The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.40 -8.00
MVR-2   Win (7/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
MVR-3   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.40 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $32.60 $32.60 24.60
MVR-5   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 4.80
MVR-6   Win (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 8.40
MVR-7   Win (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
MVR-8   Win (3/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
MVR-9   Win (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT UP MY LIFE 3 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 11 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 122 10.00 3.20  
CONSTITUTIONALIST 1 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 21 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 37% 1.70 4.70 P
FLASH OF CHEROKEE 7 5 4 3   33(shanyfelt)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 7% 13.60 8.80 S
ENCHANTED MELODY 2 8 7 8   55 46 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 12.00 4.80  
ITALIAN TWIN 6 7 6 5   457 (pappada julie )ROSARIO L 124 4.00 20% 4.10 4.10  
BEAUTY IN MOTION 5 6 5 6   65 6(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 10% 8.70 4.90  
BELLAVALENCIA 4 2 31 4   77 712¼ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 6.40  
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 8 1 8 7   89 815 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 23.60  
 
MVR-2   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD HONEY 8 1 3.2 11   12 1(rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.00 10% 9.50 2.20 W
FANCIFUL 4 6 4 21   22 2(caramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 3.00 30% 2.30 1.90 P
KISS ME QUICK 3 3 6 6   34 3(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 16.10  
BIG FACTS 1 8 7 7   47 4(radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 120 8.00 8.90  
ARTISTIC LANEY 7 7 8 8   7516½ (west m)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 33% 2.00 4.70  
TWISTED JUSTICE 6 2 5 52   6619 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00 16.40  
SALTMAKESHERSWEET 2 4 1nk 4   5721 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 6.00 10.80  
PRETTY PATTY 5 5 2nk 3   812¾ 827¾ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
 
MVR-3   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :463 :60     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S OFFICIAL 4 7 43 43   2½ 1(juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 2.70  
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 2 5 2½ 22   31 2(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 22% 3.50 3.40 P
DERBY INCLUDED 6 3 53 5   43 3(cline c)DIAZ I 124 4.50 8.60  
ZAKARIA 1 4 1½ 12   1½ 47 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 6.40  
PLAY BALL 5 1 3 33   56 5(urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.90  
BEAT THE DEALER 3 6 76 7   69 610¼ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 3.50 5.00  
BISCUITS AND GRITS 7 2 6 6   713 719 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 10.00 22% 3.60 13.00  
 
MVR-4   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE BEAT 1 8 813¼ 8   61¼ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 8% 12.30 15.30 W
FINISTERE 2 5 7 5   1½ 2¼ (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 25.30  
SHORTLY 4 2 2½ 32   3½ 3(zielinski)PILARES P 124 2.00 32% 2.20 2.00 S
MOTOWN COLLECTION 3 4 3 22   2½ 4(rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 11% 8.00 2.30  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 3 4 4   4¾ 5(trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 12.70  
QUICK QUICK WHIT 7 7 66 6   76(skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.70  
DARK BARON 8 1 1½ 12   5¾ 7(tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 8.40  
LOUIS 6 6 56 7   8810¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 8.60  
 
MVR-5   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:133 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY MAC 5 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 6.00 14% 6.20 3.40 W
RAVEN MOON 1 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 2.90  
OAKS HONEY 2 4 3 32 3 31 35 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 12.40  
TANTRUM 4 3 4 4 42 41 4(hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 1.80 43% 1.40 1.20  
SILENCE 3 5 510¾ 5 54 54 5(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 3.30  
SCR  MO DONT NO               (radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
 
MVR-6   11/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:13 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S ROCK 3 1 21 22 23 11 1(vecchio cary)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 7% 13.20 7.20 W
BREEZY MONEY 6 2 11 12 13 21 2(rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 20% 4.10 2.40 P
STAR HAWK 5 3 6 6 35 36 311¾ (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.20  
DISCLOSURE 1 8 7 8 710½ 411 416¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 12.40  
SUMMERFEST 7 6 3 33 4 512 520½ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00 41.90  
SO DIALED IN 2 5 43 44 5 613 624¼ (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 4 8 79 810½ 714½ 725¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 45% 1.20 4.90  
REGULAR GUY 8 7 54 5 69 815 827¼ (catalano wayne )BRACHO A 124 2.50 5.90  
SCR  STATESBORO               (londono j)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUJARA 1 9 6 4   11 1(rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.80 33% 2.00 0.60 W
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 2 6 4 5   21 2(romero oscar)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 52.70  
MISSION GIRL 3 3 1nk 2½   33(gorham m)RIVERA R 124 4.00 6% 15.70 4.20 S
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 5 4 2nk 1½   43 48 (urieta johanna)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 19% 4.20 3.50  
CAT'S RHYTHM 7 8 7 7   65 58 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 18.50  
JETTIN PEGASUS 9 2 5 3½   54 69 (suarez javier)HALDAR J 124 10.00 22.30  
POWER BANKER 8 1 3 64   78 714½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 20.10  
PENNY SHOTS 6 5 9 8   811 820½ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 14% 6.10 29.70  
CATABOUT 4 7 8 913½   923 941½ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 81.20  
 
MVR-8   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE SKY 2 4 1nk 1nk   12 1(maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.50 49% 1.00 0.30 W
SOMEKINDAFUHRY 8 2 2nk 2nk   22 2(cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 43.70 P
SPECIALIZED 4 10 9 8   68 3(gorham m)DIAZ I 122 4.00 22% 3.60 3.70 S
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 6 3 6 54   36 4(tumblin and)CORREA L 124 20.00 53.60  
11  TIER ONE 10 11 11 66   55(fletcher je)HERNANDEZ H 124 8.00 20.50  
SWING STATE 3 7 31 4   47 68 (jackson )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 14.50  
10  PALACE TEMPTATION 9 9 10 10   813 711¾ (faulkner rodney)CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00 ######  
VEGAS PLAYER 7 6 5 3   710 813½ (poole m)BRACHO A 122 20.00 ######  
12  DASH OF FIRE 11 1 8 9   916 917¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 82.40  
COLOR BEARER 5 8 7 7   1017 1018¾ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 124 6.00 19.00  
OHIO STRONG 1 5 4 119   1120 1124¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-9   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL KEW 2 5 31 11   11(maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 122 1.40 35% 1.90 0.80 W
OFFICIALLY YOURS 6 3 21 21   22(gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 5.40 P
MISS SPRINGSTEEN 5 1 4 4   3313¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00 2.70  
DERBY DAY KISS 4 2 11 36   412½ 422 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00 6.70  
MAC'S CAILIN 7 7 711 613½   620½ 529¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 50.20  
POINTOF ATTRACTION 1 4 55 510½   516½ 630¼ (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 122 8.00 18% 4.50 15.70  
RIVERS RUN RED 3 8 69 822½   726½ 742¼ (szczepanski)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00 5% 19.00 48.10  
SHAMANS IMAGE 8 6 811¼ 721½   828½ 845¼ (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 56.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.