾ 618 (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 115 20.00 5% 19.00 4.25  
5  DIAMONDBACK 3 321½ 626¾ 618¼ 715 712¾ 724¾ (wieczo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 5.05  
6  IRIE ISLAND MAN 4 835½ 833¼ 824¼ 818½ 816¼ 834¼ (chud)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 56.75  
SCR  A I INITIATIVE               (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 5.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S BOY               (mcpherson al)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.