Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.00 $3.00 50%
CT-5   DD (1/6/7)-(1/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-1 $22.60 $4.60 26%
CT-6   EXA (1/4)-(1/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  1-4 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    TRI (1/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  1-4-7 $9.20 $5.20 130%
CT-7   EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-3 $4.50 $2.50 125%
CT-8   TRI (9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-1-3 $46.60 $22.60 94%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:15 1:414   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 18% 4.60 1.20 W
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
ALDARIGHTTRICKS 2 2 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 2 (lewis r)MAWING A 122 4.00 8.30  
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
TEMPESTIVO 3 6 3 3 34 312½ 3 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 115 3.00 43% 1.30 3.20 S
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFFEZIONAMENTE by FLATTER)
RUM CUP 5 4 4 4 4 412½ 49 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 10.00 12% 7.50 9.70  
  (by LORD NELSON out of ONE ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
LUNAR MISSION 6 5 69 510½ 517½ 521½ 522 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.00 2.10  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of JUST DESSERTS by OUTFLANKER)
LUNAR GHOST 4 3 5 611½ 641½ 661½ 668½ (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 42.20  
  (by ALDRIN out of FUNNY GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CT-2   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER COMPROMISE 4 4 55 53   4¾ 1¼ (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 34% 2.00 1.10 W
THEWITCHISGONE 7 5 4 32   2nk 2¼ (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 18% 4.60 1.60 P
FEARNOUGHT 2 2 3 4   5 3 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 33.70  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 1 1 11 1½   1nk 4 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 6.10  
AUBURN MILL 3 3 21 2½   3½ 54 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 15% 5.60 7.20  
GOLDEN APPEAL 6 6 77 67   6 6 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 18.40  
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE 5 7 66 7   7 710¾ (straughn )BOCACHICA J 113 30.00 40.50  
 
CT-3   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOMPING MOON 3 4 32 3½   11 1 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.80 67% 0.50 0.60 W
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STOMPING by DIXIELAND BAND)
FAST FORWARD 2 2 1½ 1½   21 2 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00 3.70  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
SHARP STYLE 5 7 710½ 78   4 3 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50 5.80  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
LET'S EAT 1 1 64 5   58 413 (gillespie a)MAWING A 122 20.00 59.10  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
Z MYSTIQUE 6 3 2½ 2½   3 513½ (mcclellan )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 7% 13.90 5.00  
  (by XIXIXI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
IRISH KING 4 5 54 4   6 618½ (lucas anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of COLOMBIAN QUEEN by BIG DRAMA)
DOUBLE MAKER 7 6 4 6   718½ 738¼ (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00 41.50  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MISCHIEF MAKER by CAPE TOWN)
 
CT-4   11/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:22 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONA LEE 1 6 4     2 1¼ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 39% 1.60 3.50 W
NAVY BAND 2 5 11     1 2¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 2.10  
GIRLS PERFUME 4 4 6     56 37 (tuomisto cliff)REYNOLDS C 118 12.00 39.30  
REMY'S HOTSHOT 3 3 31     3 47 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 118 5.00 9.30  
MAMA MARGE 6 1 54     67 5 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.50 12% 7.50 1.30  
MISS BEE BOP 5 2 21     4 610¾ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 18% 4.60 7.50  
SCR  MISS INTENSITY               (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00    
 
CT-5   11/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:213 :45       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNCAN IDAHO 1 5 11     1 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 54% 0.90 0.70 W
TEACHINTHERELEASE 3 2 21     2 2 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 3.00 20% 4.00 3.10 P
ADVANCE CASH 2 4 4     3 3 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 3.40  
LION OF THE SEA 6 1 32     4 4 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00 35.70  
GOLD FIBER 4 6 55     55 5 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 8.20  
LOADED SNIPER 5 3 612     613 613¾ (frock charles )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE               (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   11/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:214 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY SQUALL 2 3 22     2 1 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00 DQ↓2
FANCY HER UP 1 5 12     1 2 (joy j)LARROSA G 124 1.60 69% 0.50 0.10 W
RIVER REWARDS RVF 4 1 33     3 3 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 5.30 S
PURE NONSENSE 6 6 611     5 4 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 20.00 76.80  
MY SISTER CLURRIE 3 2 43     47 5 (williams l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 23.50  
JUBA'S HOUSE 5 4 55     6 610¼ (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 32.20  
SCR  BAYLIS STREET               (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  CEDAR'S WISH               (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00    
SCR  TATOR MADE               (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL 1 2 32 32   1nk 1 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50 30% 2.30 0.90 W
NEPOTISM 3 5 43 43   42 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 36% 1.80 1.70 P
MIND YOUR OWN 2 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 110 50.00 37.40  
MARTINKELLY 5 4 1nk 2nk   3½ 4 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 10.50  
GOLDEN SPOKE 4 3 54 5   54 56 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 3.70  
SCR  RAD PAISLEY               (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:13     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT N SPICY LOVE 2 4 49 410   23 1¾ (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 1.80 10% 9.30 2.80 W
FOX RED 1 1 11 11   13 2¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 21% 3.70 1.70 P
MOON OVER MONTANA 3 5 714½ 715   57 3 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 9% 10.30 16.40 S
MAGNETRON 4 6 613½ 613   6 48 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 21.30  
CLASSY AMERICAN 8 3 31 3   46 5 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 37% 1.70 5.00  
ONE MORE FACTOR 7 2 21 21   33 610¼ (maldon)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 2.50  
MAKE WAY 6 7 5 511   7 713 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00 50.50  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 5 8 820½ 824   818½ 817½ (martin august )REYNOLDS C 120 30.00 56.30  
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA               (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.