Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6/7)-(5/4/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/2/6)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/6)-(1/3/4)-(7/6/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(7/6/2/9)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/9)-(7/6/2/4/9)-(7/6/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/9)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/9)-(4/1/6)-(1/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/4/5/2)-(7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/11/2)-(1/4/5/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(7/4/5)-(1/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/10/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(1/10/7)-(6/5/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/7)-(1/10/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/7)-(1/10/8/7/5)-(1/10/8/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/10/7)-(6/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/1)-(6/5/9/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/1)-(6/5/9/1/7)-(6/5/9/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMOR PIERCING Dec04 Nov16 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (diehl candace)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
2  AWESOME ENOUGH Dec04 Nov09 Nov01 Sep21 Aug31 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 7% 14.10    
3  UNBRIDLED VICTOR Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
4  MAQAMAT Oct26 Oct09 Sep14 Aug09 Mar30 (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
5  BRION Dec02 Nov11 May28 May19 Mar17 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
6  BIKO Dec12 Nov26 Jun18 May29 May22 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONSIDER ME Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Oct22 Sep21 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 ★    
8  ESTILO CLASICO Dec04 Nov16 Nov09 Oct16 Oct09 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
9  SILVER MATT Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Jul11 Jun11 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANT ELOPE         (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of KEEP THE RING by BROKEN VOW)
2  SMARTASSET Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Sep19   (cline c)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
3  RED HEAD LADY         (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MINESHAFT out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
4  CLOUD PRINCESS         (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 125 10.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
5  DOMINUS O'S ME Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 Aug12 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 125 3.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
6  J. P INDY Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 Aug31 (cline c)DIAZ I 125 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MVR-3   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
2  REDDEN         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 125 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of POMMETTE by POMEROY)
3  MOMENT IN THE DARK Aug08 Jul20       (haehn r)REYES FRANK 125 12.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
4  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Nov22 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 Jan26 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 ★    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  MY HOMBRE Nov22 Oct24 Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
6  SOL OF VAQUERO May25 May10 Apr24 Apr12 Feb08 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
7  HARTSTEIN Nov22 Oct24       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 36% 1.70    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
8  FORMYBOYS Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (radosevich je)TOLEDO S 125 20.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
9  MY TICKET Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
10  WHY KENNY WHY Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
11  SOMETHING ON TAP Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug22 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 125 8.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
MVR-4   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANES LAST SONG Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Mar20 Mar02 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
3  MOST ADORABLE Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Aug30 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 8.00    
4  MOBIL MEMORY Nov21 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  WELLOILEDCAT Dec05 Nov06 Oct02 Aug23 Aug01 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
6  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Aug31 May23 Apr24 Mar09 Nov07 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 6% 15.30    
7  MY TWO JAKES Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MIRACLE KIUT Nov28 Nov09 Mar21 Nov15 Oct31 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 125 6.00 46% 1.20    
2  EMERSON JONES Dec07 Aug01 Jul06 Jun12 May25 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUT FOR FUN Nov02 Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
4  NEXT GENERATION Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Jul07 Jun17 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  CHANEL SPIRIT Dec12 Oct25 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 125 4.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  MISS ELLIE Nov22 Oct23 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 (cas)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 30.00    
7  LOFTY COWTOWN Nov16 Oct23 Sep22 Aug24 Aug01 (fadlov)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
8  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct10 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
9  ANGEL WINGS Jul06 Jun15 May17 Feb15 Jan17 (flores israel)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
10  NEECHI Nov20 Nov09 May24 May06 Apr10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00    
11  ANCHORWOMAN Nov22 Oct21 Sep19 Jul17 Jun27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 May26 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD ON YA Dec05 Nov01 Oct02 Sep11 Aug17 (londono odin )BRACHO A 124 3.00 ★    
2  SO DIALED IN Nov14 Nov01 Oct02 Aug28 Aug16 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
3  MOESTER May22 May06 Apr26 Feb28 Feb13 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
4  BREEZY MONEY Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  THRU THE VINE Nov29 Nov01 Aug29 Jul24 Jul12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
6  FLY HOME Dec04 Nov13 Jul20 May31 Apr28 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
7  BEVERLY PARK Dec02 Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-7   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Joshua Radosevich Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOWY Oct28 Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 Aug02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.20 69% 0.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
2  C V DYNAMIC Nov30 Nov15 Oct28     (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 116 30.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  HEZA PISTOL Nov30 Nov15       (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 118 20.00    
  (by DANZA out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
4  SOCIAL HISTORY Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 Aug26 Aug02 (danner)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
  (by DANZA out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
5  LUST FOR LIFE Nov30 Nov15       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 20.00 ★    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
6  TWISTED JUSTICE Nov30 Nov14 Sep22 Aug30 Aug12 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
7  RIVERS OF DENIRO Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
8  VILLIAN Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 Aug12 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TOUGH CAT Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 Jun30   (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of BARN CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Nov30 Nov15 Oct28     (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 20.00 7% 13.10    
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
11  REIGNING DREAM Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct12   (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 116 15.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
 
MVR-8   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Bobbie Bricker Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN TROUBLED WATERS Nov22 Oct21 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 11% 7.90    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of SEEKING TROUBLE by SEEKING A HOME)
2  EXPRESS FASHION Nov16 Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 117 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
3  BOSSY LADY Dec07 Nov16 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
4  MOBIL CHIC Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 Aug21 Aug01 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
5  AUNT BEE Nov16 Oct05 Sep22 Aug12 Mar14 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 18% 4.40    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SILKY SAMI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
6  NEAR PERFECT Nov16 Oct21 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 117 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
7  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Dec07 Nov16 Oct23 Oct03 Sep22 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 ★    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COPPER ROSE by UNBRIDLED)
8  SARAH JANE Dec11 Nov16 Oct28 Sep22 Sep11 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of HEBREW SONG by DIXIE UNION)
9  BETTER HALF Nov28 Oct06 Sep22 Aug26 Jul22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 13% 6.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.