Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/7/5)-(5/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(5/6/3)-(6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(6/1)-(6/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/5/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/5/1/2)-(8/3/6/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/2)-(8/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/2)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/2)-(3/1)-(6/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOX RED Nov22 Nov02 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00    
2  UNCLE EARL Nov30 Oct30 Oct05 Aug09 Jul12 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  ZELIG Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 Aug21 Jul12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 6.00 11% 7.90    
4  BROADWAY JONES Nov22 Nov06 Oct21 Sep14 Jul28 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 8.00    
5  TIDE RISING Nov15 Oct30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 (mah)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
6  NICHOLAS JAMES Nov08 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May20 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 22% 3.60    
7  TWICE AS SMART Nov22 Oct31 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 3.00    
 
MVR-2   12/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID Nov21 Nov06 Oct06 Sep13 Aug15 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  RACARINO Oct24 Sep22 Jul26 Jul09 May31 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
3  TOYI Nov21 Nov09 Oct30 Oct05 Sep21 (tumblin a)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
4  BOBBY'S GIFT Feb16 Dec21 Nov26 Oct14 Sep10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
5  C J ALL THE WAY Nov21 Nov08 Oct22 Sep21 Aug12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  CINDY'S STORM Nov19 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
7  FROG TOWN Nov25 Nov04 Oct18 Sep15 Aug11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-3   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURDY PUMKIN Oct10 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10 Feb14 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50    
2  STORMIN MELLY Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 Sep26 Aug30 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00    
3  KESTENNA (GB) Oct25 Oct15 Jul21 Jun23 Apr30 (morzan e)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
4  FABIOLA PRINCESS Nov21 Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 Aug01 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
5  DONNARUMMA Nov21 Oct16 Sep12 Aug15 Jul31 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  MOONTAP Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  POLITICAL ASTRAY Nov27 Nov13 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 (langley josh)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Nov16 Aug23 Aug01 Jul10 Jun14 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  BOSSY LADY Nov16 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Nov16 Oct23 Oct03 Sep22 Aug21 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50    
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS Nov06 Sep28 Sep19 Aug22 Aug09 (pappad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
5  EARLY BLOOMER Nov08 Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 Aug03 (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
6  LINE DANCER Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 Aug01 Jul05 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-5   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Nov22 Oct11 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  ORLEANS STORM Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  AGNELLO CITY Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Aug22 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
4  PLAYING BALL Nov22 Sep07 Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 (zielinski )SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
5  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 Sep18 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  INDY CARR Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 Aug30 Aug12 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  BIG TIME FLIRT Nov16 Oct02 Sep14 Aug22 Jun12 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
8  KETTLE KING Nov08 Sep28 Sep18 Aug24 Jul10 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
9  CHECK THE FACTS Nov22 Oct24 Oct02 Sep07 Aug19 (kerr n)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
 
MVR-6   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAT THE DEALER Nov14 Oct11 Sep25 Aug24 Aug07 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00    
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK Nov27 Jul11 Jun13 May22 May08 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DERBY INCLUDED Nov14 Oct28 Oct02 Aug28 Aug09 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 7% 12.80    
4  HITE Nov28 Nov09 Oct23 Sep25 Jun24 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
5  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep20 Aug05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
6  LUCKY STREAK Nov06 Oct03 Jul22 Jun24 May11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
7  JOSH'N Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 Aug31 Aug09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
8  DARK VADER Nov20 Oct28 Jun19 Jun02 May10 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
MVR-7   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKA'S LYRIC Nov21 Nov07 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HERE COMES DOLLY Nov21 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Jul24 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50    
3  QUEENIE ROSE Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 0.80 72% 0.40    
4  ANGEL'S DESTINY Nov07 Oct03 Sep20 Sep11 Aug29 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00 ★    
5  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00    
6  OH EYE SEE Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep19 Jul25 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M LEGIT Nov22 Nov08 Oct21 Oct06 Sep16 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00    
2  MOBIL CHIC Nov08 Oct03 Aug21 Aug01 Jul06 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
3  EMERSON JONES Aug01 Jul06 Jun12 May25 Apr27 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE Nov02 Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 Aug26 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
5  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Nov13 Jun30 May25 Mar02 Feb16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
6  LADY JASPER Nov28 Oct25 Aug26 Jul17 Jun05 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 2.50 67% 0.50    
7  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct10 Sep28 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 9% 10.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.