Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-4   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.10 $3.10 52%
FE-6   TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20  6-5-3 $2.63 $1.43 119%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BETKA   (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 11.75  
3  ASHWICKEN   (chudob)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.60 73% 0.40 0.60 P
1  RUMOURS FLY   (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 ★ 2.80 S
2  SMART IRENE   (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 122 3.50 4.30  
5  BELLE FEMME   (williams a)ELLIS S 122 6.00 5% 19.00 19.25  
6  SOVEREIGN TALE   (bailey barbar)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00 57.20  
 
FE-2   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'T STOP DREAMIN   (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40 54% 0.90 0.05 W
2  MIGHTY PELE   (powell)ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00 11.70  
4  C BY THE SEA   (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.50 11.75  
1  BREACH OF TRUST   (goldenberg m)SINGH S 124 2.50 20% 4.10 11.25  
3  AWESOME BREAK   (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 56.00  
 
FE-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BETTABE SWIFT   (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 15.00 2.95  
7  REIGN BY REIN   (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 3.25  
5  PACENZA   (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 11% 8.30 19.85 S
1  JUNGLE GODDESS   (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 13% 7.00 1.40  
4  SWEET FINALE   (purdy willia)CHEYNE A 122 4.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
3  EASY ACCESS   (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 17.70  
SCR  STORMING LADY   (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60    
 
FE-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PAPERBACK HERO   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.55 W
7  TAKE A CHANCE   (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 45% 1.20 0.35 P
1  PRIVATE LAKE   (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00 20.00  
4  MAYITO   (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 14.75  
2  WENJACK   (husbands anthon)VIVES SOFIA 117 20.00 5% 19.00 27.25 DH
6  W W SPRINGTIME   (mcmaho)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 19.55 DH
3  THELONIOUS   (conces)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 ★ 29.40  
8  MOBILIZER   (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 23.10  
 
FE-5   10/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FOREST B   (powell)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 7.40  
2  J M R GEMMA   (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 4.60  
4  CANT BEAT THE KATZ   (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.65 S
5  GREEN GABLES   (clemmer krista)RAMSAMMY E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
6  BLAZING SKY   (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 25% 3.00 11.70  
1  JARA   (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.50 2.10  
3  SPARKLE SAMMY   (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 17.10  
 
FE-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEADING WEST   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 W
4  MAKES SENSE TO ME   (powell)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 6.95 DQ↓4
5  GETTING AHEAD   (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 9% 9.70 1.25 P
3  ZAFEATHER   (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 S
2  NICOLE'S SONG   (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 22.65  
1  SPIRIT BELLE   (meli s)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00 10.65  
 
FE-7   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEYOND TALENTED   (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 28% 2.50 0.95 W
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
8  SEATTLE DOWN UNDER   (smith j)JORDAN COREY 120 8.00 26.30  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of KOWLOON by PLEASANT COLONY)
6  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT   (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 23% 3.40 5.85 S
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
1  PERFECTION SAVER   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 119 2.50 29% 2.50 4.75  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  MR. RUDY   (flint steve)STEIN JUSTIN 120 4.00 2.60  
  (by KLIMT out of RUBY ROAN by JIMMY CREED)
5  SING DIXIE   (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 115 15.00 18.35  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BIT OF DIXIE by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  NGABE   (husbands ant)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 61.35  
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LOGITO by CITY ZIP)
SCR  LE GRAND GARCON   (steer )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
 
FE-8   10/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STRIKE THE POSE   (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 18.50 0.75 W
7  ISA BREEZE   (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 38% 1.60 2.85 P
5  SUPER COOL STORM   (neubauer mic)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 33% 2.10 3.50 S
2  TURF AND SURF   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 9.95  
6  HEAR ME KNOCKING   (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.00 21.15  
1  ORIGINAL ME   (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 37.15  
SCR  MIZZ GEMMA   (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 3.00    
SCR  SILENT WARNING   (lister steven)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00    
 
FE-9   10/17/2023 10770ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GLITTER BAY   (wright michael )VIVES SOFIA 114 6.00 4.35  
4  TRISH THE DISH   (capi m)SINGH S 119 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 P
10  REDOUTE'S LIGHT   (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 S
8  SANTIAGO SALSA   (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 21.10  
7  UNILATERAL   (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 6.30  
3  HIT THE POINT   (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 115 20.00 5% 19.00 4.25  
5  DIAMONDBACK   (wieczo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 5.05  
6  IRIE ISLAND MAN   (chud)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 56.75  
SCR  A I INITIATIVE   (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 5.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S BOY   (mcpherson al)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.