The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (7/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $72.00 $72.00 64.00
CT-2   Win (8/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $20.20 -8.00
CT-3   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $5.00 -8.00
CT-4   Win (8/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
CT-5   Win (7/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
CT-6   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
CT-7   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
CT-8   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:163     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVERLEY 3 1 41 42   2½ 1(butts e)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00 W
NELLY TOO 6 5 63 64   52 2(joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 5.40  
DASHING LASS 8 6 52 52   31 32 (shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 19% 4.10 1.60 S
WILD N' SASSY 4 3 8 811½   74(cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00 35.90  
RED RIVER SUSI 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 5(deiter kelly)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 18.50  
EMBRACEABLE 2 4 2½ 2½   467 (viands stac)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 13.10  
LADY CAIRO 7 7 31 3   6713¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 49% 1.00 1.10  
MAGNOLIA ROAD 5 8 7 7   813½ 828¾ (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 9% 10.30 23.60  
 
CT-2   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:16     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 6 3 11 1½   11 1(meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 120 12.00 9.10  
JUJU ON DA BEAT 9 7 21 2½   21 2(adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
I SHALLBE RELEASED 1 1 5 5   42 3(walters dav)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 5.70  
ODINA 2 2 4 41   54(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 3.60  
IMINCHARGENOW 4 4 31 31   32 5(schottroffe edw)ADAMS L 115 20.00 83.50  
JUST HAVE FAITH 8 8 9 7   666 (collins tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 61% 0.60 1.10  
PRINCESS HALO 7 9 7 6   77(craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 16.70  
DEREKA'S BLUFF 5 6 8 95   8816¼ (venham d)BATISTA A 122 4.50 10% 9.10 15.90  
TRACE ESTATE 3 5 6 8   910¼ 917¼ (ewell sr)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
 
CT-3   11/15/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :48       :55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN CASHEW 3 5 11     11nk (keller christophe)RODRIGUEZ V 121 2.00 1.50  
UNALTERED 8 1 5     42nk (stehr jos)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 2.50 2.20  
BET YOUR BOOTS 4 3 21     23¼ (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00 26% 2.80 12.10 S
RUMORGOINGAROUND 2 8 813¼     74(pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 39.40  
S S CASINO GIRL 5 4 31     35(lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 121 4.00 26% 2.80 3.40  
SWISS HORIZON 7 2 6     66(king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 9% 10.40 31.00  
GANGSTER AMERICANO 1 7 4     57(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 8.00 9.80  
MIREYA 6 6 7     818¼ 823¼ (reyes ruben)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 8.00 10% 9.50 16.20  
 
CT-4   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 8 7 3 21   1½ 1¼ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.00 50% 1.00 2.00 W
SARGENT KOBE 5 8 8 5   3½ 2¼ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 17.60 3.20 P
S S SPARTAN ENERGY 3 6 7 67   53(johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 6% 15.10 3.80 S
EISELE 4 3 57 79   64(hummer richard )ADAMS L 115 30.00 79.90  
PERSONAL FINANCE 7 5 2nk 11   2½ 5(adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 24.60  
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY 1 1 4 32   4610 (deiter kelly)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 11.20  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 6 4 1nk 42   7710 (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5.50  
BLAME B B 2 2 6 814   821¼ 826¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 15% 5.50 5.60  
 
CT-5   11/15/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:223 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ADAGE 6 4 2½     2nk 1(viands r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30 0.90 W
MO EH HENNESSY 5 3 1½     1nk 2(simone mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 9.70  
AKITO 7 5 31     33 3(farrior ant)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 46% 1.20 5.90 S
GLASTONBURY 2 9 8     44(roadcap jer)HERNANDEZ F 124 6.00 14.00  
SOUTHERN SAINT 3 6 6     55(fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 15.70  
FAIRPIT 1 8 7     79 6(jones a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00 5% 19.00 72.90  
AIR KENNEY 8 2 43     6710 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50 8% 12.10 3.60  
LONG COOL 4 7 9     810½ 810¾ (comi w)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 9.60  
BUFF'S CAT 9 1 5     913½ 913½ (pennella )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00 83.90  
 
CT-6   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULLIVAN STREET 1 1 11 1nk   11 1(eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 9% 10.50 2.90 W
SKYLAR'S SISTER 4 3 31 31   21 2(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 17% 5.00 1.60 P
THE MONEY MACHINE 6 4 21 2nk   32 3(viands stac)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 6.80  
BLUE TWIRLIN 2 5 5 4   47 412¼ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 115 1.80 46% 1.20 1.80  
CONNECTING FLIGHT 3 2 7 7   68 514½ (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 20.70  
HARPER'S DO 5 7 63 6   79 615¼ (serey mario)HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00 31.70  
HANNAHS RED RUBY 7 6 4 5   5715½ (malgarini t)MAWING A 122 20.00 41.50  
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER               (patterson kevin)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   11/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL HER 3 5 6 7   1nk 1(runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 113 3.50 29% 2.50 2.90 W
GRACE AND CHARM 5 4 3.2 2nk   2nk 2(russell t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 1.90  
BREEZY CONNECTION 7 7 76 41   3½ 3(brooks gerald )BATISTA A 120 2.50 3.80  
THUNDERTURTLE 6 6 5 52   53 4(runco c)CULLUM W 120 12.00 18.20  
SAVE THE FLAG 2 1 1nk 3½   65(zook w)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 18.30  
HONEY BELLA 4 3 2nk 1nk   467 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 25% 3.10 4.30  
ONLY KIDDING 1 2 4 6   74 715 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 23% 3.40 7.70  
SCR  LIVIN' AT THE BU               (rathman elis)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY               (malgarini t)MAWING A 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   11/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTINVADEMYSPACE 3 1 21 21   1nk 1(brooks gerald)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50 14% 5.90 4.00 W
SUPERSTITIEUX 5 5 11 11   2nk 2(serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 7% 12.50 3.80 P
SIR SMOAK 6 7 4 4   31 3(serey mario)HERNANDEZ F 120 5.00 2.40  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 4 2 5 5   511½ 410¼ (murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00 34.20  
PURSUING PACE 1 6 711 714½   711¾ 512½ (reynolds a)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 10.10  
VIOLENT ROCK 7 4 32 3   49 613 (ginter raymond)BATISTA A 122 1.20 47% 1.10 1.60  
STAVANGER 2 3 6 613½   611¾ 714¼ (racanelli j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00 84.00  
SCR  CENTRAL PRIDE               (hillegass a)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
SCR  SPEAKERIT               (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.