Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (7/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-4   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MVR-6   Win (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (1/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-8   Win (6/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   12/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMOR PIERCING Dec04 Nov16 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (diehl candace)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
AWESOME ENOUGH Dec04 Nov09 Nov01 Sep21 Aug31 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 7% 14.10    
UNBRIDLED VICTOR Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
MAQAMAT Oct26 Oct09 Sep14 Aug09 Mar30 (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
BRION Dec02 Nov11 May28 May19 Mar17 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
BIKO Dec12 Nov26 Jun18 May29 May22 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CONSIDER ME Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Oct22 Sep21 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
ESTILO CLASICO Dec04 Nov16 Nov09 Oct16 Oct09 (morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
SILVER MATT Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Jul11 Jun11 (romero oscar)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT ELOPE         (maker j)HOUGHTON D 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
SMARTASSET Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Sep19   (cline c)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
RED HEAD LADY         (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 13% 6.60    
CLOUD PRINCESS         (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 125 10.00 13% 6.60    
DOMINUS O'S ME Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 Aug12 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 125 3.50    
J. P INDY Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 Aug31 (cline c)DIAZ I 125 6.00    
 
MVR-3   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 20.00    
REDDEN         (cline c)ROSARIO L 125 12.00 17% 5.00    
MOMENT IN THE DARK Aug08 Jul20       (haehn r)REYES FRANK 125 12.00    
RUNAWAY RUSSELL Nov22 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 Jan26 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00    
MY HOMBRE Nov22 Oct24 Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
SOL OF VAQUERO May25 May10 Apr24 Apr12 Feb08 (campbell anthony )VEGA L 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
HARTSTEIN Nov22 Oct24       (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 36% 1.70    
FORMYBOYS Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (radosevich jeff)TOLEDO S 125 20.00    
MY TICKET Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WHY KENNY WHY Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00    
11  SOMETHING ON TAP Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug22 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 125 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANES LAST SONG Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Mar20 Mar02 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
GHOSTLY REVIVAL Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
MOST ADORABLE Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Aug30 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 8.00    
MOBIL MEMORY Nov21 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
WELLOILEDCAT Dec05 Nov06 Oct02 Aug23 Aug01 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Aug31 May23 Apr24 Mar09 Nov07 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 6% 15.30    
MY TWO JAKES Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
 
MVR-5   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MIRACLE KIUT Nov28 Nov09 Mar21 Nov15 Oct31 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 125 6.00 46% 1.20    
EMERSON JONES Dec07 Aug01 Jul06 Jun12 May25 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
OUT FOR FUN Nov02 Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
NEXT GENERATION Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Jul07 Jun17 (cowans william )BRACHO A 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
CHANEL SPIRIT Dec12 Oct25 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 125 4.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  MISS ELLIE Nov22 Oct23 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 (casti)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 30.00    
LOFTY COWTOWN Nov16 Oct23 Sep22 Aug24 Aug01 (fadlovic)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct10 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
ANGEL WINGS Jul06 Jun15 May17 Feb15 Jan17 (flores israel)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
10  NEECHI Nov20 Nov09 May24 May06 Apr10 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00    
11  ANCHORWOMAN Nov22 Oct21 Sep19 Jul17 Jun27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 May26 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD ON YA Dec05 Nov01 Oct02 Sep11 Aug17 (londono j)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
SO DIALED IN Nov14 Nov01 Oct02 Aug28 Aug16 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
MOESTER May22 May06 Apr26 Feb28 Feb13 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
BREEZY MONEY Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
THRU THE VINE Nov29 Nov01 Aug29 Jul24 Jul12 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
FLY HOME Dec04 Nov13 Jul20 May31 Apr28 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
BEVERLY PARK Dec02 Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-7   12/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Joshua Radosevich Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWY Oct28 Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 Aug02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.20 69% 0.40    
C V DYNAMIC Nov30 Nov15 Oct28     (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 116 30.00    
HEZA PISTOL Nov30 Nov15       (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 118 20.00    
SOCIAL HISTORY Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 Aug26 Aug02 (danner d)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
LUST FOR LIFE Nov30 Nov15       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
TWISTED JUSTICE Nov30 Nov14 Sep22 Aug30 Aug12 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 8.00    
RIVERS OF DENIRO Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
VILLIAN Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 Aug12 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
SCR  TOUGH CAT Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 Jun30   (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00    
10  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Nov30 Nov15 Oct28     (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 20.00 7% 13.10    
11  REIGNING DREAM Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct12   (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 116 15.00    
 
MVR-8   12/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Bobbie Bricker Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TROUBLED WATERS Nov22 Oct21 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 11% 7.90    
EXPRESS FASHION Nov16 Oct09 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (meyers shane)COLINA ALEJANDRO 117 15.00    
BOSSY LADY Dec07 Nov16 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
MOBIL CHIC Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 Aug21 Aug01 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
AUNT BEE Nov16 Oct05 Sep22 Aug12 Mar14 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 18% 4.40    
NEAR PERFECT Nov16 Oct21 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 3.50 34% 2.00    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Dec07 Nov16 Oct23 Oct03 Sep22 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00    
SARAH JANE Dec11 Nov16 Oct28 Sep22 Sep11 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
BETTER HALF Nov28 Oct06 Sep22 Aug26 Jul22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 13% 6.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.