Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $32.60 $24.60 308%
MVR-5   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $8.80 $4.80 120%
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00  1-5 $248.60 $232.60 1454%
MVR-6   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $16.40 $8.40 105%
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $66.20 $42.20 176%
    DD (4/5)-(4/6/3/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00  5-3 $235.20 $219.20 1370%
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(4/5)-(4/6/3/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00  1-5-3 $825.80 $809.80 5061%
MVR-7   DD (4/6/3/2)-(1/5/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-1 $34.80 $2.80 9%
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/6/3/2)-(1/5/6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00  5-3-1 $70.35 $54.35 340%
MVR-8   EXA (3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-9 $86.00 $54.00 169%
    TRI (3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/4/1)-(3/5/9/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-9-5 $69.55 $45.55 190%
MVR-9   PK6 (4/7/3/1)-(4/5)-(4/6/3/2)-(1/5/6/3)-(3/5/9/1)-(2/6/1/3) 2048 $0.20 $409  1-5-3-1-2/3-2 $1249.60 $840.00 205%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIGHT UP MY LIFE 3 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 11 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 122 10.00 3.20  
1  CONSTITUTIONALIST 1 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 37% 1.70 4.70 P
7  FLASH OF CHEROKEE 7 5 41¼ 31½   31½ 33½ (shanyfe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 7% 13.60 8.80 S
2  ENCHANTED MELODY 2 8 73¼ 87¾   55 46 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 12.00 4.80  
6  ITALIAN TWIN 6 7 63¼ 53¼   43½ 57 (pappada juli)ROSARIO L 124 4.00 20% 4.10 4.10  
5  BEAUTY IN MOTION 5 6 52¼ 63¾   65 67¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 3.50 10% 8.70 4.90  
4  BELLAVALENCIA 4 2 31 41¾   77 712¼ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 6.40  
8  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 8 1 84¼ 75¾   89 815 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 23.60  
 
MVR-2   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GOLD HONEY 8 1 3.2 11   12 13¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.00 10% 9.50 2.20 W
4  FANCIFUL 4 6 41¼ 21   22 23¾ (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 3.00 30% 2.30 1.90 P
3  KISS ME QUICK 3 3 61½ 62¼   34 35½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 16.10  
1  BIG FACTS 1 8 71½ 74¼   47 49½ (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 120 8.00 8.90  
7  ARTISTIC LANEY 7 7 84½ 85¾   79¾ 516½ (west m)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 33% 2.00 4.70  
6  TWISTED JUSTICE 6 2 51¼ 52   69½ 619 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00 16.40  
2  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 2 4 1nk 41½   59½ 721 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 6.00 10.80  
5  PRETTY PATTY 5 5 2nk 31½   812¾ 827¾ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
 
MVR-3   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :463 :60     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IT'S OFFICIAL 4 7 43 43   2½ 12¾ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 2.70  
2  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 2 5 2½ 22   31 22¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 22% 3.50 3.40 P
6  DERBY INCLUDED 6 3 53 55½   43 34½ (cline c)DIAZ I 124 4.50 8.60  
1  ZAKARIA 1 4 1½ 12   1½ 47 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 6.40  
5  PLAY BALL 5 1 31½ 33   56 59¼ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 2.90  
3  BEAT THE DEALER 3 6 76 79½   69 610¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 3.50 5.00  
7  BISCUITS AND GRITS 7 2 63½ 67½   713 719 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 10.00 22% 3.60 13.00  
 
MVR-4   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE BEAT 1 8 813¼ 88¾   61¼ 1¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 8% 12.30 15.30 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VIENNA MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
2  FINISTERE 2 5 76¼ 53¾   1½ 2¼ (vecchio caryn)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 25.30  
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
4  SHORTLY 4 2 2½ 32   3½ 32½ (zielins)PILARES P 124 2.00 32% 2.20 2.00 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  MOTOWN COLLECTION 3 4 32½ 22   2½ 42½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 3.00 11% 8.00 2.30  
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
5  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 3 44½ 43½   4¾ 54¼ (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 12.70  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
7  QUICK QUICK WHIT 7 7 66 65¾   74¼ 67½ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.70  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
8  DARK BARON 8 1 1½ 12   5¾ 78¾ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 8.40  
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  LOUIS 6 6 56 75¾   86¼ 810¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 8.60  
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of LITTLE BULL RUN by HOLY BULL)
 
MVR-5   11/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:133 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HENRY MAC 5 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 13½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 6.00 14% 6.20 3.40 W
1  RAVEN MOON 1 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 23½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.50 2.90  
2  OAKS HONEY 2 4 32½ 32 31½ 31 35 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 12.40  
4  TANTRUM 4 3 42¾ 42½ 42 41 45¼ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 123 1.80 43% 1.40 1.20  
3  SILENCE 3 5 510¾ 59½ 54 54 57½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 3.30  
SCR  MO DONT NO               (radosevi)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
 
MVR-6   11/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:13 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOHN'S ROCK 3 1 21 22 23 11 13¼ (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 7% 13.20 7.20 W
6  BREEZY MONEY 6 2 11 12 13 21 23¼ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 20% 4.10 2.40 P
5  STAR HAWK 5 3 65½ 66½ 35 36 311¾ (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.20  
1  DISCLOSURE 1 8 76½ 89¼ 710½ 411 416¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 12.40  
8  SUMMERFEST 7 6 32½ 33 46½ 512 520½ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00 41.90  
2  SO DIALED IN 2 5 43 44 57½ 613 624¼ (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 4 88½ 79 810½ 714½ 725¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 45% 1.20 4.90  
9  REGULAR GUY 8 7 54 56½ 69 815 827¼ (catalano wayn)BRACHO A 124 2.50 5.90  
SCR  STATESBORO               (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUJARA 1 9 63¼ 41½   11 11¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 1.80 33% 2.00 0.60 W
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 2 6 41¾ 52½   21 21¼ (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 52.70  
3  MISSION GIRL 3 3 1nk 2½   31½ 35½ (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 4.00 6% 15.70 4.20 S
5  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 5 4 2nk 1½   43 48 (urieta johanna)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 19% 4.20 3.50  
7  CAT'S RHYTHM 7 8 76¼ 75½   65 58 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 18.50  
9  JETTIN PEGASUS 9 2 52¼ 3½   54 69 (suarez javie)HALDAR J 124 10.00 22.30  
8  POWER BANKER 8 1 31½ 64   78 714½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 20.10  
6  PENNY SHOTS 6 5 98¼ 86½   811 820½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 14% 6.10 29.70  
4  CATABOUT 4 7 87¼ 913½   923 941½ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 81.20  
 
MVR-8   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BUCKEYE SKY 2 4 1nk 1nk   12 11¾ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.50 49% 1.00 0.30 W
9  SOMEKINDAFUHRY 8 2 2nk 2nk   22 21¾ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 43.70 P
5  SPECIALIZED 4 10 96¾ 86¼   68 33½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 4.00 22% 3.60 3.70 S
7  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 6 3 62¼ 54   36 43½ (tumblin a)CORREA L 124 20.00 53.60  
11  TIER ONE 10 11 118¼ 66   57½ 53¾ (fletcher )HERNANDEZ H 124 8.00 20.50  
4  SWING STATE 3 7 31 43½   47 68 (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 ★ 14.50  
10  PALACE TEMPTATION 9 9 107¾ 108½   813 711¾ (faulkner rodn)CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00 ######  
8  VEGAS PLAYER 7 6 51¾ 31½   710 813½ (poole m)BRACHO A 122 20.00 ######  
12  DASH OF FIRE 11 1 84¾ 96½   916 917¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 82.40  
6  COLOR BEARER 5 8 73¾ 76¼   1017 1018¾ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 124 6.00 19.00  
1  OHIO STRONG 1 5 41½ 119   1120 1124¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-9   11/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MY GIRL KEW 2 5 31 11   12½ 15¼ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122 1.40 35% 1.90 0.80 W
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS KEW by CATIENUS)
6  OFFICIALLY YOURS 6 3 21 21   22½ 25¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 5.40 P
  (by TAPITURE out of OFFICIALLY by OFFICER)
5  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 5 1 42½ 46½   38½ 313¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.00 2.70  
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  DERBY DAY KISS 4 2 11 36   412½ 422 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 6.00 6.70  
  (by KLIMT out of DERBY DAY STORM by HABAYEB)
7  MAC'S CAILIN 7 7 711 613½   620½ 529¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 50.20  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
1  POINTOF ATTRACTION 1 4 55 510½   516½ 630¼ (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 122 8.00 18% 4.50 15.70  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  RIVERS RUN RED 3 8 69 822½   726½ 742¼ (szczepans)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00 5% 19.00 48.10  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
8  SHAMANS IMAGE 8 6 811¼ 721½   828½ 845¼ (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 56.30  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.