Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $72.00 $64.00 800%
CT-4   TRI (8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  8-5-3 $28.70 $4.70 20%
CT-6   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $11.90 $5.90 98%
CT-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-3 $53.20 $35.20 196%
    PK3 (7/6/8/1)-(2/4/1)-(3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00  6-1-3 $42.90 $6.90 19%
CT-8   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $19.30 $13.30 222%
    DD (3/4/1)-(8/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-3 $50.80 $32.80 182%
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(8/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  1-3-3 $108.30 $81.30 301%
    PK4 (7/6/8/1)-(2/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(8/3/5) 108 $1.00 $108  6-1-3-3 $270.90 $162.90 151%
    PK5 (8/2/3/5)-(7/6/8/1)-(2/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(8/3/5) 432 $1.00 $432  8-6-1-3-3 $842.60 $410.60 95%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:163     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVERLEY 3 1 41 42   2½ 1 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00 W
NELLY TOO 6 5 63 64   52 2 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 5.40  
DASHING LASS 8 6 52 52   31 32 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 19% 4.10 1.60 S
WILD N' SASSY 4 3 8 811½   7 4 (cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00 35.90  
RED RIVER SUSI 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 5 (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 18.50  
EMBRACEABLE 2 4 2½ 2½   4 67 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 13.10  
LADY CAIRO 7 7 31 3   6 713¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 49% 1.00 1.10  
MAGNOLIA ROAD 5 8 7 7   813½ 828¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 9% 10.30 23.60  
 
CT-2   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:16     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 6 3 11 1½   11 1 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 9.10  
JUJU ON DA BEAT 9 7 21 2½   21 2 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
I SHALLBE RELEASED 1 1 5 5   42 3 (walters d)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 5.70  
ODINA 2 2 4 41   5 4 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 3.60  
IMINCHARGENOW 4 4 31 31   32 5 (schottroffe e)ADAMS L 115 20.00 83.50  
JUST HAVE FAITH 8 8 9 7   6 66 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 61% 0.60 1.10  
PRINCESS HALO 7 9 7 6   7 7 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 16.70  
DEREKA'S BLUFF 5 6 8 95   8 816¼ (venham d)BATISTA A 122 4.50 10% 9.10 15.90  
TRACE ESTATE 3 5 6 8   910¼ 917¼ (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
 
CT-3   11/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :48       :55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN CASHEW 3 5 11     1 1nk (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 121 2.00 1.50  
UNALTERED 8 1 5     4 2nk (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 2.50 2.20  
BET YOUR BOOTS 4 3 21     2 3¼ (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00 26% 2.80 12.10 S
RUMORGOINGAROUND 2 8 813¼     7 4 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 39.40  
S S CASINO GIRL 5 4 31     3 5 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 121 4.00 26% 2.80 3.40  
SWISS HORIZON 7 2 6     6 6 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 9% 10.40 31.00  
GANGSTER AMERICANO 1 7 4     5 7 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 9.80  
MIREYA 6 6 7     818¼ 823¼ (reyes rub)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00 10% 9.50 16.20  
 
CT-4   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 8 7 3 21   1½ 1¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.00 50% 1.00 2.00 W
SARGENT KOBE 5 8 8 5   3½ 2¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 17.60 3.20 P
S S SPARTAN ENERGY 3 6 7 67   5 3 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 6% 15.10 3.80 S
EISELE 4 3 57 79   6 4 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 115 30.00 79.90  
PERSONAL FINANCE 7 5 2nk 11   2½ 5 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 24.60  
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY 1 1 4 32   4 610 (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 11.20  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 6 4 1nk 42   7 710 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5.50  
BLAME B B 2 2 6 814   821¼ 826¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 15% 5.50 5.60  
 
CT-5   11/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:223 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ADAGE 6 4 2½     2nk 1 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30 0.90 W
MO EH HENNESSY 5 3 1½     1nk 2 (simone mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 9.70  
AKITO 7 5 31     33 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 46% 1.20 5.90 S
GLASTONBURY 2 9 8     4 4 (roadcap j)HERNANDEZ F 124 6.00 14.00  
SOUTHERN SAINT 3 6 6     5 5 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 15.70  
FAIRPIT 1 8 7     79 6 (jones a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00 5% 19.00 72.90  
AIR KENNEY 8 2 43     6 710 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50 8% 12.10 3.60  
LONG COOL 4 7 9     810½ 810¾ (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 9.60  
BUFF'S CAT 9 1 5     913½ 913½ (pennell)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00 83.90  
 
CT-6   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULLIVAN STREET 1 1 11 1nk   11 1 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 9% 10.50 2.90 W
SKYLAR'S SISTER 4 3 31 31   21 2 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 17% 5.00 1.60 P
THE MONEY MACHINE 6 4 21 2nk   32 3 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 6.80  
BLUE TWIRLIN 2 5 5 4   47 412¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 115 1.80 46% 1.20 1.80  
CONNECTING FLIGHT 3 2 7 7   68 514½ (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 20.70  
HARPER'S DO 5 7 63 6   79 615¼ (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00 31.70  
HANNAHS RED RUBY 7 6 4 5   5 715½ (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 20.00 41.50  
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER               (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL HER 3 5 6 7   1nk 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 29% 2.50 2.90 W
GRACE AND CHARM 5 4 3.2 2nk   2nk 2 (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 1.90  
BREEZY CONNECTION 7 7 76 41   3½ 3 (brooks geral)BATISTA A 120 2.50 3.80  
THUNDERTURTLE 6 6 5 52   53 4 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 12.00 18.20  
SAVE THE FLAG 2 1 1nk 3½   6 5 (zook w)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 18.30  
HONEY BELLA 4 3 2nk 1nk   4 67 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 25% 3.10 4.30  
ONLY KIDDING 1 2 4 6   74 715 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 23% 3.40 7.70  
SCR  LIVIN' AT THE BU               (rathman el)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY               (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTINVADEMYSPACE 3 1 21 21   1nk 1 (brooks gera)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 14% 5.90 4.00 W
SUPERSTITIEUX 5 5 11 11   2nk 2 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 7% 12.50 3.80 P
SIR SMOAK 6 7 4 4   31 3 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 5.00 2.40  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 4 2 5 5   511½ 410¼ (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00 34.20  
PURSUING PACE 1 6 711 714½   711¾ 512½ (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 10.10  
VIOLENT ROCK 7 4 32 3   49 613 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 1.20 47% 1.10 1.60  
STAVANGER 2 3 6 613½   611¾ 714¼ (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00 84.00  
SCR  CENTRAL PRIDE               (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
SCR  SPEAKERIT               (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.