The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
CT-2   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.60 -4.00
CT-3   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
CT-4   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
CT-5   Win (10/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -1.20
CT-6   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
CT-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
CT-8   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
:24 :483 1:142     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU CAN'T WIN 1 1 11 11   13 1(haynes m)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 63% 0.60 1.90 W
SHOCKING FACTS 6 4 43 53   23 2(brooks gerald)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 2.20  
DEE DEE SIX 4 5 53 63   34 311 (cipriano ro)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 9.10  
A LOTTA MOXIE 2 3 21 21   45 413½ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
NOW I'M HERE 3 2 32 3   5514½ (brooks geral)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 3.60  
HONEY PLEASE 5 6 64 4   66 620¼ (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50 5.00  
 
CT-2   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
:241 :483 1:132     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 4 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 1(hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 3.80  
AUBURN MILL 3 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 2(boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 P
GOLDEN APPEAL 2 4 53 5   532 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 8.40  
OUT OF CENTS 5 5 41 3½   34(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 68% 0.50 0.70  
SHAMELESS RISK 1 2 31 4   42 5(brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 2.90  
SCR  RIVER CROSROAD RVF               (runco c)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE               (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
 
CT-3   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:25 :492 1:15     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MONEY MACHINE 3 1 11 11   12 1¼ (viands r)ACOSTA D 121 2.00 38% 1.60 3.60 W
PLANET FROLIC 1 2 31 21   22 2¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.60 23% 3.30 0.40 P
MISSING A SOCK 6 4 4 4   34 3(miller a)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 12% 7.60 8.30 S
DASHING LASS 4 3 21 31   46 4(shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 2.50 7.40  
EMBRACEABLE 2 5 6 6   59 5(viands stac)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00 70.90  
IMAGINE RITA 5 7 7 7   711 615¾ (boyce brian)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 20.00 46.20  
NO SHARING 7 6 5 5   611 716¾ (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 121 15.00 42.80  
 
CT-4   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
:24 :474 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROG TOWN 4 3 32 34   3.2 12 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 46% 1.20 0.30 W
NO ME DIGAS 1 2 4 47   422 (davis g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 7.00  
GAMMA SQUEEZE 5 4 11 1nk   1nk 33 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80 31% 2.30 3.70 S
AKINGISALWAYSKING 2 1 54 513½   54(murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 50.10  
BALI'S SHADE 6 6 21 2nk   2nk 5(murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 122 20.00 11.30  
STRONG HEART 3 5 6 613¾   667 (smith osborne)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
SCR  SPONSORED               (dilodovico r)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
 
CT-5   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
:234 :473 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST VIRGINIA 1 1 5 46   41(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 17% 4.90 2.40 W
SUPERSNAKE 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 2(murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 122 15.00 8.40  
WINDSOR'S PLAY 2 2 1½ 2nk   1nk 3(rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 14% 6.20 2.00 S
LET'S GO MO 6 7 8 7   63 4(miller a)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 15.30  
HERETODAYGONMANANA 3 4 67 69   55(boggs joanna)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 6.50  
10  MAY MAYS CASTLE 8 6 45 3   3.2 6(jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.50 37% 1.70 7.80  
BAYS CASTLE 7 8 7 810   78 76 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 10% 8.90 5.30  
SUPERSTASIA 5 5 3 57   811 818 (rangel ricard)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00 59.00  
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER               (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
SCR  JACCACI               (hillegass a)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
 
CT-6   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
:233 :474 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMERTIME ROSE 3 3 3 2½   2½ 12 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 68% 0.50 0.40 W
BACHELORETTE 7 7 2½ 1½   1½ 22 (moysey e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 22.20  
XANTHE 6 4 42 43   32 33 (moschonas gerasim)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 7% 13.30 3.20 S
GOOD ACCELEBRATE 5 5 75 710½   56 4(williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 22.20  
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 1 2 63 6   66 58 (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
BOUNDTOBEOK 4 1 1½ 31   4610¾ (sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00 16.20  
TRAVEL SMART 2 6 53 5   7714 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 7.40  
 
CT-7   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
:24 :48 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIDERHOUSE WAY 1 1 2½ 1½   11(greaves verno)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 3.90 W
VAGABOND VIRGIN 7 6 3 31   22(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 0.50  
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 5 5 6 42   336 (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.20 S
O'RIGSBY 3 7 714 76   446 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 118 3.50 8.80  
SCARE DEM 6 4 56 53   66 510¼ (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00 40.10  
MY BUDDY DUANE 4 3 1½ 2½   5617 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA J 115 3.00 25% 3.00 5.20  
SUGAR LIPS 2 2 42 65   719 736 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 15.00 18.80  
 
CT-8   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
:241 :48 1:13     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE A SPEIGHTS 3 2 1½ 1½   113 (pickett c)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 17% 5.00 3.70 W
ELVIRUS 1 1 3 42   223 (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.30 P
SULEMAN 4 6 7 65   57 3(laguna home)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 8.90  
BLAMEITONTHEFUN 5 4 2½ 2½   3410 (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 18.30  
ROYAL THUNDER 2 3 4 3   47 512¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 25% 3.00 2.70  
SMALL REASON 7 7 5 53   68 619½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 7.50  
A HUGE CHECKPOINT 6 5 6 7   714½ 727¼ (hillegass alex)BATISTA A 122 6.00 25.50  
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU               (atkins willia)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.