Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/7/3)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(3/6/4)-(1/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/6/7)-(1/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(1/3/6)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/4)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/1)-(9/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(9/1/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3)-(9/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCO Oct30 Oct05 Sep11 Aug11 Jul09 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
2  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (lewis r)MAWING A 122 4.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
3  TEMPESTIVO Nov01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 May05 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 115 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFFEZIONAMENTE by FLATTER)
4  LUNAR GHOST Nov11 Oct20 Jun22 Jun04 May11 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of FUNNY GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  RUM CUP Nov01 Sep01 Oct30 Oct16   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ONE ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
6  LUNAR MISSION Nov01 Sep08 Jul22 May19 Sep29 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of JUST DESSERTS by OUTFLANKER)
 
CT-2   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
2  FEARNOUGHT Nov01 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
3  AUBURN MILL Nov08 Oct28 Oct18 Sep29 Sep15 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
4  NEVER COMPROMISE Nov08 Sep29 Aug31 Aug18 Jul15 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
5  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Oct25 Oct12 Sep29 Aug24 Jul21 (straughn )BOCACHICA J 113 30.00    
6  GOLDEN APPEAL Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Aug31 Aug19 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
7  THEWITCHISGONE Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-3   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S EAT Oct05 Aug23 Aug08 Jun30 Nov15 (gillespie a)MAWING A 122 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
2  FAST FORWARD Nov01 Jul26 Jul06 May29 May08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
3  STOMPING MOON Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 Jul30 Jun17 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.80 67% 0.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STOMPING by DIXIELAND BAND)
4  IRISH KING Oct21 May21 May14 Apr24 Mar19 (lucas anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of COLOMBIAN QUEEN by BIG DRAMA)
5  SHARP STYLE Nov03 Sep22 Jan25 Jan13   (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  Z MYSTIQUE Nov08 Oct25 Oct13 Sep15 Sep01 (mcclellan )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 7% 13.90    
  (by XIXIXI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  DOUBLE MAKER Oct21 Mar05       (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MISCHIEF MAKER by CAPE TOWN)
 
CT-4   11/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONA LEE Nov04 Oct12 Sep21     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  MISS INTENSITY Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 Jul20 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00    
3  NAVY BAND Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00    
4  REMY'S HOTSHOT Sep21 Aug31       (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 118 5.00    
5  GIRLS PERFUME Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31   (tuomisto cliff)REYNOLDS C 118 12.00    
6  MISS BEE BOP Nov02 Oct12       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
7  MAMA MARGE Oct14 Sep22 Jul20     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
 
CT-5   11/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNCAN IDAHO Oct28 Oct14 Sep21 Aug17 Jul15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
2  ADVANCE CASH Oct28 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50    
3  TEACHINTHERELEASE Oct28 Oct14 Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  GOLD FIBER Oct21 Oct07 Aug17 Jul06 Dec17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Nov09 Feb16 Jan25 Nov26 Nov09 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
6  LOADED SNIPER Oct20 Sep30 Jul27 Jun22 May26 (frock charles )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LION OF THE SEA Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jun17 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 12.00    
 
CT-6   11/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY HER UP Oct14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug10 Jul07 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 69% 0.50    
SCR  CEDAR'S WISH Oct25 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 Jul06 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00    
SCR  TATOR MADE Nov03 Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
4  GHOSTLY SQUALL Oct14 Jun03 Mar23 Feb11 Dec14 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAYLIS STREET Oct26 Jul08 May20 Mar17 Feb20 (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
6  MY SISTER CLURRIE Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 (williams l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
7  RIVER REWARDS RVF Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 ★    
8  JUBA'S HOUSE Nov02 Oct14 Sep21 Aug19 Jul28 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
9  PURE NONSENSE Nov02 Sep15 Aug26 Jul20 Jul07 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERLY CRITICAL Oct28 Sep21 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  MIND YOUR OWN Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Jul30 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 110 50.00    
3  NEPOTISM Oct13 Sep25 Aug27 Jul16 Mar09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
4  GOLDEN SPOKE Nov08 Oct06 Sep13 Aug26 Jul12 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50    
5  MARTINKELLY Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Jul07 Jun20 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
SCR  RAD PAISLEY Nov01 Oct11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   11/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOX RED Nov02 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  HOT N SPICY LOVE Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 Sep08 Aug26 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 1.80 10% 9.30    
3  MOON OVER MONTANA Nov01 Oct21 Sep21 Sep14 Aug26 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 9% 10.30    
4  MAGNETRON Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Aug30 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
5  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Jul12 Jun22 May24 May06 Dec30 (martin august )REYNOLDS C 120 30.00    
6  MAKE WAY Nov01 Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 Jul15 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
8  ONE MORE FACTOR Sep22 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Apr27 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
9  CLASSY AMERICAN Nov01 Oct12 Sep21 Aug23 Jun20 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.