Handicappers' Race Results
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Charles Town
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CT-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
CT-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.60  
CT-3   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
CT-4   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
CT-5   Win (10/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
CT-6   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
CT-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
CT-8   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:142     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU CAN'T WIN 1 1 11 11   13 19¼ (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 63% 0.60 1.90 W
6  SHOCKING FACTS 6 4 43 53   23 29¼ (brooks gerald)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 2.20  
4  DEE DEE SIX 4 5 53 63   34 311 (cipriano ro)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 9.10  
2  A LOTTA MOXIE 2 3 21 21   45 413½ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
3  NOW I'M HERE 3 2 32 31½   55½ 514½ (brooks geral)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 ★ 3.60  
5  HONEY PLEASE 5 6 64 42½   66 620¼ (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50 5.00  
 
CT-2   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:132     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE 4 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 11¼ (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 3.80  
4  AUBURN MILL 3 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 21¼ (boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 P
3  GOLDEN APPEAL 2 4 53 52½   52¼ 32 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 8.40  
6  OUT OF CENTS 5 5 41 3½   31½ 42½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 68% 0.50 0.70  
1  SHAMELESS RISK 1 2 31 41½   42 57¾ (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 2.90  
SCR  RIVER CROSROAD RVF               (runco c)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE               (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
 
CT-3   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:15     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE MONEY MACHINE 3 1 11 11   12 1¼ (viands r)ACOSTA D 121 2.00 38% 1.60 3.60 W
1  PLANET FROLIC 1 2 31 21   22 2¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.60 23% 3.30 0.40 P
6  MISSING A SOCK 6 4 41¼ 41¼   34 37½ (miller a)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 12% 7.60 8.30 S
4  DASHING LASS 4 3 21 31   46 49¼ (shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 2.50 7.40  
2  EMBRACEABLE 2 5 62¼ 62¾   59 59¾ (viands stac)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00 70.90  
5  IMAGINE RITA 5 7 73¼ 73¼   711 615¾ (boyce brian)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 20.00 46.20  
7  NO SHARING 7 6 52¼ 52¾   611 716¾ (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 121 15.00 42.80  
 
CT-4   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FROG TOWN 4 3 32 34   3.2 12 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 46% 1.20 0.30 W
1  NO ME DIGAS 1 2 43½ 47   41¾ 22 (davis g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 7.00  
6  GAMMA SQUEEZE 5 4 11 1nk   1nk 33 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80 31% 2.30 3.70 S
3  AKINGISALWAYSKING 2 1 54 513½   55¼ 45¾ (murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 50.10  
7  BALI'S SHADE 6 6 21 2nk   2nk 56½ (murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 122 20.00 11.30  
4  STRONG HEART 3 5 66½ 613¾   65¼ 67 (smith osborne)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
SCR  SPONSORED               (dilodovico r)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
 
CT-5   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST VIRGINIA 1 1 55½ 46   42¾ 11¾ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 17% 4.90 2.40 W
6  SUPERSNAKE 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 21¾ (murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 122 15.00 8.40  
2  WINDSOR'S PLAY 2 2 1½ 2nk   1nk 31¾ (rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 14% 6.20 2.00 S
8  LET'S GO MO 6 7 89½ 79½   63 41¾ (miller a)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 15.30  
5  HERETODAYGONMANANA 3 4 67 69   52¾ 52¾ (boggs joanna)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 6.50  
10  MAY MAYS CASTLE 8 6 45 31½   3.2 65½ (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.50 37% 1.70 7.80  
9  BAYS CASTLE 7 8 79½ 810   78 76 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 10% 8.90 5.30  
7  SUPERSTASIA 5 5 33½ 57   811 818 (rangel ricard)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00 59.00  
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER               (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
SCR  JACCACI               (hillegass a)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
 
CT-6   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUMMERTIME ROSE 3 3 31½ 2½   2½ 12 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 68% 0.50 0.40 W
7  BACHELORETTE 7 7 2½ 1½   1½ 22 (moysey e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 22.20  
6  XANTHE 6 4 42 43   32 33 (moschonas gerasim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 7% 13.30 3.20 S
5  GOOD ACCELEBRATE 5 5 75 710½   56 46¼ (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 22.20  
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME 1 2 63 65½   66 58 (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
4  BOUNDTOBEOK 4 1 1½ 31   44½ 610¾ (sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00 16.20  
2  TRAVEL SMART 2 6 53 53½   77½ 714 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 7.40  
 
CT-7   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIDERHOUSE WAY 1 1 2½ 1½   11½ 12¾ (greaves verno)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 3.90 W
7  VAGABOND VIRGIN 7 6 31½ 31   21½ 22¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 0.50  
5  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 5 5 66½ 42   34½ 36 (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.20 S
3  O'RIGSBY 3 7 714 76   45½ 46 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 118 3.50 8.80  
6  SCARE DEM 6 4 56 53   66 510¼ (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00 40.10  
4  MY BUDDY DUANE 4 3 1½ 2½   55½ 617 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 115 3.00 25% 3.00 5.20  
2  SUGAR LIPS 2 2 42 65   719 736 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 15.00 18.80  
 
CT-8   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:13     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAISE A SPEIGHTS 3 2 1½ 1½   11½ 13 (pickett c)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 17% 5.00 3.70 W
1  ELVIRUS 1 1 31½ 42   21½ 23 (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.30 P
5  SULEMAN 4 6 76¾ 65   57 38½ (laguna home)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 8.90  
7  BLAMEITONTHEFUN 5 4 2½ 2½   35½ 410 (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 18.30  
2  ROYAL THUNDER 2 3 41½ 31½   47 512¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 25% 3.00 2.70  
9  SMALL REASON 7 7 53½ 53   68 619½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 7.50  
8  A HUGE CHECKPOINT 6 5 63¾ 75½   714½ 727¼ (hillegass alex)BATISTA A 122 6.00 25.50  
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU               (atkins willia)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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