The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FAN-1   Win (4/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
FAN-2   Win (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
FAN-3   Win (7/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20
FAN-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
FAN-5   Win (9/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $14.60 -8.00
FAN-6   Win (3/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
FAN-7   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
FAN-8   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
FAN-9   Win (6/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.60 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
FAN-1   10/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
:232 :48 1:01     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE THE TAILOR 6 1 1nk 11   11(catalano m)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.00 9% 9.70 1.90 W
STROPE 7 5 6 5   45 2(wainwright joh)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00 10.40  
STANCE 1 3 3½ 21   23(wainwright )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00 2.10  
HAND OVER MY HEART 3 4 2nk 31   34(essenpreis edward)SAMPSON KIM 120 8.00 7% 13.20 8.30  
BEST MAN SPEECH 4 9 9 9   812 5(coontz a)DIEGO JAVIER 120 3.50 46% 1.20 9.20  
PETE'S LEGACY 8 2 7 6   711 610¾ (essenpre)BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00 25.60  
C C RITHMS 2 7 53 7   57 711¼ (manley steve)ORM CORY 120 12.00 40.10  
RAISERICHIESRANSOM 9 8 8 8   610½ 812½ (rivelli larry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 6.00 11.40  
WATCHNTHETIDEROLL 5 6 4 4   916 925¾ (rivelli larry)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.50 6% 15.60 7.80  
 
FAN-2   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
:232 :472 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAHOKIA POSSE 6 5 31 1nk   11(becker scott)SIMPSON M 120 3.00 48% 1.10 5.10 W
TENSE 1 1 11 2nk   22(rodriguez j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 14.50  
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY 4 3 5 4   33(lopez elias)REYES FRANK 120 4.00 26% 2.80 1.10 S
WICKED SKY 8 7 7 5   79 412½ (wainwright joh)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 4.20  
LUTION 3 2 8 8   810 514 (lynch ha)BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
FREEDOM ATTACK 5 4 21 3   47 617 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
PRIMITY 7 6 42 6   6717½ (wainwright john)DIEGO JAVIER 118 10.00 31.70  
WILDWOOD GHALY 2 8 6 76   58 821 (becker scott)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.50 7.00  
 
FAN-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
:234 :482 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FERGIE ATTACK 3 1 2nk 21   13 1(childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 3.00 20% 4.10 2.90 W
HER SPEAKER'S ON 8 4 6 44   35 2(coontz a)ORM CORY 120 4.50 3.80  
BETTY'S SECRET 7 7 73 34   43(becker scott)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 6.00 19% 4.30 1.50 S
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 6 3 4¾ 11   23 4(ramirez carl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 21% 3.80 6.40  
THE LAST THRILL 4 8 817 812½   610½ 5(bahena fernando)LOPEZ A 110 8.00 19% 4.20 19.50  
SILVER EYES 5 2 5¾ 5   58 612 (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.00 7.30  
HOT N FRESH 2 5 3.2 68   713½ 716¼ (fridley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00 37.90  
MOLLY'S TEMPLE 1 6 1nk 7   818½ 830½ (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 12.00 35.00  
SCR  FEATURED POWER               (rodriguez hugo)REYES FRANK 126 12.00    
 
FAN-4   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
:24 :474 1:132 1:412   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMFORT ME NOW 1 2 5 5 44 21nk (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 3.00 23% 3.40 3.10 W
SNOOZER 7 4 1½ 11 12 12nk (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.00 2.70  
CHEEKERS 6 5 2½ 21 22 33(scalcione pe)SIMPSON M 126 10.00 12.90  
IRISH DECLARATION 4 7 6 7 55 46 4(martinez)BAILON JADHIR 126 3.50 1.70  
MOVE ON OVER 5 6 77 6 6 611 516¾ (becker scott)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 15% 5.70 11.70  
BLURT 2 3 32 3 33 59 623 (rodriguez ed)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 4.50 18% 4.60 11.80  
SEMINOLE BEACH 3 1 42 42 78 714½ 726¾ (randazzo c)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 9.10  
 
FAN-5   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
:231 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBITAL STARR 6 6 710½ 4   45 1(wiese john)SIMPSON M 126 4.00 6.30  
WINDIGO SPIRIT 3 1 31 3   34 2(durham m)BAILON JADHIR 126 3.00 20% 3.90 3.40 P
MADE TO FIT 8 2 2½ 11   13(thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 5.00 38% 1.60 4.00 S
AVENGING WARRIOR 4 3 1½ 21   246 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.50 13% 6.50 1.20  
WARNING LABEL 5 4 47 5   58 5(wiese john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
JOEY B 1 7 6 7   66(higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 126 8.00 18.00  
RULE FOLLOWER 7 8 57 6   711½ 712¼ (fridley steve)ORM CORY 126 12.00 33.90  
FAIRWAY LANE 2 5 823½ 8100   8100 8100 (watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 121 12.00 19.60  
SCR  READTHETRANSCRIPT               (juarez blas)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.50    
 
FAN-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:231 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 3 9 9 7   2½ 1nk (becker scott)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.00 39% 1.60 2.80 W
GOLD SMOKE 9 2 74 6   1½ 2nk (essenpre)BAILON JADHIR 126 8.00 10.00  
BERNIE LOMAX 1 7 85 5   31 3(childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.50 3.30  
WILDWOOD MINISTRY 4 5 3½ 3.2   445 (becker scott)REYES FRANK 126 3.50 25% 3.00 3.10  
IMMORAL 2 6 42 1nk   55(jansen kenny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 8.00 9.20  
PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN 6 8 53 8   88 6(manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.60 DH
BLUE NORTHER 8 1 1nk 2nk   63 6(wells duane)ORM CORY 124 10.00 11% 8.10 22.40 DH
LORD DYLAN 7 4 6 9   9814¼ (bahena fern)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 15.60  
GALLANT BUCK 5 3 2nk 4¾   75 914¾ (rodriguez ed)SIMPSON M 120 4.00 6.90  
 
FAN-7   10/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:241 :473 1:133 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAND MARK DEAL 5 5 49 3 41 11 1hd (manley steve)ORM CORY 124 3.00 11% 8.00 4.40 W
KING DOODLE 2 4 38 4 3½ 21 2hd (becker scott)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 7.10  
RIGHT ON RICHIE 4 2 1nk 1nk 2½ 43(butler gerald)DIEGO JAVIER 120 6.00 3.90  
KARAYEL 1 3 714 717¾ 79 745 (randazzo te)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 10.00 31.30  
GLOBAL EMPIRE 7 6 612 612¾ 67 655 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 121 6.00 16.30  
MOMENT 3 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 32 6(lopez elias)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 8.00 43% 1.30 1.00  
NAMESAKE 6 7 510 5 53 55 77 (swearing)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.50 18% 4.40 7.20  
SCR  DIAMOND DAVE               (childers vance)LOPEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  TWO COOKIE RULE               (witthauer joh)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.00    
 
FAN-8   10/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
:242 :482 1:134 1:273   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO MADI GO 1 6 66 64 4 113 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 3.00 44% 1.30 1.30 W
AROSE FOR LYLA 2 5 56 5 67 45 23 (essenpre)BAILON JADHIR 126 8.00 10% 8.70 4.80 P
SET THE PACE 4 2 1 1nk 12 23(becker scott)SIMPSON M 124 6.00 5.30  
RACETOTHEFINISH 5 4 3 3½ 22 346 (becker scott)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 20% 3.90 2.60  
SHEZ STUCK UP 6 3 2 41 3 55(mcdonnell bernard)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.50 7.20  
NOT TO BE DENIED 3 1 4 2nk 55 67 610¾ (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00 16.70  
SCR  ENGLISH               (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 124 15.00    
SCR  PRANCIPANTS               (witthauer k)REYES FRANK 126 4.00    
SCR  SAY CHEESE               (mcdonnel)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 10.00    
 
FAN-9   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
:223 :464 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDALOUIMAGE 2 8 810¼ 711½   46 1(quinonez)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.00 2.30  
NEXT TIME YOU WIN 5 2 4 3   33 2(nesbitt amy)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 13% 6.70 3.80 P
FOGGY KITTEN 7 4 2½ 1   11 3(watkins jame)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 4.50 18% 4.60 2.50 S
SUPERTRIX 1 7 710 812½   69 44 (retana gabe)ORM CORY 126 12.00 19.40  
AH LEAH 8 6 55 4   57 5(schlenk k)GILES EMMANUEL 119 12.00 18.90  
COOKIN ROSES 6 3 1½ 2   21 6(quinonez max)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.00 24% 3.20 6.00  
ABBMAR 4 1 3 58   710½ 711¾ (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 14.50  
ARCH FLYER 3 5 6 6   811½ 815 (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 15% 5.60 7.60  
SCR  AUNT STELLA               (castro isidro)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
SCR  VIVA VIOLENCE               (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.