Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $16.80 $10.80 180%
MVR-2   TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-1-5 $6.70 $3.70 123%
    DD (2/6/3)-(1/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-7 $41.60 $23.60 131%
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $36.20 $24.20 202%
    DD (1/7/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-5 $21.20 $3.20 18%
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/7/5)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50  6-7-5 $48.20 $34.70 257%
MVR-5   WIN (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $16.20 $8.20 103%
    EXA (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-6 $49.80 $25.80 108%
    TRI (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-2 $51.45 $39.45 329%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NICHOLAS JAMES 6 3 53¾ 43½   41¼ 1½ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 22% 3.60 7.40 W
1  FOX RED 1 4 1nk 31   31 2½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 1.10  
2  UNCLE EARL 2 1 2nk 1nk   11 31 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 35% 1.90 3.00 S
4  BROADWAY JONES 4 6 66¼ 64¾   51¾ 42¾ (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 8.00 41.00  
3  ZELIG 3 5 43¾ 54½   62¼ 54¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 6.00 11% 7.90 3.20  
5  TIDE RISING 5 7 78¼ 78¾   74¼ 65 (mah)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00 66.00  
7  TWICE AS SMART 7 2 3.2 2nk   21 75½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 6.80  
 
MVR-2   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FROG TOWN 6 5 53½ 31½   2½ 11¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
1  SIMPLY VALID 1 2 11½ 1½   1½ 21¾ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 30% 2.30 1.80 P
5  C J ALL THE WAY 4 6 64 53   53 35½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 5.00 5.00 S
6  CINDY'S STORM 5 1 43½ 42   43 45½ (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 20.00 25.90  
3  TOYI 2 3 21½ 2½   32½ 58¼ (tumblin a)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 17.10  
4  BOBBY'S GIFT 3 4 33 68   610 618¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 4.40  
SCR  RACARINO               (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DONNARUMMA 5 4 42 52¼ 4¾ 2nk 1nk (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 30% 2.30 3.30 W
6  MOONTAP 6 3 52¼ 31½ 3.2 1nk 2nk (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00 28% 2.60 3.10 P
4  FABIOLA PRINCESS 4 1 21 21½ 2nk 3.2 33 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 19.40  
1  PURDY PUMKIN 1 2 11 11½ 1nk 43¼ 412¼ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 1.60  
2  STORMIN MELLY 2 6 32 41¾ 62¾ 56¼ 512½ (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00 4.60  
7  POLITICAL ASTRAY 7 5 65¾ 65¼ 52¾ 66¼ 616 (langley josh)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 30.20  
3  KESTENNA (GB) 3 7 710¼ 710¼ 76¾ 710¼ 719½ (morzan e)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 9% 10.10 8.40  
 
MVR-4   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:253 :491 1:144 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 3 43½ 46½ 21 11 13¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 3.60  
6  LINE DANCER 5 4 2½ 2nk 11 21 23¾ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 34% 1.90 1.70 P
2  BOSSY LADY 2 2 32 34 32 35 315¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.00 1.30  
1  SICILIAN STYLE TWO 1 1 1½ 1nk 42½ 47 417¾ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 19% 4.20 4.10  
5  EARLY BLOOMER 4 5 55 510½ 56½ 59½ 523½ (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 35.50  
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS               (pappad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:161 1:294   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 5 9 98 77½ 2nk 12½ 14¾ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 25% 3.00 7.10 W
6  INDY CARR 6 5 34½ 34 1nk 22½ 24¾ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 123 2.50 29% 2.40 1.80 P
2  ORLEANS STORM 2 8 77 87¾ 61¾ 45½ 310 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
7  BIG TIME FLIRT 7 1 44½ 44 51¼ 35 411¼ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 22.50  
9  CHECK THE FACTS 9 4 87½ 98¾ 82½ 77 513¾ (kerr n)HALDAR J 123 6.00 17.60  
4  PLAYING BALL 4 3 13½ 13 3.2 55½ 616 (zielinski )SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 36.00  
1  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 1 6 23½ 23 4¼ 66 716¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 19% 4.20 1.40  
3  AGNELLO CITY 3 7 55 54½ 72 88 818½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 13.30  
8  KETTLE KING 8 2 66 66 92½ 99½ 926¾ (romero jose )ROSARIO L 124 15.00 25.80  
 
MVR-6   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:144 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 5 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 2.00  
8  DARK VADER 8 5 31½ 3.2 2nk 2nk 2¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 58% 0.70 1.00 P
3  DERBY INCLUDED 3 1 51¾ 51¼ 41¾ 33 39¼ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 7% 12.80 13.50 S
1  BEAT THE DEALER 1 3 41½ 41¼ 51¾ 43¼ 411 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 16.00  
4  HITE 4 4 73¼ 85 83½ 55¼ 513¾ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 28.80  
6  LUCKY STREAK 6 7 63¼ 62¼ 62¼ 65¼ 618¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 6% 16.80 6.70  
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK 2 8 84¾ 74¾ 73¼ 76¾ 720½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
7  JOSH'N 7 6 2½ 2nk 31½ 87¼ 823 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 16.50  
 
MVR-7   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:261 :503 1:163 1:293   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUEENIE ROSE 3 1 63¾ 65 2nk 1nk 12 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 0.80 72% 0.40 0.10 W
2  HERE COMES DOLLY 2 4 21½ 21½ 1nk 2nk 22 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 7.80  
1  SHAKA'S LYRIC 1 3 11½ 31½ 43½ 36 314 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 123 12.00 5% 19.00 47.20 S
6  OH EYE SEE 6 2 31½ 43 55 49½ 418¼ (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 24.30  
4  ANGEL'S DESTINY 4 5 41¾ 11½ 33 510½ 521½ (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00 ★ 7.00  
5  TWILIGHT BEAUTY 5 6 52¾ 54½ 68 615½ 641¼ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 31.80  
 
MVR-8   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:154 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LADY JASPER 5 3 21½ 21½ 21 2nk 13 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 2.50 67% 0.50 0.40 W
2  MOBIL CHIC 2 4 33 31½ 31 3½ 23 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.00 6.20  
7  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 1 11½ 11½ 11 1nk 34¼ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 9% 10.10 10.30 S
1  I'M LEGIT 1 6 68 67½ 66½ 45 410½ (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 11.50  
5  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 4 5 55½ 53½ 56 55¼ 512¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 9.90  
3  EMERSON JONES 3 2 43½ 42½ 43½ 65¾ 613 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★ 5.80  
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE               (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.