Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/4)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/1/6)-(5/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/6/4)-(10/1/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(10/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(10/1/2/9)-(3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/2/9)-(10/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/2/9)-(10/1/2/9)-(10/1/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/2/9)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1/2/9)-(3/6/1)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/4/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU CAN'T WIN Sep28         (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  A LOTTA MOXIE Sep22         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STARVISTA by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
3  NOW I'M HERE Sep28 Sep10 Sep03 Aug23   (brooks ger)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 ★    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BALLET DANCER by PLEASANT DANCER)
4  DEE DEE SIX Aug27 Jul21       (cipriano )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
5  HONEY PLEASE Sep28         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50    
  (by FROSTED out of JADE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  SHOCKING FACTS Sep08 Sep01 Aug21     (brooks gera)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BLANKET BAY by SMART STRIKE)
 
CT-2   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMELESS RISK Sep16 Aug25 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00    
SCR  THEWITCHISGONE Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 May27 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
3  GOLDEN APPEAL Sep29 Aug31 Aug19 Jun24 Jun03 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
4  AUBURN MILL Sep29 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul15 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
6  OUT OF CENTS Oct01 Sep09 Aug16 Jun21 Mar11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
SCR  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Sep16 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Aug26 (runco c)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
 
CT-3   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLANET FROLIC Sep29 Jun04 Apr15 Jan26   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.60 23% 3.30    
2  EMBRACEABLE Sep29 Sep02 Aug11 Jun30 May29 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
3  THE MONEY MACHINE Sep29 Sep02 Aug10 Jul07 Jun15 (viands r)ACOSTA D 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  DASHING LASS Sep21 Sep02 Aug11 Jul30 Jul07 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 2.50    
5  IMAGINE RITA Sep21 Aug11 Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 20.00    
6  MISSING A SOCK Sep29 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 (miller a)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
7  NO SHARING Sep16 Aug24 Aug05 Jul21 Jun25 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 121 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO ME DIGAS Oct06 Sep01 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 (davis s)BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.50    
SCR  SPONSORED Oct06 Jul09 Jun23 May14 Mar26 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
3  AKINGISALWAYSKING Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
4  STRONG HEART Aug24 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul07 (smith osborne)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FROG TOWN Sep15 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 May18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
6  GAMMA SQUEEZE Sep16 Aug18 Jun22     (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80 31% 2.30    
7  BALI'S SHADE Sep01 Aug17 Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST VIRGINIA Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 May05 Apr13 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  WINDSOR'S PLAY Oct13 Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  JACCACI Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER Sep18 Jul25 Jun15 May18 Dec08 (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
5  HERETODAYGONMANANA Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00    
6  SUPERSNAKE Sep30 Sep17 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 15.00    
7  SUPERSTASIA Sep15 Aug12 Apr28 Mar18 Feb25 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00    
8  LET'S GO MO Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Aug04 Jul12 (miller a)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
9  BAYS CASTLE Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr06 Mar09 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 10% 8.90    
10  MAY MAYS CASTLE Sep09 Jul28 Jun16 Apr21 Mar24 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
CT-6   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRAVEL SMART Jun16 May20 Apr28 Jul02 Jun18 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00    
3  SUMMERTIME ROSE Sep30 Jun22 May29 Apr23 Apr01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 68% 0.50    
4  BOUNDTOBEOK Sep30 Feb09 Jan14 Dec08 Nov16 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00    
5  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Sep21 Sep09 Aug26 Aug02 May24 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
6  XANTHE Jun02 May12 Apr15 Mar10 Feb16 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 7% 13.30    
7  BACHELORETTE Jan21 Dec30 Nov02 Oct07 Aug29 (moysey e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
CT-7   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIDERHOUSE WAY Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul01 Jun03 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  SUGAR LIPS Nov16 Oct22 Sep21 Aug27 Aug05 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
3  O'RIGSBY Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 3.50    
4  MY BUDDY DUANE Sep22 Sep01       (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 115 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul15 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SCARE DEM Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
7  VAGABOND VIRGIN Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul22   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
 
CT-8   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELVIRUS Sep29 Aug26 Jul26 Jun15 May20 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  ROYAL THUNDER Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 Jun06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
3  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Oct06 Sep14 Jun24 May22 May05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU Oct12 Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 Jun09 (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
5  SULEMAN Oct05 Sep09 Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 (laguna ho)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT Sep21 Aug23 Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
7  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Oct06 Sep22 Sep03 Feb26 Feb05 (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
8  A HUGE CHECKPOINT Aug01 Jul11 Jun26 May31 May15 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
9  SMALL REASON Sep19 Aug12 Jul28 Jul14 Jun10 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.