The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 10.80
MVR-2   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
MVR-3   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
MVR-4   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $9.20 -4.00
MVR-5   Win (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 8.20
MVR-6   Win (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $6.00 -8.00
MVR-7   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
MVR-8   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -1.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/07/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :463       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICHOLAS JAMES 6 3 5 4   41½ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 22% 3.60 7.40 W
FOX RED 1 4 1nk 31   31 2½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00 1.10  
UNCLE EARL 2 1 2nk 1nk   11 31 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 35% 1.90 3.00 S
BROADWAY JONES 4 6 6 6   54(hurley l)HALDAR J 126 8.00 41.00  
ZELIG 3 5 4 5   65(johnson l)DIAZ I 126 6.00 11% 7.90 3.20  
TIDE RISING 5 7 7 7   765 (mahan)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00 66.00  
TWICE AS SMART 7 2 3.2 2nk   21 7(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 6.80  
 
MVR-2   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROG TOWN 6 5 5 3   2½ 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.30 W
SIMPLY VALID 1 2 1 1½   1½ 2(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 30% 2.30 1.80 P
C J ALL THE WAY 4 6 64 53   53 3(johnson l)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 5.00 5.00 S
CINDY'S STORM 5 1 4 42   43 4(ramos francisco)BRACHO A 124 20.00 25.90  
TOYI 2 3 2 2½   35(tumblin and)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 17.10  
BOBBY'S GIFT 3 4 33 68   610 618¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 4.40  
SCR  RACARINO               (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNARUMMA 5 4 42 5 4¾ 2nk 1nk (buttigie)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 30% 2.30 3.30 W
MOONTAP 6 3 5 3 3.2 1nk 2nk (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00 28% 2.60 3.10 P
FABIOLA PRINCESS 4 1 21 2 2nk 3.2 33 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 19.40  
PURDY PUMKIN 1 2 11 1 1nk 4412¼ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 1.60  
STORMIN MELLY 2 6 32 4 6 5512½ (pappada julie )KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00 4.60  
POLITICAL ASTRAY 7 5 6 6 5 6616 (langley joshua)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 30.20  
KESTENNA (GB) 3 7 710¼ 710¼ 7 710¼ 719½ (morzan e)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 9% 10.10 8.40  
 
MVR-4   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:253 :491 1:144 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 3 4 4 21 11 1(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 3.60  
LINE DANCER 5 4 2½ 2nk 11 21 2(zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 34% 1.90 1.70 P
BOSSY LADY 2 2 32 34 32 35 315¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 126 2.00 1.30  
SICILIAN STYLE TWO 1 1 1½ 1nk 4 47 417¾ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 19% 4.20 4.10  
EARLY BLOOMER 4 5 55 510½ 5 5523½ (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 35.50  
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS               (pappada )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:161 1:294   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 5 9 98 7 2nk 11(radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 25% 3.00 7.10 W
INDY CARR 6 5 3 34 1nk 22(tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 123 2.50 29% 2.40 1.80 P
ORLEANS STORM 2 8 77 8 6 4310 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
BIG TIME FLIRT 7 1 4 44 5 35 411¼ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 22.50  
CHECK THE FACTS 9 4 8 9 8 77 513¾ (kerr n)HALDAR J 123 6.00 17.60  
PLAYING BALL 4 3 1 13 3.2 5616 (zielinski ri)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 36.00  
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 1 6 2 23 4¼ 66 716¾ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 19% 4.20 1.40  
AGNELLO CITY 3 7 55 5 72 88 818½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 13.30  
KETTLE KING 8 2 66 66 9 9926¾ (romero a)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 25.80  
 
MVR-6   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:144 1:274   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 5 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 2.00  
DARK VADER 8 5 3 3.2 2nk 2nk 2¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 2.50 58% 0.70 1.00 P
DERBY INCLUDED 3 1 5 5 4 33 3(cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 7% 12.80 13.50 S
BEAT THE DEALER 1 3 4 4 5 4411 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 16.00  
HITE 4 4 7 85 8 5513¾ (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 28.80  
LUCKY STREAK 6 7 6 6 6 6618¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 6% 16.80 6.70  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 2 8 8 7 7 7720½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
JOSH'N 7 6 2½ 2nk 3 8823 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 16.50  
 
MVR-7   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:261 :503 1:163 1:293   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENIE ROSE 3 1 6 65 2nk 1nk 12 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 0.80 72% 0.40 0.10 W
HERE COMES DOLLY 2 4 2 2 1nk 2nk 22 (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 7.80  
SHAKA'S LYRIC 1 3 1 3 4 36 314 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 123 12.00 5% 19.00 47.20 S
OH EYE SEE 6 2 3 43 55 4418¼ (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 24.30  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 4 5 4 1 33 510½ 521½ (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00 7.00  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY 5 6 5 5 68 615½ 641¼ (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 31.80  
 
MVR-8   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:154 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JASPER 5 3 2 2 21 2nk 13 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 2.50 67% 0.50 0.40 W
MOBIL CHIC 2 4 33 3 31 3½ 23 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 3.00 6.20  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 1 1 1 11 1nk 3(skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 9% 10.10 10.30 S
I'M LEGIT 1 6 68 6 6 45 410½ (melancon paul)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 11.50  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 4 5 5 5 56 5512¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 9.90  
EMERSON JONES 3 2 4 4 4 6613 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 123 4.00 5.80  
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE               (anderson susan )BRACHO A 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.