The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
MVR-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
MVR-3   Win (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
MVR-4   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
MVR-5   Win (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $14.40 $14.40 6.40
MVR-6   Win (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $17.60 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (1/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.10 $2.10 -3.90
MVR-8   Win (6/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $19.20 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAQAMAT 4 7 7 7   41(meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30 2.20 W
SILVER MATT 9 5 6 5   32 2(romero oscar)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 6.00  
BRION 5 2 12 12   132 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 54% 0.90 2.20 S
AWESOME ENOUGH 2 3 3 33   243 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 7% 14.10 5.90  
UNBRIDLED VICTOR 3 4 55 4   55(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 16.70  
CONSIDER ME 7 8 45 67   76(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 4.40  
ESTILO CLASICO 8 9 9 910¼   87(morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 66.20  
ARMOR PIERCING 1 1 22 22   68(diehl candace)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 75.70  
BIKO 6 6 8 810   9912¼ (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
 
MVR-2   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT ELOPE 1 6 1½ 1   13 14 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 125 1.60 40% 1.50 0.40 W
SMARTASSET 2 3 2½ 2   23 24 (cline c)RIVERA R 126 2.50 4.20  
CLOUD PRINCESS 4 2 54 33   38 312¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 125 10.00 13% 6.60 32.80 S
DOMINUS O'S ME 5 1 3 43   4414 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 125 3.50 5.00  
J. P INDY 6 4 4 55   510½ 516¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 125 6.00 19.00  
RED HEAD LADY 3 5 69 610   614½ 620¼ (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 13% 6.60 12.80  
 
MVR-3   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARTSTEIN 6 1 3½ 2½   11(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 36% 1.70 1.40 W
MOMENT IN THE DARK 2 3 1nk 1½   22(haehn r)REYES FRANK 125 12.00 16.60  
SOL OF VAQUERO 5 5 4 5   4310 (campbell anthony )VEGA L 126 3.50 23% 3.30 5.90 S
11  SOMETHING ON TAP 10 6 6 32   3410 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 125 8.00 1.90  
REDDEN 1 9 8 8   6513½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 125 12.00 17% 5.00 9.60  
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 3 4 5 6   5614¾ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 21.30  
FORMYBOYS 7 7 7 7   712¾ 719 (radosevich jeff)TOLEDO S 125 20.00 86.00  
10  WHY KENNY WHY 9 8 9 9   814¾ 819¾ (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 15.90  
MY HOMBRE 4 2 2nk 42   916¾ 925 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 25.00  
MY TICKET 8 10 1012½ 1015¾   1020¾ 1030¼ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 5% 19.00 42.90  
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH               (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE 6 5 43 3.2   12 1(ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 6% 15.30 2.60 W
DANES LAST SONG 1 4 1 1nk   22 2(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 28% 2.60 3.10 P
MOBIL MEMORY 4 3 2 2nk   337 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 45% 1.20 1.10 S
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 2 6 6 5   44 410¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 36.90  
MY TWO JAKES 7 1 55 4   58 515¾ (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 123 4.00 6.40  
WELLOILEDCAT 5 7 710½ 7   611 616¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 66.20  
MOST ADORABLE 3 2 33 6   713 722¼ (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 8.00 16.00  
 
MVR-5   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT GENERATION 4 9 9 7   31 1(cowans william )BRACHO A 124 5.00 11% 7.80 6.20 W
10  NEECHI 9 3 7 4   1nk 2(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 1.70  
CHANEL SPIRIT 5 6 3 2nk   2nk 3(cline c)GONZALEZ A 125 4.50 11% 8.20 2.20 S
THE MIRACLE KIUT 1 5 4 5   44(vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 125 6.00 46% 1.20 7.80  
EMERSON JONES 2 4 5 6   8510 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
ANGEL WINGS 8 7 8 9   9612½ (flores israel)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 32.30  
OUT FOR FUN 3 10 10 1013¾   10713¾ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 74.20  
LOFTY COWTOWN 6 8 6 8   7814½ (fadlovic)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 20.20  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 7 1 1½ 3.2   53 915¼ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 27.00  
11  ANCHORWOMAN 10 2 2½ 1nk   61018¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 6.30  
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN               (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
SCR  MISS ELLIE               (casti)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 30.00    
 
MVR-6   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO DIALED IN 2 1 12 1   13 1(sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7.80  
GOOD ON YA 1 2 3 3   23 2(londono j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 2.20 P
BEVERLY PARK 7 5 55 2   33(ginter jr)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.50 S
BREEZY MONEY 4 3 22 4   46 45 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 24% 3.10 3.20  
MOESTER 3 7 6 6   57 5(brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 20.40  
THRU THE VINE 5 4 44 5   69 6(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 16% 5.30 17.40  
FLY HOME 6 6 78 7   714 718½ (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 13.80  
 
MVR-7   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Joshua Radosevich Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWY 1 6 2½ 1nk   12 1(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.20 69% 0.40 0.05 W
HEZA PISTOL 3 10 7 64   52(greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 118 20.00 47.00  
LUST FOR LIFE 5 4 1½ 2nk   22 39 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 20.00 23.60 S
VILLIAN 8 1 41 3   36 411 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 19.60  
10  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 9 2 8 5   4512½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 20.00 7% 13.10 53.70  
11  REIGNING DREAM 10 3 5 42   67 614 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 116 15.00 90.40  
SOCIAL HISTORY 4 8 6 8   7714¼ (danner d)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 47.90  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 7 9 1011¾ 1015½   911 817¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 63.60  
C V DYNAMIC 2 7 9 910½   810½ 919 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 116 30.00 ######  
TWISTED JUSTICE 6 5 31 7   1013 1026¾ (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00 14.60  
SCR  TOUGH CAT               (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00    
 
MVR-8   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Bobbie Bricker Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:413   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL CHIC 4 4 3 3 2½ 12 15 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 120 15.00 8.60  
NEAR PERFECT 6 6 6 6 65 525 (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 3.50 34% 2.00 3.70 P
AUNT BEE 5 9 7 4 54 44 3(ginter jr)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 18% 4.40 3.70 S
BOSSY LADY 3 7 9 97 8 74(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.00 7.40  
EXPRESS FASHION 2 5 55 7 9 658 (meyers shane)COLINA ALEJANDRO 117 15.00 31.70  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 7 8 8 8 75 86(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 5.10  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 1 3 4 5 31 22 7(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 11% 7.90 4.50  
BETTER HALF 9 1 1 1 1½ 34 812 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
SARAH JANE 8 2 2 2 4 916¼ 934½ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00 31.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.