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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

MVR-4			WIN	(4/7/3/1)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$32.60			$24.60				308%
MVR-5			WIN	(4/5)						2	$2.00	$4.00	5		$8.80			$4.80				120%
			DD	(4/7/3/1)-(4/5)						8	$2.00	$16.00	1-5		$248.60			$232.60				1454%
MVR-6			WIN	(4/6/3/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$16.40			$8.40				105%
			EXA	(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-6		$66.20			$42.20				176%
			DD	(4/5)-(4/6/3/2)						8	$2.00	$16.00	5-3		$235.20			$219.20				1370%
			PK3	(4/7/3/1)-(4/5)-(4/6/3/2)						32	$0.50	$16.00	1-5-3		$825.80			$809.80				5061%
MVR-7			DD	(4/6/3/2)-(1/5/6/3)						16	$2.00	$32.00	3-1		$34.80			$2.80				9%
			PK3	(4/5)-(4/6/3/2)-(1/5/6/3)						32	$0.50	$16.00	5-3-1		$70.35			$54.35				340%
MVR-8			EXA	(3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/4/1)						16	$2.00	$32.00	3-9		$86.00			$54.00				169%
			TRI	(3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/4/1)-(3/5/9/4/1)						48	$0.50	$24.00	3-9-5		$69.55			$45.55				190%
MVR-9			PK6	(4/7/3/1)-(4/5)-(4/6/3/2)-(1/5/6/3)-(3/5/9/1)-(2/6/1/3)						2048	$0.20	$409	1-5-3-1-2/3-2		$1249.60			$840.00				205%

Simulator Race results


MVR-1			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.1K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LIGHT UP MY LIFE									(radosevich ju)BRACHO A 122						10.00						3.20
1	CONSTITUTIONALIST									(bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122						3.00		37%		1.70		4.70	P
7	FLASH OF CHEROKEE									(shanyfe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						4.50		7%		13.60		8.80	S
2	ENCHANTED MELODY									(faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122						12.00						4.80
6	ITALIAN TWIN									(pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124						4.00		20%		4.10		4.10
5	BEAUTY IN MOTION									(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122						3.50		10%		8.70		4.90
4	BELLAVALENCIA									(flores christian)AVILES YAN 124						6.00						6.40
8	SOLDAT TEMPTATION									(salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124						8.00						23.60

MVR-2			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($33.7K)			2		F		PT- 1:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	GOLD HONEY									(rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 120						4.00		10%		9.50		2.20	W
4	FANCIFUL									(cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120						3.00		30%		2.30		1.90	P
3	KISS ME QUICK									(gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120						8.00						16.10
1	BIG FACTS									(radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 120						8.00						8.90
7	ARTISTIC LANEY									(west m)AVILES YAN 120						3.50		33%		2.00		4.70
6	TWISTED JUSTICE									(smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120						8.00						16.40
2	SALTMAKESHERSWEET									(rone mike)RIVERA R 122						6.00						10.80
5	PRETTY PATTY									(smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120						8.00		5%		19.00		9.90

MVR-3			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($30.1K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	IT'S OFFICIAL									(juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124						5.00						2.70
2	TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH									(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124						3.00		22%		3.50		3.40	P
6	DERBY INCLUDED									(cline c)DIAZ I 124						4.50						8.60
1	ZAKARIA									(yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124						6.00						6.40
5	PLAY BALL									(urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						4.00		24%		3.10		2.90
3	BEAT THE DEALER									(zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124						3.50						5.00
7	BISCUITS AND GRITS									(rone mike)RIVERA R 124						10.00		22%		3.60		13.00

MVR-4			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($24.3K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	CREATIVE BEAT									(rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124						15.00		8%		12.30		15.30	W
		(by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VIENNA MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
2	FINISTERE									(vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 124						15.00						25.30
		(by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
4	SHORTLY									(zielins)PILARES P 124						2.00		32%		2.20		2.00	S
		(by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3	MOTOWN COLLECTION									(rone mike)RIVERA R 124						3.00		11%		8.00		2.30
		(by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
5	C C'S CLEAR CREEK									(trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126						8.00						12.70
		(by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
7	QUICK QUICK WHIT									(skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						3.50		27%		2.70		3.70
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
8	DARK BARON									(tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124						10.00						8.40
		(by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6	LOUIS									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 126						6.00						8.60
		(by TRAPPE SHOT out of LITTLE BULL RUN by HOLY BULL)

MVR-5			11/14/2023		5490ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($40.9K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	HENRY MAC									(radosevich je)BRACHO A 123						6.00		14%		6.20		3.40	W
1	RAVEN MOON									(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126						2.50						2.90
2	OAKS HONEY									(brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123						10.00						12.40
4	TANTRUM									(hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123						1.80		43%		1.40		1.20
3	SILENCE									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123						3.00						3.30
SCR	MO DONT NO									(radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 123						8.00

MVR-6			11/14/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($25K)					Purse ($27.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	JOHN'S ROCK									(vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124						15.00		7%		13.20		7.20	W
6	BREEZY MONEY									(rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						3.00		20%		4.10		2.40	P
5	STAR HAWK									(erdel john)DIAZ I 124						3.50						2.20
1	DISCLOSURE									(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124						15.00						12.40
8	SUMMERFEST									(urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124						20.00						41.90
2	SO DIALED IN									(skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 124						10.00		5%		19.00		9.70
4	DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR									(shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124						4.00		45%		1.20		4.90
9	REGULAR GUY									(catalano wayn)BRACHO A 124						2.50						5.90
SCR	STATESBORO									(londono odin )BRACHO A 124						12.00

MVR-7			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($30.1K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	AUJARA									(rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124						1.80		33%		2.00		0.60	W
2	HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE									(romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124						15.00						52.70
3	MISSION GIRL									(gorham m)RIVERA R 124						4.00		6%		15.70		4.20	S
5	ROLLIN ALL THE WAY									(urieta johanna)GONZALEZ A 124						6.00		19%		4.20		3.50
7	CAT'S RHYTHM									(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124						10.00						18.50
9	JETTIN PEGASUS									(suarez javie)HALDAR J 124						10.00						22.30
8	POWER BANKER									(cline robert)ROSARIO L 124						8.00						20.10
6	PENNY SHOTS									(fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124						5.00		14%		6.10		29.70
4	CATABOUT									(faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						15.00						81.20

MVR-8			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($35.1K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:06
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	BUCKEYE SKY									(maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122						2.50		49%		1.00		0.30	W
9	SOMEKINDAFUHRY									(cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124						10.00		5%		19.00		43.70	P
5	SPECIALIZED									(gorham robert )DIAZ I 122						4.00		22%		3.60		3.70	S
7	LEROYISALAGNIAPPE									(tumblin a)CORREA L 124						20.00						53.60
11	TIER ONE									(fletcher )HERNANDEZ H 124						8.00						20.50
4	SWING STATE									(jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 122						5.00		★				14.50
10	PALACE TEMPTATION									(faulkner rodn)CEDILLO MAURO 122						20.00						######
8	VEGAS PLAYER									(poole m)BRACHO A 122						20.00						######
12	DASH OF FIRE									(faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124						20.00						82.40
6	COLOR BEARER									(skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 124						6.00						19.00
1	OHIO STRONG									(ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124						20.00		5%		19.00		28.70
SCR	LITTLE TOY GUNS									(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124						12.00

MVR-9			11/14/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($31.8K)			2		F		PT- 4:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MY GIRL KEW									(maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122						1.40		35%		1.90		0.80	W
		(by MO TOWN out of MISS KEW by CATIENUS)
6	OFFICIALLY YOURS									(go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122						3.00		24%		3.20		5.40	P
		(by TAPITURE out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
5	MISS SPRINGSTEEN									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122						4.00						2.70
		(by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4	DERBY DAY KISS									(cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122						6.00						6.70
		(by KLIMT out of DERBY DAY STORM by HABAYEB)
7	MAC'S CAILIN									(szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 122						20.00						50.20
		(by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
1	POINTOF ATTRACTION									(fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 122						8.00		18%		4.50		15.70
		(by POINT OF ENTRY out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
3	RIVERS RUN RED									(szczepans)HERNANDEZ H 122						20.00		5%		19.00		48.10
		(by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
8	SHAMANS IMAGE									(barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122						20.00						56.30
		(by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.